uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old January 6th 16, 09:48 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...

Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..
--
Keith (Southend)
"Weather Home & Abroad"
http://www.southendweather.net
Twitter:@SS9Weatherman

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Old January 6th 16, 11:04 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..
--
Keith (Southend)
"Weather Home & Abroad"
http://www.southendweather.net
Twitter:@SS9Weatherman


"Nice Models This Morning"


Does your wife know?
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Old January 6th 16, 11:51 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.


GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...LE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard
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Old January 6th 16, 01:18 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...

In message
Richard Dixon wrote:

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.


GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.


http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...=en&MENU=00000
00000&CONT=euro&MODELL=gefsts&MODELLTYP=2&BASE=201 601060000&VAR=tmp2&H
H=&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=03772&TABLE=2&MOUSE= 0


Richard



Well, it's a mite parky in my old neck of the woods...

http://www.accuweather.com/en/se/kir...orecast/308639

Martin


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Visit my weather station at
http://homepage.ntlworld.com/m.dixon4/Cumulus/index.htm

Believing is the start of everything to come. - Hayley Westenra
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Old January 6th 16, 07:14 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Col Col is offline
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Default Nice models this morning...

On 06/01/2016 09:48, Keith (Southend) wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..


They are working themselves up into an absolute frenzy of excitement on
TWO over this. If this one fails to come off the model output thread
will be on suicide watch.....

--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg


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Old January 6th 16, 07:33 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 19:14:44 UTC, Col wrote:
On 06/01/2016 09:48, Keith (Southend) wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..


They are working themselves up into an absolute frenzy of excitement on
TWO over this. If this one fails to come off the model output thread
will be on suicide watch.....

--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg






Even more so Col at Net Weather although many post on both sites however the term "frenzied excitement" wouldn't do it justice. however even though I predicted this cold spell (yeah-right) I still won't believe it until I'm looking up at one of our newish LED streetlamps and watching those thousands of flakes tumbling down. So like many I've learned to stay calm, not get carried away and act in an intelligent mature way.......




IT'S GONNA SNOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW. YAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY
GET THE TROOPS OUT AND BUY UP ALL THE GROCERIES YOU CAN, BEFORE YOU'RE SNOWED IN, YAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY YYYYYYYYYY
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Old January 7th 16, 07:01 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...

On Wednesday, January 6, 2016 at 7:14:44 PM UTC, Col wrote:
On 06/01/2016 09:48, Keith (Southend) wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..


They are working themselves up into an absolute frenzy of excitement on
TWO over this. If this one fails to come off the model output thread
will be on suicide watch.....

--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg


They always do. It's what coldies are like; sense deserts them when there's a hint of snow and they detest the posts of anyone who says they might not get it. Their reaction was just hilarious, when I used to say - like I did in the early January faux cold spell - you need agreement and consistency to actually predict such a change with confidence. If you don't have it; you are on shaky ground.

Well now we have both agreement and consistency for a change to colder conditions, after a record-breakingly mild winter so far; hence my forecast. Some areas are likely to get snow next week. How far south, at what levels and to what extent is not at all certain, no matter what some may be saying on those forums.
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Old January 7th 16, 09:38 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...

On Wed, 6 Jan 2016 03:51:25 -0800 (PST), Richard Dixon
wrote:

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.


GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...LE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard


In their 6-30 day outlook issued at 0124 this morning the Met Office are still
predicting only a brief much colder spell around the middle of next week with a
return to westerlies and near average temps towards the end of next week. A
similar setup is then predicted to persist into early February with temps near
or slightly above average.
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Old January 7th 16, 10:34 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...

In message , "Keith (Southend)"
writes
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..


This morning's 06Z GFS is interesting for T+168 onwards.
--
John Hall
"Honest criticism is hard to take,
particularly from a relative, a friend,
an acquaintance, or a stranger." Franklin P Jones
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Old January 7th 16, 10:55 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Nice models this morning...


"Norman Lynagh" wrote in message
...
On Wed, 6 Jan 2016 03:51:25 -0800 (PST), Richard Dixon
wrote:

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.


GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...LE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard


In their 6-30 day outlook issued at 0124 this morning the Met Office are
still
predicting only a brief much colder spell around the middle of next week
with a
return to westerlies and near average temps towards the end of next week.
A
similar setup is then predicted to persist into early February with temps
near
or slightly above average.


And here is what I wrote this morning in my weekly outlook for Dartmoor
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

I suspect the MetO outlook will change soon :-)

Will
--
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
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