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Old August 3rd 19, 10:25 AM posted to uk.sci.weather,uk.d-i-y
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Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
PETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 30, 1989

UNITED NATIONS (AP) A senior U.N. environmental official says entire
nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if
the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.

Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of
'eco-refugees' threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of
the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.

He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the
greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.

As the warming melts polar icecaps, *ocean levels will rise by up to
three feet*, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations,
Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.

*Coastal regions will be inundated*; *one-sixth of Bangladesh could be
flooded*,
displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable
land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply,
according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.

"Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is
you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the
natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry
about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?" he said.

--
Spike



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Old August 3rd 19, 10:40 AM posted to uk.sci.weather,uk.d-i-y
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Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On 03/08/2019 10:25, Spike wrote:
U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
PETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 30, 1989

UNITED NATIONS (AP) A senior U.N. environmental official says entire
nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if
the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.

Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of
'eco-refugees' threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of
the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.

He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the
greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.

As the warming melts polar icecaps, *ocean levels will rise by up to
three feet*, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations,
Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.

*Coastal regions will be inundated*; *one-sixth of Bangladesh could be
flooded*,
displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable
land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply,
according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.

"Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is
you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the
natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry
about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?" he said.


Do you have the actual link, rather than cut and paste? (Serious
request, not a stroppy doubter, as I would like to add it to my
collection of failed predictions).
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Old August 3rd 19, 11:03 AM posted to uk.sci.weather,uk.d-i-y
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Posts: 166
Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On 03/08/2019 13:40, newshound wrote:
On 03/08/2019 10:25, Spike wrote:


U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
PETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 30, 1989


UNITED NATIONS (AP) A senior U.N. environmental official says entire
nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if
the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.


Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of
'eco-refugees' threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of
the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.


He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the
greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.


As the warming melts polar icecaps, *ocean levels will rise by up to
three feet*, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations,
Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.


*Coastal regions will be inundated*; *one-sixth of Bangladesh could be
flooded*,
displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable
land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply,
according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.


"Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is
you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the
natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry
about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?" he said.


Do you have the actual link, rather than cut and paste? (Serious
request, not a stroppy doubter, as I would like to add it to my
collection of failed predictions).


This is the full version, HTH:

https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0


--
Spike
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Old August 3rd 19, 11:49 AM posted to uk.sci.weather,uk.d-i-y
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Posts: 4,814
Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On 03/08/2019 11:03, Spike wrote:
This is the full version, HTH:

https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0


Ah, a media story. My personal experience with these is that they often
bear little relationship to what the interviewee actually said. Fifty
years ago I was incensed on seeing an article in the Daily Fail about an
impending "Little Ice Age" which was a load of ******** from beginning
to end. I'd worked with the interviewees and could not believe what
they'd said. When I got to work I was going to ring them but,
considering they were a few grades above me, I delayed a bit. However,
one rang me first to apologise about the article, saying it was
nonsense, and that none of the quotes attributed to them were what
they'd said.

A few years ago, I was speaking to someone who'd also fallen foul of
such misreporting and so, on his next interview, asked the interviewers
whether they minded whether he recorded it. They agreed. Of course, when
the story appeared, he'd been totally misquoted. He got another meeting
with them and went over the recording.They found all the words on the
recording that had appeared in the quotes but none of the phrases or
sentences. They had resorted, in effect, to the Eric Morecambe defence
where they'd used the right words but not necessarily in the right order!

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. Web-site: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
“Understanding is a three-edged sword. Your side, my side, and the
truth.” [Ambassador Kosh]
Posted via Mozilla Thunderbird on openSUSE Tumbleweed.



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Old August 3rd 19, 02:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 1,712
Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On Saturday, 3 August 2019 11:49:48 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote:
On 03/08/2019 11:03, Spike wrote:
This is the full version, HTH:

https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0


Ah, a media story. My personal experience with these is that they often
bear little relationship to what the interviewee actually said. Fifty
years ago I was incensed on seeing an article in the Daily Fail about an
impending "Little Ice Age" which was a load of ******** from beginning
to end. I'd worked with the interviewees and could not believe what
they'd said. When I got to work I was going to ring them but,
considering they were a few grades above me, I delayed a bit. However,
one rang me first to apologise about the article, saying it was
nonsense, and that none of the quotes attributed to them were what
they'd said.

A few years ago, I was speaking to someone who'd also fallen foul of
such misreporting and so, on his next interview, asked the interviewers
whether they minded whether he recorded it. They agreed. Of course, when
the story appeared, he'd been totally misquoted. He got another meeting
with them and went over the recording.They found all the words on the
recording that had appeared in the quotes but none of the phrases or
sentences. They had resorted, in effect, to the Eric Morecambe defence
where they'd used the right words but not necessarily in the right order!

