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| uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
November 17th 11, 07:57 PM
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Forecast: Atlantic weather at T240 on 27/11/11. No particularly cold conditions.
There's enough agreement and consistency for me to forecast that no
real cold will affect the UK out to almost the end of November, with 80% certainty. **On 27/11/11, 10 days hence, the UK will be experiencing Atlantic weather. The predominant wind direction will be between S and NW and most areas will be still experiencing conditions which show no particularly cold weather. The CET will be in close to record territory. Pressure will be higher to the south of the UK, than to our north and frosts will be limited, if not absent. Any snow will be confined to the Munro summits.** Winter may follow, but it is unlikely to happen in this timeframe. |
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#2
November 17th 11, 08:34 PM
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Forecast: Atlantic weather at T240 on 27/11/11. No particularly cold conditions.
"Dawlish" wrote in message ... There's enough agreement and consistency for me to forecast that no real cold will affect the UK out to almost the end of November, with 80% certainty. **On 27/11/11, 10 days hence, the UK will be experiencing Atlantic weather. The predominant wind direction will be between S and NW and most areas will be still experiencing conditions which show no particularly cold weather. The CET will be in close to record territory. Pressure will be higher to the south of the UK, than to our north and frosts will be limited, if not absent. Any snow will be confined to the Munro summits.** Winter may follow, but it is unlikely to happen in this timeframe. Great news, hopefully stay that way and we get a VERY short winter. |
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#3
November 17th 11, 09:13 PM
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Forecast: Atlantic weather at T240 on 27/11/11. No particularlycold conditions.
you dont say ****wit
i thought summer followed autumn On 17/11/2011 7:57 PM, Dawlish wrote: Winter may follow, but it is unlikely to happen in this timeframe. |
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#4
November 17th 11, 09:18 PM
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Forecast: Atlantic weather at T240 on 27/11/11. No particularlycold conditions.
are you hoping time warps and we lose february
On 17/11/2011 8:34 PM, Bob Kent wrote: Great news, hopefully stay that way and we get a VERY short winter. |
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#5
November 20th 11, 07:48 AM
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Forecast: Atlantic weather at T240 on 27/11/11. No particularlycold conditions.
On Nov 17, 8:34*pm, "Bob Kent" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message ... There's enough agreement and consistency for me to forecast that no real cold will affect the UK out to almost the end of November, with 80% certainty. **On 27/11/11, 10 days hence, the UK will be experiencing Atlantic weather. The predominant wind direction will be between S and NW and most areas will be still experiencing conditions which show no particularly cold weather. The CET will be in close to record territory. Pressure will be higher to the south of the UK, than to our north and frosts will be limited, if not absent. Any snow will be confined to the Munro summits.** Winter may follow, but it is unlikely to happen in this timeframe. *Great news, hopefully stay that way and we get a VERY short winter. I'm confident about this forecast now, but the spell of Atlantic weather may not extend to long after the 27th. Indications of more meridionality, with pressure building in the Eastern towards the middlAtlantic may give the possibility of some different and possibly cooler weather. Still some distance away though. |
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#6
November 27th 11, 01:13 PM
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Forecast: Atlantic weather at T240 on 27/11/11. No particularlycold conditions.
On Nov 17, 7:57*pm, Dawlish wrote:
There's enough agreement and consistency for me to forecast that no real cold will affect the UK out to almost the end of November, with 80% certainty. **On 27/11/11, 10 days hence, the UK will be experiencing Atlantic weather. The predominant wind direction will be between S and NW and most areas will be still experiencing conditions which show no particularly cold weather. The CET will be in close to record territory. Pressure will be higher to the south of the UK, than to our north and frosts will be limited, if not absent. Any snow will be confined to the Munro summits.** Winter may follow, but it is unlikely to happen in this timeframe. No worries with this one being right. 87/109 = 79.8% correct. |
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#7
November 28th 11, 08:52 PM
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Forecast: Atlantic weather at T240 on 27/11/11. No particularlycold conditions.
a bad forecast again on all counts
reason: copy cat all models pointed to those conditions the met 15 dayer had been saying that for weeks the CET was obvious no skill was required On 27/11/2011 1:13 PM, Dawlish wrote: On Nov 17, 7:57 pm, wrote: There's enough agreement and consistency for me to forecast that no real cold will affect the UK out to almost the end of November, with 80% certainty. **On 27/11/11, 10 days hence, the UK will be experiencing Atlantic weather. The predominant wind direction will be between S and NW and most areas will be still experiencing conditions which show no particularly cold weather. The CET will be in close to record territory. Pressure will be higher to the south of the UK, than to our north and frosts will be limited, if not absent. Any snow will be confined to the Munro summits.** Winter may follow, but it is unlikely to happen in this timeframe. No worries with this one being right. 87/109 = 79.8% correct. |
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