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Old October 25th 19, 05:05 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default NHC Storm 18?

Is this Atlantic storm, at about 33W 37N ,associated with the great long
front bringing all this weekends wind and rain? and destined to come our
way?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
2. Updated: Recent satellite derived winds indicate that the small
non-tropical low centered a few hundred miles southwest of the
western Azores is producing tropical-storm-force winds near the
center. The thunderstorm activity is becoming better organized and
if this trend continues a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form
later today. The low is forecast to move toward the east-northeast
for the next day or so and interests in the Azores should monitor
the progress of this system. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

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Old October 25th 19, 09:06 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default NHC Storm 18?

On 25/10/2019 17:05, N_Cook wrote:
Is this Atlantic storm, at about 33W 37N ,associated with the great long
front bringing all this weekends wind and rain? and destined to come our
way?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
2. Updated: Recent satellite derived winds indicate that the small
non-tropical low centered a few hundred miles southwest of the
western Azores is producing tropical-storm-force winds near the
center. The thunderstorm activity is becoming better organized and
if this trend continues a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form
later today. The low is forecast to move toward the east-northeast
for the next day or so and interests in the Azores should monitor
the progress of this system. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


It'll be unseasonably warm in France, Holland and Germany tomorrow.
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Old October 25th 19, 09:38 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default NHC Storm 18?

On Friday, 25 October 2019 22:06:41 UTC+2, Weather or Not wrote:
On 25/10/2019 17:05, N_Cook wrote:
Is this Atlantic storm, at about 33W 37N ,associated with the great long
front bringing all this weekends wind and rain? and destined to come our
way?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
2. Updated: Recent satellite derived winds indicate that the small
non-tropical low centered a few hundred miles southwest of the
western Azores is producing tropical-storm-force winds near the
center. The thunderstorm activity is becoming better organized and
if this trend continues a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form
later today. The low is forecast to move toward the east-northeast
for the next day or so and interests in the Azores should monitor
the progress of this system. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


It'll be unseasonably warm in France, Holland and Germany tomorrow.


Nothing particularly unseasonable for France, from what I've seen. 19c forecast tomorrow and 21c is recorded locally into November.

What is unseasonable, is the lack of any cool air. After 1c min in the first week of September (normal) nothing has come close since, so a run of very warm nights. Minus 2 predicted for the 31st.

DM. 740m. La Moratille. Correze. France.
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Old October 26th 19, 08:48 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default NHC Storm 18?

On 25/10/2019 17:05, N_Cook wrote:
Is this Atlantic storm, at about 33W 37N ,associated with the great long
front bringing all this weekends wind and rain? and destined to come our
way?

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
2. Updated: Recent satellite derived winds indicate that the small
non-tropical low centered a few hundred miles southwest of the
western Azores is producing tropical-storm-force winds near the
center. The thunderstorm activity is becoming better organized and
if this trend continues a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form
later today. The low is forecast to move toward the east-northeast
for the next day or so and interests in the Azores should monitor
the progress of this system. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


Renamed Tropical Storm Pablo, roughly this way cometh.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 35.5N 31.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 35.6N 28.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 37.7N 25.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 41.2N 22.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 28/0000Z 44.0N 21.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 29/0000Z 47.3N 20.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED

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Monthly public talks on science topics, Hampshire , England
http://diverse.4mg.com/scicaf.htm


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