Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the
Icelandic Low will start to dominate from
Sat 26th Jan.

The persistent cloud has disappointed me lately.
With a northeasterly, Dartmoor usually gives shelter in this location.
We have wave cloud and sunshine usually.
Not this time though.

Just perishingly cold.

-0.5 C now

Len
Wembury, 83 m asl

In article
,
Len Wood writes:
Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the
Icelandic Low will start to dominate from
Sat 26th Jan.

Looks like it, though the models don't always cover themselves in glory
at medium range in these sorts of situations.
--
John Hall

"Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong."
Oscar Wilde

On Sunday, January 20, 2013 11:43:01 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In article

,

Len Wood writes:

Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the

Icelandic Low will start to dominate from

Sat 26th Jan.



Looks like it, though the models don't always cover themselves in glory

at medium range in these sorts of situations.

--

John Hall



"Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong."

Oscar Wilde

I did think the models were very clear that this would happen. I've gone maybe a day early with my forecast from the 14th, for the establishment of an Atlantic flow by the 24th, but despite a wobble immediately after I'd forecast, that forecast will probably only be 12-36 hours out from 10 days distance. Not bad in the circumstances of being told that it was impossible to forecast accurately, beyond 5 days, at the time.

I did think the models were very clear that this would happen. I've gone
maybe a day early with my forecast from the 14th, for the establishment of
an Atlantic flow by the 24th, but despite a wobble immediately after I'd
forecast, that forecast will probably only be 12-36 hours out from 10 days
distance. Not bad in the circumstances of being told that it was impossible
to forecast accurately, beyond 5 days, at the time.


So hopefully you will be a happy boy again when the Atlantic is back in full
swing next week

No more reason to take anymore swipes at Will


Graham

On Sunday, January 20, 2013 11:19:14 AM UTC, Len Wood wrote:
Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the
Icelandic Low will start to dominate from
Sat 26th Jan.

The persistent cloud has disappointed me lately.
With a northeasterly, Dartmoor usually gives shelter in this location.

We have wave cloud and sunshine usually.

Not this time though.
Just perishingly cold.
-0.5 C now

Len

Wembury, 83 m asl

Unbroken sunshine since 08:30 here Len, the persistent 'hole' in the cloud showing up well on the visible satellite imagery. The Lizard appears to responsible for destroying the cloud for me!

Still bitterly cold despite the sunshine. With the wind onshore this side of the Bay we just escaped an air frost (Min 0.1) but at noon it's still only 1.8C in a F3 easterly. Average temperature still 1.1C the Jan norm here though, this is only the 2nd cold day.

Strangely, although the air temperature hovered close to freezing most of the night, the dew point was below freezing, and there were some good breaks in the cloud, no sign of ground frost or ice anywhere nearby. I'm sure its' very different around Marazion - Praa Sands where the winds off the land.

Graham
Penzance

your forecast is looking a total bust
hope u just didnt the see the CF forecast


will done Will and SSW forecasts

dullish 0 Will 10 I make it



On Sunday, 20 January 2013 12:14:56 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, January 20, 2013 11:43:01 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:

In article



,



Len Wood writes:



Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the



Icelandic Low will start to dominate from



Sat 26th Jan.







Looks like it, though the models don't always cover themselves in glory



at medium range in these sorts of situations.



--



John Hall







"Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong."



Oscar Wilde



I did think the models were very clear that this would happen. I've gone maybe a day early with my forecast from the 14th, for the establishment of an Atlantic flow by the 24th, but despite a wobble immediately after I'd forecast, that forecast will probably only be 12-36 hours out from 10 days distance. Not bad in the circumstances of being told that it was impossible to forecast accurately, beyond 5 days, at the time.

On Jan 20, 12:26*pm, Graham Easterling wrote:
On Sunday, January 20, 2013 11:19:14 AM UTC, Len Wood wrote:
Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the
Icelandic Low will start to dominate from
Sat 26th Jan.

The persistent cloud has disappointed me lately.
With a northeasterly, Dartmoor usually gives shelter in this location.

We have wave cloud and sunshine usually.

Not this time though.
Just perishingly cold.
-0.5 C now

Len

Wembury, 83 m asl

Unbroken sunshine since 08:30 here Len, the persistent 'hole' in the cloud showing up well on the visible satellite imagery. The Lizard appears to responsible for destroying the cloud for me!

Still bitterly cold despite the sunshine. With the wind onshore this side of the Bay we just escaped an air frost (Min 0.1) but at noon it's still only 1.8C in a F3 easterly. Average temperature still 1.1C the Jan norm here though, this is only the 2nd cold day.

Strangely, although the air temperature hovered close to freezing most of the night, the dew point was below freezing, and there were some good breaks in the cloud, no sign of ground frost or ice anywhere nearby. I'm sure its' very different around Marazion - Praa Sands where the winds off the land.

Graham
Penzance- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

SUN has been out since 1500Z here Graham at last.
Bootiful.
Been out in the garden pottering.

Could mean a colder night to come though. Cloud well broken.
No influence from sea with light NE wind.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon

On Sunday, 20 January 2013 12:14:56 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, January 20, 2013 11:43:01 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:

In article



,



Len Wood writes:



Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the



Icelandic Low will start to dominate from



Sat 26th Jan.







Looks like it, though the models don't always cover themselves in glory



at medium range in these sorts of situations.



--



John Hall







"Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong."



Oscar Wilde



I did think the models were very clear that this would happen. I've gone maybe a day early with my forecast from the 14th, for the establishment of an Atlantic flow by the 24th, but despite a wobble immediately after I'd forecast, that forecast will probably only be 12-36 hours out from 10 days distance. Not bad in the circumstances of being told that it was impossible to forecast accurately, beyond 5 days, at the time.

Sorry Paul but without meaning to stir things up, that one hell of a statement regarding your forecast. Do you have one for the period between now and the end of February?

Cheers

On Sunday, 20 January 2013 12:14:56 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Sunday, January 20, 2013 11:43:01 AM UTC, John Hall wrote: In article , Len Wood writes: Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the Icelandic Low will start to dominate from Sat 26th Jan. Looks like it, though the models don't always cover themselves in glory at medium range in these sorts of situations. -- John Hall "Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong." Oscar Wilde I did think the models were very clear that this would happen. I've gone maybe a day early with my forecast from the 14th, for the establishment of an Atlantic flow by the 24th, but despite a wobble immediately after I'd forecast, that forecast will probably only be 12-36 hours out from 10 days distance. Not bad in the circumstances of being told that it was impossible to forecast accurately, beyond 5 days, at the time.

Yeah, St Piers is crapping himself. Keep trying, pal!

On Sunday, 20 January 2013 21:23:51 UTC, Jim Cannon wrote:
On Sunday, 20 January 2013 12:14:56 UTC, Dawlish wrote:

On Sunday, January 20, 2013 11:43:01 AM UTC, John Hall wrote: In article , Len Wood writes: Looking at the charts and ensembles it seems clear to me that the Icelandic Low will start to dominate from Sat 26th Jan. Looks like it, though the models don't always cover themselves in glory at medium range in these sorts of situations. -- John Hall "Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong." Oscar Wilde I did think the models were very clear that this would happen. I've gone maybe a day early with my forecast from the 14th, for the establishment of an Atlantic flow by the 24th, but despite a wobble immediately after I'd forecast, that forecast will probably only be 12-36 hours out from 10 days distance. Not bad in the circumstances of being told that it was impossible to forecast accurately, beyond 5 days, at the time.



Yeah, St Piers is crapping himself. Keep trying, pal!

Oi Terry don't forget to let me know when Peirs has his meeting.