Good luck with your forecast of the severe Blizzard Will,problem is if
you get it wrong your credibility as a top forecaster will fall as low
as the moderators on a certain weather forum.You know who you are.

Certainly looks like the models are now going for it to turn much very
much colder as we head into the middle of next week and beyond.

And even mild ramper Darren Betts is talking up the threat of snow for
next week,so things are looking up.

its just a forecast, nothing more.

and whether he gets it wrong or right doesnt matter in the end. hes
still one of the best forecasters on here.

im sure he doesnt do it for browny points or credibility, unlike some
others on here and other forums.


MOLE wrote:
Good luck with your forecast of the severe Blizzard Will,problem is if
you get it wrong your credibility as a top forecaster will fall as low
as the moderators on a certain weather forum.You know who you are.

Certainly looks like the models are now going for it to turn much very
much colder as we head into the middle of next week and beyond.

And even mild ramper Darren Betts is talking up the threat of snow for
next week,so things are looking up.

--- news://freenews.netfront.net/ - complaints: ---

In article
,
MOLE writes:
Good luck with your forecast of the severe Blizzard Will,

I'm pretty sure that that posting was made somewhat tongue in cheek,
unlike Will's more general post about the coming week. He's well aware
that forecasting in that degree of detail some eight days ahead isn't
possible. The models might suggest a Low in the right place at the
moment, but it could all change with the next set of runs.

snip

Certainly looks like the models are now going for it to turn much very
much colder as we head into the middle of next week and beyond.

And even mild ramper Darren Betts is talking up the threat of snow for
next week,so things are looking up.

OTOH Paul Bartlett is being much more cautious on his Rutland Weather
page, as is his wont.
--
John Hall
"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
from coughing."
Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)

On 12 Feb, 21:24, MOLE wrote:
Good luck with your forecast of the severe Blizzard Will,problem is if
you get it wrong your credibility as a top forecaster will fall as low
as the moderators on a certain weather forum.You know who you are.

Certainly looks like the models are now going for it to turn much very
much colder as we head into the middle of next week and beyond.

And even mild ramper Darren Betts is talking up the threat of snow for
next week,so things are looking up.

Out of the all contributors to this website I have to say that Will's
contibutions, opinions and forecasts are certainly much appreciated by
me regardless of whether they are right or wrong - and long may they
continue.

Out of the all contributors to this website I have to say that Will's
contibutions, opinions and forecasts are certainly much appreciated by
me regardless of whether they are right or wrong - and long may they
continue.


Here, here !

fred wrote:
Out of the all contributors to this website I have to say that Will's
contibutions, opinions and forecasts are certainly much appreciated by
me regardless of whether they are right or wrong - and long may they
continue.


Here, here !

At the risk of being accused of being a sycophant, I agree . . . . .

Out of interest, does anyone know if Will is professionally connected to
the Wx forecasting "game" -

Will . . . . . . . .

"fred" wrote in message
...


Out of the all contributors to this website I have to say that Will's
contibutions, opinions and forecasts are certainly much appreciated by
me regardless of whether they are right or wrong - and long may they
continue.


Here, here !

Agreed.



__________ Information from ESET Smart Security, version of virus signature database 4862 (20100212) __________

The message was checked by ESET Smart Security.

http://www.eset.com

David Gartrell wrote:

Out of the all contributors to this website I have to say that Will's
contibutions, opinions and forecasts are certainly much appreciated by
me regardless of whether they are right or wrong - and long may they
continue.

Seconded Sir!)

"MOLE" wrote in message
...
Good luck with your forecast of the severe Blizzard Will,problem is if
you get it wrong your credibility as a top forecaster will fall as low
as the moderators on a certain weather forum.You know who you are.


LOL

Certainly looks like the models are now going for it to turn much very
much colder as we head into the middle of next week and beyond.


Indeed.

Guys thanks for all the comments, I'm glad you take my views for what they
are. However, I would be upset if it went totally awry because I do think
that I have *some* ability to spot the *potential* for severe weather in the
UK.

I haven't changed my mind on the forecast this morning. I have already
explained that mass ascent is to take place in cold air (forecast dewpoints
are low with sub-zero in places all around the low), that is a scenario for
a widespread snow. Thicknesses are still around 528DAM in the south mid-week
turning colder later. Light precip in the south will be rain but moderate or
heavy bursts will readily turn that to snow. From the Midlands northwards
snow is more certain and on all ground above 200m asl nationwide. What more
can I say at this stage, there are big uncertainties regarding distribution
of precip. and we will have to wait for high res. models for that.

Lawrence - LOL I enjoyed your skit, welcome back!

Will
--

Will Hand wrote:

"MOLE" wrote in message
...
Good luck with your forecast of the severe Blizzard Will,problem is if
you get it wrong your credibility as a top forecaster will fall as low
as the moderators on a certain weather forum.You know who you are.


LOL

Certainly looks like the models are now going for it to turn much very
much colder as we head into the middle of next week and beyond.


Indeed.

Guys thanks for all the comments, I'm glad you take my views for what
they are. However, I would be upset if it went totally awry because I do
think that I have *some* ability to spot the *potential* for severe
weather in the UK.

I haven't changed my mind on the forecast this morning. I have already
explained that mass ascent is to take place in cold air (forecast
dewpoints are low with sub-zero in places all around the low), that is a
scenario for a widespread snow. Thicknesses are still around 528DAM in
the south mid-week turning colder later. Light precip in the south will
be rain but moderate or heavy bursts will readily turn that to snow.
From the Midlands northwards snow is more certain and on all ground
above 200m asl nationwide. What more can I say at this stage, there are
big uncertainties regarding distribution of precip. and we will have to
wait for high res. models for that.


My office is about 180m asl in the North Downs so am hoping for some
lying snow at work, if not at home.