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. Web-site: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
“Understanding is a three-edged sword. Your side, my side, and the
truth.” [Ambassador Kosh]
Posted via Mozilla Thunderbird on openSUSE Tumbleweed.


Of course the timing might be out, apart from that we're still heading in that direction.

Keith (Southend)


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Old August 3rd 19, 02:26 PM posted to uk.sci.weather,uk.d-i-y
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Posts: 5
Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On 03/08/2019 11:03, Spike wrote:
On 03/08/2019 13:40, newshound wrote:
On 03/08/2019 10:25, Spike wrote:


U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
PETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 30, 1989


UNITED NATIONS (AP) A senior U.N. environmental official says entire
nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if
the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.


Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of
'eco-refugees' threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of
the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.


He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the
greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.


As the warming melts polar icecaps, *ocean levels will rise by up to
three feet*, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations,
Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.


*Coastal regions will be inundated*; *one-sixth of Bangladesh could be
flooded*,
displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable
land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply,
according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.


"Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is
you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the
natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry
about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?" he said.


Do you have the actual link, rather than cut and paste? (Serious
request, not a stroppy doubter, as I would like to add it to my
collection of failed predictions).


This is the full version, HTH:

https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0


Thanks
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Old August 3rd 19, 02:37 PM posted to uk.sci.weather,uk.d-i-y
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Posts: 5
Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On 03/08/2019 11:49, Graham P Davis wrote:
On 03/08/2019 11:03, Spike wrote:
This is the full version, HTH:

https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0


Ah, a media story. My personal experience with these is that they often
bear little relationship to what the interviewee actually said. Fifty
years ago I was incensed on seeing an article in the Daily Fail about an
impending "Little Ice Age" which was a load of ******** from beginning
to end. I'd worked with the interviewees and could not believe what
they'd said. When I got to work I was going to ring them but,
considering they were a few grades above me, I delayed a bit. However,
one rang me first to apologise about the article, saying it was
nonsense, and that none of the quotes attributed to them were what
they'd said.

A few years ago, I was speaking to someone who'd also fallen foul of
such misreporting and so, on his next interview, asked the interviewers
whether they minded whether he recorded it. They agreed. Of course, when
the story appeared, he'd been totally misquoted. He got another meeting
with them and went over the recording.They found all the words on the
recording that had appeared in the quotes but none of the phrases or
sentences. They had resorted, in effect, to the Eric Morecambe defence
where they'd used the right words but not necessarily in the right order!


I don't doubt that there is some selective quotation here, but I am
pretty confident that the basic theme of the UN prediction was that
there would be problems if something wasn't done. People being human,
they might well have sexed it up a bit, and of course journalists write
it up for the most dramatic spin, that is what journalists do.

Like Graham, I have had the unsettling experience of seeing highly
selective quotation from nuclear power professionals turned into a
series of dire warnings.

Skipping back to when I was passionate and impressionable, I worried
about the now-classic Paul Ehrlich quote from 1968:

"The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of
millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs
embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial
increase in the world death rate". Which of course didn't happen.

I also believed the 1960's prediction that oil was going to run out in
the 1890's.
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Old August 3rd 19, 02:49 PM posted to uk.sci.weather,uk.d-i-y
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Posts: 29
Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On 03/08/2019 14:37, newshound wrote:
I also believed the 1960's prediction that oil was going to run out in
the 1890's.


Wow!


--
“when things get difficult you just have to lie”

― Jean Claud Jüncker
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Old August 3rd 19, 04:00 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On Saturday, 3 August 2019 14:37:56 UTC+1, newshound wrote:
On 03/08/2019 11:49, Graham P Davis wrote:
On 03/08/2019 11:03, Spike wrote:
This is the full version, HTH:

https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0


Ah, a media story. My personal experience with these is that they often
bear little relationship to what the interviewee actually said. Fifty
years ago I was incensed on seeing an article in the Daily Fail about an
impending "Little Ice Age" which was a load of ******** from beginning
to end. I'd worked with the interviewees and could not believe what
they'd said. When I got to work I was going to ring them but,
considering they were a few grades above me, I delayed a bit. However,
one rang me first to apologise about the article, saying it was
nonsense, and that none of the quotes attributed to them were what
they'd said.

