.... late Sunday and through Monday looking quite fruity for us in
southern England. Low slipping across northern France - cold (very cold
for this time of year) air cutting in out of the ENE .... PPN envelope
creeping from west-to-east ....

In the past though, models have tended to consistently back off such
threats and there is always the problem of how much influence the drier
lower tropospheric air erodes the PPN area .... still .... keeps us on
our toes; where did I hide my snow shovel :-)

Martin.


--
West Moors / East Dorset
Lat: 50deg 49.25'N, Long: 01deg 53.05'W
Height (amsl): 17 m (56 feet)
COL category: C1 overall

"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
...

... late Sunday and through Monday looking quite fruity for us in southern
England. Low slipping across northern France - cold (very cold for this
time of year) air cutting in out of the ENE .... PPN envelope creeping
from west-to-east ....

In the past though, models have tended to consistently back off such
threats and there is always the problem of how much influence the drier
lower tropospheric air erodes the PPN area .... still .... keeps us on our
toes; where did I hide my snow shovel :-)


I have just issued a "heads-up" warning for Dartmoor on my web site for
several inches of snow with drifting Sunday evening into Monday. Of course
with ground above 200 metres, heavy snow is more certain up here. Also I
have mentioned "frostbite" risk for Monday above 500 metres with wind chill
below -15C. Latest MetO site forecast for Rough Tor (550 metres asl) has air
temperature -6C and wind chill -18C by early Tuesday morning.

Going to be some event I reckon!

He he I reckon even Nick Gardner in the Devon tropics could even get a bit
of snow :-)

Will
--
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
---------------------------------------------

On Friday, March 8, 2013 9:57:03 AM UTC, wrote:
"Martin Rowley" wrote in message

...



... late Sunday and through Monday looking quite fruity for us in southern

England. Low slipping across northern France - cold (very cold for this

time of year) air cutting in out of the ENE .... PPN envelope creeping

from west-to-east ....



In the past though, models have tended to consistently back off such

threats and there is always the problem of how much influence the drier

lower tropospheric air erodes the PPN area .... still .... keeps us on our

toes; where did I hide my snow shovel :-)





I have just issued a "heads-up" warning for Dartmoor on my web site for

several inches of snow with drifting Sunday evening into Monday. Of course

with ground above 200 metres, heavy snow is more certain up here. Also I

have mentioned "frostbite" risk for Monday above 500 metres with wind chill

below -15C. Latest MetO site forecast for Rough Tor (550 metres asl) has air

temperature -6C and wind chill -18C by early Tuesday morning.



Going to be some event I reckon!



He he I reckon even Nick Gardner in the Devon tropics could even get a bit

of snow :-)



Will

--

http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)

---------------------------------------------

You forgot to say, "BRING IT ON!", Willy.

Martin Rowley wrote:

... late Sunday and through Monday looking quite fruity for us in
southern England. Low slipping across northern France - cold (very cold
for this time of year) air cutting in out of the ENE .... PPN envelope
creeping from west-to-east ....

In the past though, models have tended to consistently back off such
threats and there is always the problem of how much influence the drier
lower tropospheric air erodes the PPN area .... still .... keeps us on
our toes; where did I hide my snow shovel :-)

Martin.


------------------------------
Everything always seems uncertain with run ups to cold spells. Just a
few days ago none of this heavy rain in the South was forecast so I
guess next Monday is a long way off!
Dave, S.Essex

On Friday, 8 March 2013 12:06:50 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Everything always seems uncertain with run ups to cold spells. Just a
few days ago none of this heavy rain in the South was forecast so I
guess next Monday is a long way off!

I see you're taking the "downplay it ahead of the event so not so disappointed when it doesn't come off" approach Dave...!

Richard

On 08/03/2013 09:57, Eskimo Will wrote:
He he I reckon even Nick Gardner in the Devon tropics could even get a
bit of snow :-)

Noooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!

Spring has really sprung here. Frog spawn in the pond, hawthorn coming
into leaf etc etc

A lovely 12.3°C this afternoon with plenty of sunshine (between the
brief bouts of sea fog).

Only seen a flake or two falling once this winter, that's more than
enough for me.

--
Nick G
Otter Valley, Devon
20 m amsl
http://www.ottervalley.co.uk

Richard Dixon wrote:
On Friday, 8 March 2013 12:06:50 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Everything always seems uncertain with run ups to cold spells. Just a
few days ago none of this heavy rain in the South was forecast so I
guess next Monday is a long way off!

I see you're taking the "downplay it ahead of the event so not so disappointed when it doesn't come off" approach Dave...!

Richard
-----------------------------------
Wouldn't be the first time would it! I must say after the fantastic
weather earlier in the week I am not overly in a mood for the return of
winter. It's all a bit too late really in a winter that has seen snow
falling a lot but settling little! The garden is now under water again
already!
Dave

In article ,
Richard Dixon writes:
On Friday, 8 March 2013 12:06:50 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Everything always seems uncertain with run ups to cold spells. Just a
few days ago none of this heavy rain in the South was forecast so I
guess next Monday is a long way off!

I see you're taking the "downplay it ahead of the event so not so
disappointed when it doesn't come off" approach Dave...!

At the moment the yellow area for overnight Sunday/Monday is shown as
not extending quite as far north as London. Of course that could easily
change in either direction.
--
John Hall

"Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong."
Oscar Wilde

On 08/03/13 20:15, John Hall wrote:
In ,
Richard writes:
On Friday, 8 March 2013 12:06:50 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Everything always seems uncertain with run ups to cold spells. Just a
few days ago none of this heavy rain in the South was forecast so I
guess next Monday is a long way off!

I see you're taking the "downplay it ahead of the event so not so
disappointed when it doesn't come off" approach Dave...!

At the moment the yellow area for overnight Sunday/Monday is shown as
not extending quite as far north as London. Of course that could easily
change in either direction.

I'm on the edge of the yellow warning area so it will be interesting to
see if my workplace up in the Surrey hills gets a covering on Monday.