The latest update I have just seen on Anglia Weather is for gusts 70 to
90mph, mostly very much in the south around the M4 and south of that. It
wasn't terribly specific. There is still another full 24 hours to go, i.e.
plenty of time for things to go either way before a more comprehensive
severe weather warning is issued.

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"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...
| The latest update I have just seen on Anglia Weather is for gusts 70 to
| 90mph, mostly very much in the south around the M4 and south of that. It
| wasn't terribly specific. There is still another full 24 hours to go, i.e.
| plenty of time for things to go either way before a more comprehensive
| severe weather warning is issued.
|

A lot more will be known tomorrow as the 00z DT mesoscale model is available.
Global models are very coarse, as you can imagine, the mesoscale should help
give that ever important detail.

Joe

"Joe Hunt" wrote in message
...

"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...
| The latest update I have just seen on Anglia Weather is for gusts 70 to
| 90mph, mostly very much in the south around the M4 and south of that. It
| wasn't terribly specific. There is still another full 24 hours to go,
i.e.
| plenty of time for things to go either way before a more comprehensive
| severe weather warning is issued.
|

A lot more will be known tomorrow as the 00z DT mesoscale model is
available.
Global models are very coarse, as you can imagine, the mesoscale should
help
give that ever important detail.

Joe

Joe

Remember that the Mesoscale Model is fed by data from the Global Model, so
in a fast moving situation errors in the Global Model fields to the west of
the UK will also be apparent in the Meso model...

thats the problem when one higher resolution model feeds off data from
another model.

Paul

"PJB" wrote in message
...
snip
Remember that the Mesoscale Model is fed by data from the Global Model, so
in a fast moving situation errors in the Global Model fields to the west
of
the UK will also be apparent in the Meso model...

thats the problem when one higher resolution model feeds off data from
another model.

Paul

An expanded mesoscale which extends from the western Atlantic through to
eastern Europe (currently run at 06Z and 18Z) will go some way towards
improving this situation.

Jon.

Living right on the doorstep of the channel in Sussex i am watching this
VERY closely.......

Mr Mild (And Windy)



"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
"PJB" wrote in message
...
snip
Remember that the Mesoscale Model is fed by data from the Global Model,
so
in a fast moving situation errors in the Global Model fields to the west
of
the UK will also be apparent in the Meso model...

thats the problem when one higher resolution model feeds off data from
another model.

Paul

An expanded mesoscale which extends from the western Atlantic through to
eastern Europe (currently run at 06Z and 18Z) will go some way towards
improving this situation.

Jon.