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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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The next large earthquake aught to be Japan.
However there have been few large quakes there in the last weeks despite all the High Pressure over Britain and Western Europe. Today (23rd March 2012) with everyone on uk.sci.weather moaning about how nice it is and how nobody told them about fog and all the rest of it (comparative drought conditions) I though it might be an idea to get set for the Japanese quake. Since the region is blocked we aught to be getting some tropical cyclones. So far there are none showing. Last year around this time of year there were notifications of depressions, storms and cyclones between February 1 and April 30 in 11 basins: South Atlantic - 14 March. South Indian - 9, 11, 15, 16 Feb, 17 March, 2 and 15 April. South Pacific - 18 and 13 February. West Pacific - 2 April. I don't imagine it would be a good idea to expect a cyclone in the South Atlantic to warn us of the next severe Japanese earthquake. But it WAS the only one just before the Fukushima business. There are 9 known events in that region according the Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_atlantic_hurricane Subtropical Cyclone 17 March 1974 Angola Tropical Storm 10 1991 Tropical Cyclone 18 January 2004 Cyclone Catarina 28 March 2004 Tropical Storm 21 February 2006 Subtropical Storm 28 January 2009 Tropical Storm Anita 8 March 2010 Subtropical Storm 16 November 2010 Subtropical Storm Arani 14 March 2011 So they are not completely unknown. What I remember of events around that time was an eruption in Iceland and a severe storm in the far north off Norway. This week, the MetOffice is indicating a lot of volcanic activity: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/..._pressure.html Archives he http://www.woksat.info/wwp7.html I'll put some of the charts on an album and a thread in my blog. I can't think of anything more off hand. More later. |
#2
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On Mar 23, 1:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
The next large earthquake aught to be Japan. However there have been few large quakes there in the last weeks despite all the High Pressure over Britain and Western Europe. Today (23rd March 2012) with everyone on uk.sci.weather moaning about how nice it is and how nobody told them about fog and all the rest of it (comparative drought conditions) I though it might be an idea to get set for the Japanese quake. You forgot to mention the Dartmoor/Eskimo goon, no doubt becoming suicidal because it's not sub-zero and there's no snow. We've not had a photo of him ' leading ' expeditions on the dangerous wastes of Dartmoor for a week or so, perhaps he's working on his tan ? |
#3
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TWIMC:
The snipped post was a dawlish* meme (a Felix Tilley wannbe.) The regulars in uk.sci.weather saw him off with a flea in his ear. But he can't keep away; only now he has a grudge to bear against all. Which makes me feel a little demoted. But only a little. (With the older dawlish posts I just ignored them, as I shall with these various incarnations now that I have pointed out the obvious.) Life lesson: You can't kill a troll by dropping a bridge on it. * Dawlish is also an actual person who lives in an epithet for a place just outside an exit door. The poetry brought joy to my heart, although they wouldn't let me post it on Urban Dictionary. (But they have a suitable version there in any case. The poetry brought me joy.) Incredibly the fool makes a living (a precarious one, I imagine) giving advice to schools. I kid you not! |
#4
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hey doorlsih, when is larry out, did he get life?
On 24/03/2012 6:01 AM, Scrim Ber wrote: You forgot to mention the Dartmoor/Eskimo goon, no doubt becoming suicidal because it's not sub-zero and there's no snow. We've not had a photo of him ' leading ' expeditions on the dangerous wastes of Dartmoor for a week or so, perhaps he's working on his tan ? |
#5
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LOL classic.
On 24/03/2012 3:38 PM, Weatherlawyer wrote: TWIMC: The snipped post was a dawlish* meme (a Felix Tilley wannbe.) The regulars in uk.sci.weather saw him off with a flea in his ear. |
#6
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On Mar 23, 2:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
The next large earthquake aught to be Japan. And it still might be. But first let me clear a small point up here for the future generation that composes Weatherlawyer's ardent fans: There is an order of magnitude or so between what I meant in the first instance by "large magnitude" and what followed: However there have been few large quakes there in the last weeks despite all the High Pressure over Britain and Western Europe. Before the Superquake lasdt year there had been a sequence of lesser large quakes starting in the Bonnin and Volcano Islands. I'm glad I had the chance to clear that up befor anyone noticed. Maybe they haven't ben born yet, eh? Today (23rd March 2012) with everyone on uk.sci.weather moaning about how nice it is and how nobody told them about fog and all the rest of it (comparative drought conditions) I though it might be an idea to get set for the Japanese quake. Since the region is blocked we aught to be getting some tropical cyclones. So far there are none showing. I don't think this is the end of it: 2012/03/25 7.2 M. @ 22:37. 