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#1
November 11th 11, 06:24 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
Big changes it would seem from the GFS and ECM towards the latter part
of next week with westerly's and low pressure moving in. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png |
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#2
November 11th 11, 08:52 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
"Lawrence13" wrote in message ... Big changes it would seem from the GFS and ECM towards the latter part of next week with westerly's and low pressure moving in. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png Great stuff, keep the cold away as long as possible ;-) |
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#3
November 11th 11, 09:43 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
On Nov 11, 9:52*pm, "Bob Kent" wrote:
"Lawrence13" wrote in message ... Big changes it would seem from the GFS and ECM towards the latter part of next week with westerly's and low pressure moving in. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png Great stuff, keep the cold away as long as possible ;-) You SWINE. :-) |
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#4
November 12th 11, 07:50 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
On Nov 11, 9:52*pm, "Bob Kent" wrote:
"Lawrence13" wrote in message ... Big changes it would seem from the GFS and ECM towards the latter part of next week with westerly's and low pressure moving in. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png Great stuff, keep the cold away as long as possible ;-) European high showing on both 00z ECM and gfs this morning and the zonal weather appears to want to establish itself by T+240. I could easily be forecasting that this evening with continued agreement. If it happenes, it would have made a complete mockery of anyone who was suggesting early cold. Still; not even 80% certain in my view just yet. See what this evening's charts show. The ensembles don't show the same cooling trend towards 10 days and reflect the changing charts and the recent agreement. Indeed. should those ensenble means come to outcome, November would end up very mild and Autumn would also have been a very warm one. All that is needed to forecast with confidence at 10 days now is consistency over enough runs |
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#5
November 12th 11, 10:53 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
On Nov 12, 8:50*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Nov 11, 9:52*pm, "Bob Kent" wrote: "Lawrence13" wrote in message ... Big changes it would seem from the GFS and ECM towards the latter part of next week with westerly's and low pressure moving in. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png Great stuff, keep the cold away as long as possible ;-) European high showing on both 00z ECM and gfs this morning and the zonal weather appears to want to establish itself by T+240. I could easily be forecasting that this evening with continued agreement. If it happenes, it would have made a complete mockery of anyone who was suggesting early cold. Still; not even 80% certain in my view just yet. See what this evening's charts show. The ensembles don't show the same cooling trend towards 10 days and reflect the changing charts and the recent agreement. Indeed. should those ensenble means come to outcome, November would end up very mild and Autumn would also have been a very warm one. All that is needed to forecast with confidence at 10 days now is consistency over enough runs 06z gfs certainly backs the establishment of a European high at T240. |
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#6
November 12th 11, 11:03 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
On Nov 12, 11:53*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Nov 12, 8:50*am, Dawlish wrote: On Nov 11, 9:52*pm, "Bob Kent" wrote: "Lawrence13" wrote in message .... Big changes it would seem from the GFS and ECM towards the latter part of next week with westerly's and low pressure moving in. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png Great stuff, keep the cold away as long as possible ;-) European high showing on both 00z ECM and gfs this morning and the zonal weather appears to want to establish itself by T+240. I could easily be forecasting that this evening with continued agreement. If it happenes, it would have made a complete mockery of anyone who was suggesting early cold. Still; not even 80% certain in my view just yet. See what this evening's charts show. The ensembles don't show the same cooling trend towards 10 days and reflect the changing charts and the recent agreement. Indeed. should those ensenble means come to outcome, November would end up very mild and Autumn would also have been a very warm one. All that is needed to forecast with confidence at 10 days now is consistency over enough runs 06z gfs certainly backs the establishment of a European high at T240.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I can see the high beginning to build from the south at 252hrs on the 6z GFS. However up until then though mobility all the way. I'm hoping the remarkable spell we had starting around the 25th November last year , is somehow waiting in the wings to show up a month later. this time. One can only hope. |
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#7
November 12th 11, 08:11 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
On Nov 12, 11:53*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Nov 12, 8:50*am, Dawlish wrote: On Nov 11, 9:52*pm, "Bob Kent" wrote: "Lawrence13" wrote in message .... Big changes it would seem from the GFS and ECM towards the latter part of next week with westerly's and low pressure moving in. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png Great stuff, keep the cold away as long as possible ;-) European high showing on both 00z ECM and gfs this morning and the zonal weather appears to want to establish itself by T+240. I could easily be forecasting that this evening with continued agreement. If it happenes, it would have made a complete mockery of anyone who was suggesting early cold. Still; not even 80% certain in my view just yet. See what this evening's charts show. The ensembles don't show the same cooling trend towards 10 days and reflect the changing charts and the recent agreement. Indeed. should those ensenble means come to outcome, November would end up very mild and Autumn would also have been a very warm one. All that is needed to forecast with confidence at 10 days now is consistency over enough runs 06z gfs certainly backs the establishment of a European high at T240.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - ............and the ECM 12z changes the theme completely. It'll probably end up a cold outlier, but it's ruined both the agreement and consistency, for me. |
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#8
November 12th 11, 09:13 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
come on all, AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
what a flying **** shame that is damn, its ruined my weekend On 12/11/2011 9:11 PM, Dawlish wrote: but it's ruined both the agreement and consistency, for me. |
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#9
November 13th 11, 09:22 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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High Moves East at the End of Next week
On Nov 12, 9:11*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Nov 12, 11:53*am, Dawlish wrote: On Nov 12, 8:50*am, Dawlish wrote: On Nov 11, 9:52*pm, "Bob Kent" wrote: "Lawrence13" wrote in message .... Big changes it would seem from the GFS and ECM towards the latter part of next week with westerly's and low pressure moving in. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png Great stuff, keep the cold away as long as possible ;-) European high showing on both 00z ECM and gfs this morning and the zonal weather appears to want to establish itself by T+240. I could easily be forecasting that this evening with continued agreement. If it happenes, it would have made a complete mockery of anyone who was suggesting early cold. Still; not even 80% certain in my view just yet. See what this evening's charts show. The ensembles don't show the same cooling trend towards 10 days and reflect the changing charts and the recent agreement. Indeed. should those ensenble means come to outcome, November would end up very mild and Autumn would also have been a very warm one. All that is needed to forecast with confidence at 10 days now is consistency over enough runs 06z gfs certainly backs the establishment of a European high at T240.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - ...........and the ECM 12z changes the theme completely. It'll probably end up a cold outlier, but it's ruined both the agreement and consistency, for me.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Something very different to yesterday's suggested zonal conditions, with blocking to our NE appearing on the ECM and a potential cold plunge into Eastern Europe. That's a re-appearance from an the ECM chart of 36 hours ago and I'm always interested in re-appearances on operationals. I'm only a little interested though! gfs at T240 isn't showing that. |
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