A few years ago, I was speaking to someone who'd also fallen foul of
such misreporting and so, on his next interview, asked the interviewers
whether they minded whether he recorded it. They agreed. Of course, when
the story appeared, he'd been totally misquoted. He got another meeting
with them and went over the recording.They found all the words on the
recording that had appeared in the quotes but none of the phrases or
sentences. They had resorted, in effect, to the Eric Morecambe defence
where they'd used the right words but not necessarily in the right order!


I don't doubt that there is some selective quotation here, but I am
pretty confident that the basic theme of the UN prediction was that
there would be problems if something wasn't done. People being human,
they might well have sexed it up a bit, and of course journalists write
it up for the most dramatic spin, that is what journalists do.

Like Graham, I have had the unsettling experience of seeing highly
selective quotation from nuclear power professionals turned into a
series of dire warnings.

Skipping back to when I was passionate and impressionable, I worried
about the now-classic Paul Ehrlich quote from 1968:

"The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of
millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs
embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial
increase in the world death rate". Which of course didn't happen.

I also believed the 1960's prediction that oil was going to run out in
the 1890's.


Well, oil may not have run out in the 1890's or even the 1980's but the day when it does run out is getting ever closer.

The same applies to countries being wiped off the face of the planet by rising sea levels. It has not happened yet but it is now inevitable. We are not able now to stop Greenland continuing to melt, and it will add 7m to sea level. Bye bye Bangladesh, Holland and Florida. Your UN spokes man did not say that the flooding would occur in 2000, only that if nothing was done then it would be impossible to stop it. That is what is happening now. See:

New Study Finds Sea Level Rise Accelerating

Global sea level rise has been accelerating in recent decades, rather than increasing steadily, according to a new study based on 25 years of NASA and European satellite data.

@ https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard...e-accelerating
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Old August 3rd 19, 05:32 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default [CC] UN: Climate disaster predictions from 30 years ago

On Saturday, 3 August 2019 16:00:56 UTC+1, Alastair B. McDonald wrote:
On Saturday, 3 August 2019 14:37:56 UTC+1, newshound wrote:
On 03/08/2019 11:49, Graham P Davis wrote:
On 03/08/2019 11:03, Spike wrote:
This is the full version, HTH:

https://www.apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0

Ah, a media story. My personal experience with these is that they often
bear little relationship to what the interviewee actually said. Fifty
years ago I was incensed on seeing an article in the Daily Fail about an
impending "Little Ice Age" which was a load of ******** from beginning
to end. I'd worked with the interviewees and could not believe what
they'd said. When I got to work I was going to ring them but,
considering they were a few grades above me, I delayed a bit. However,
one rang me first to apologise about the article, saying it was
nonsense, and that none of the quotes attributed to them were what
they'd said.

A few years ago, I was speaking to someone who'd also fallen foul of
such misreporting and so, on his next interview, asked the interviewers
whether they minded whether he recorded it. They agreed. Of course, when
the story appeared, he'd been totally misquoted. He got another meeting
with them and went over the recording.They found all the words on the
recording that had appeared in the quotes but none of the phrases or
sentences. They had resorted, in effect, to the Eric Morecambe defence
where they'd used the right words but not necessarily in the right order!


I don't doubt that there is some selective quotation here, but I am
pretty confident that the basic theme of the UN prediction was that
there would be problems if something wasn't done. People being human,
they might well have sexed it up a bit, and of course journalists write
it up for the most dramatic spin, that is what journalists do.

Like Graham, I have had the unsettling experience of seeing highly
selective quotation from nuclear power professionals turned into a
series of dire warnings.

Skipping back to when I was passionate and impressionable, I worried
about the now-classic Paul Ehrlich quote from 1968:

"The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of
millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs
embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial
increase in the world death rate". Which of course didn't happen.

I also believed the 1960's prediction that oil was going to run out in
the 1890's.


Well, oil may not have run out in the 1890's or even the 1980's but the day when it does run out is getting ever closer.

The same applies to countries being wiped off the face of the planet by rising sea levels. It has not happened yet but it is now inevitable. We are not able now to stop Greenland continuing to melt, and it will add 7m to sea level. Bye bye Bangladesh, Holland and Florida. Your UN spokes man did not say that the flooding would occur in 2000, only that if nothing was done then it would be impossible to stop it. That is what is happening now. See:

New Study Finds Sea Level Rise Accelerating

Global sea level rise has been accelerating in recent decades, rather than increasing steadily, according to a new study based on 25 years of NASA and European satellite data.

@ https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard...e-accelerating


Alistair I find myself banging my head against a brick wall with some of these denial'ers. Problem is most of them a running the World, so there's little hope for the human race.

Keith (Southend)


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