35.2 S. 71.8 W. Maule, Chile. Last year around this time of year there were notifications of depressions, storms and cyclones between February 1 and April 30 in 11 basins: South Atlantic - 14 March. South Indian - 9, 11, 15, 16 Feb, 17 March, 2 and 15 April. South Pacific - 18 and 13 February. West Pacific - 2 April. I don't imagine it would be a good idea to expect a cyclone in the South Atlantic to warn us of the next severe Japanese earthquake. But it WAS the only one just before the Fukushima business. There are 9 known events in that region according the Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_atlantic_hurricane Subtropical Cyclone 17 March 1974 Angola Tropical Storm 10 1991 Tropical Cyclone 18 January 2004 Cyclone Catarina 28 March 2004 Tropical Storm 21 February 2006 Subtropical Storm 28 January 2009 Tropical Storm Anita 8 March 2010 Subtropical Storm 16 November 2010 Subtropical Storm Arani 14 March 2011 So they are not completely unknown. What I remember of events around that time was an eruption in Iceland and a severe storm in the far north off Norway. This week, the MetOffice is indicating a lot of volcanic activity: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/..._pressure.html Archives he http://www.woksat.info/wwp7.html I'll put some of the charts on an album and a thread *in my blog. http://my.opera.com/Are-You-a-Lunari...athering-storm And http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/albums/ The anticyclone seems to be intact judging from the starry night outside my window. I can't speak for the rest of Europe but I think that any changes would have shown up here. The only give away the storm was an earthquake was the way the Met Office was so unsure of the weather. So that seems to have left the door open for that cyclone off Newfoundland to move in. If it forms a block then we will be due another southern storm in the tropics. |
#7
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On Mar 26, 12:32*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Mar 23, 2:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: The next large earthquake aught to be Japan. And it still might be. But first let me clear a small point up here for the future generation that composes Weatherlawyer's ardent fans: There is an order of magnitude or so between what I meant in the first instance by "large magnitude" and what followed: However there have been few large quakes there in the last weeks despite all the High Pressure over Britain and Western Europe. Before the Superquake lasdt year there had been a sequence of lesser large quakes starting in the Bonnin and Volcano Islands. I'm glad I had the chance to clear that up befor anyone noticed. Maybe they haven't ben born yet, eh? Today (23rd March 2012) with everyone on uk.sci.weather moaning about how nice it is and how nobody told them about fog and all the rest of it (comparative drought conditions) I though it might be an idea to get set for the Japanese quake. Since the region is blocked we aught to be getting some tropical cyclones. So far there are none showing. I don't think this is the end of it: 2012/03/25 7.2 M. @ 22:37. 35.2 S. 71.8 W. Maule, Chile. Last year around this time of year there were notifications of depressions, storms and cyclones between February 1 and April 30 in 11 basins: South Atlantic - 14 March. South Indian - 9, 11, 15, 16 Feb, 17 March, 2 and 15 April. South Pacific - 18 and 13 February. West Pacific - 2 April. I don't imagine it would be a good idea to expect a cyclone in the South Atlantic to warn us of the next severe Japanese earthquake. But it WAS the only one just before the Fukushima business. There are 9 known events in that region according the Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_atlantic_hurricane Subtropical Cyclone 17 March 1974 Angola Tropical Storm 10 1991 Tropical Cyclone 18 January 2004 Cyclone Catarina 28 March 2004 Tropical Storm 21 February 2006 Subtropical Storm 28 January 2009 Tropical Storm Anita 8 March 2010 Subtropical Storm 16 November 2010 Subtropical Storm Arani 14 March 2011 So they are not completely unknown. What I remember of events around that time was an eruption in Iceland and a severe storm in the far north off Norway. This week, the MetOffice is indicating a lot of volcanic activity: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/..._pressure.html Archives he http://www.woksat.info/wwp7.html I'll put some of the charts on an album and a thread *in my blog. http://my.opera.com/Are-You-a-Lunari.../2012/03/25/a-... And http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/albums/ The anticyclone seems to be intact judging from the starry night outside my window. I can't speak for the rest of Europe but I think that any changes would have shown up here. The only give away the storm was an earthquake was the way the Met Office was so unsure of the weather. So that seems to have left the door open for that cyclone off Newfoundland to move in. If it forms a block then we will be due another southern storm in the tropics. There has been a glitch in the matrix somewhere. I don't know how that Maule quake slipped in. It didn't figure on the charts for the Antarctic as far as I know. (Of course it DID appear on the North Atlantic chart but as a double quake. We all make mistakes, I suppose.) Anyway this is the next big thing. But I think it is going to have to wait for Pakhar to implode (A couple of large 5's or maybe 3 consecutive mid 5s.) Then (unless the intervention of the solstice meant what I imagine) the massive quake should show up in the Antarctic. So... Where got hit after the last Vietnamese typhoons? |
#8
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On Mar 30, 4:14*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
So... Where got hit after the last Vietnamese typhoons? Tomorrow then (6 April 2012) as far as I can make out or is it 24 to 36 hours later? http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...face-pressure/ Once more I will put the chart on my blog somewhere or other, later. Oh, nearly forgot. Looks like South America AND Japan/Indo China (wherever that was/is.) No real set up on the MeO charts. (It actually looks like volcanic stuff for El Hierro and (might it be?) the Cascades?) |
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