Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued 0605z,
3/10/04.

The models show that after a cooler and mainly settled spell for the end of
the working week, low pressure will move slowly northwards bringing
easterlies across much the UK for the weekend, with rain spreading from the
south.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure dominates the North Atlantic, with a ridge over NW Scotland
bringing NE'lies to much of the UK. The ridge sinks southwards over the UK
at T+144, with light winds for most. The exception is southern England,
which lies under strengthening easterlies from a low west of Iberia. The low
deepens and moves northwards at T+144, introducing an easterly flow across
England, Ireland and Wales. Scotland lies under NW'lies, with high pressure
by now over Iceland.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The Met Office chart shows a large high to the NW, with ENE'lies and NE'lies
for the UK. There's little change at T+144, with lows over France and to the
west of France.

GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
Easterlies and NE'lies cover the UK, due to high pressure west of Scotland.
Some cold air is trapped under the high, with 850hPa temperatures from -5C
over northern Scotland to +1C over southern England. The easterlies increase
in strength at T+144 as low pressure deepens and moves northwards over
Biscay. By T+168 the low lies to the SW of Ireland, with southerlies for
southern England and Wales; elsewhere winds remain easterlies. There's
little change on day 8, but by day 9 a second centre forms over the North
Sea, with NE'lies for Scotland and Ireland. Day 10 sees a weak ridge atop
Scotland, with easterlies or SE'lies for the rest of the UK.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The UK lies under a ridge from a high to the west, with northerlies and
easterlies. 850hPa temperatures vary from -1C to +1C over the UK, warmest
over southern England. By T+144 Scotland lies under a ridge with light
winds, while the remainder of the UK is affected by easterlies.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The Japanese run shows a cold NNE'ly flow over the UK, with high pressure
well to the west. 850hPa temperatures range from -4C over northern Scotland
to freezing over southern England. A ridge topples over the UK at T+144,
with ENE'lies and NE'lies restricted to southern England. The parent high
moves over Scotland at T+144, bringing easterlies to much of the UK. The
winds become ESE'lies on day 8 as the high declines and low pressure moves
slowly northwards to the NW of Iberia.

"Darren Prescott" wrote in message
...
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued
0605z,
3/10/04.

The models show that after a cooler and mainly settled spell for the end
of
the working week, low pressure will move slowly northwards bringing
easterlies across much the UK for the weekend, with rain spreading from
the
south.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure dominates the North Atlantic, with a ridge over NW Scotland
bringing NE'lies to much of the UK. The ridge sinks southwards over the UK
at T+144, with light winds for most. The exception is southern England,
which lies under strengthening easterlies from a low west of Iberia. The
low
deepens and moves northwards at T+144, introducing an easterly flow across
England, Ireland and Wales. Scotland lies under NW'lies, with high
pressure
by now over Iceland.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The Met Office chart shows a large high to the NW, with ENE'lies and
NE'lies
for the UK. There's little change at T+144, with lows over France and to
the
west of France.

GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
Easterlies and NE'lies cover the UK, due to high pressure west of
Scotland.
Some cold air is trapped under the high, with 850hPa temperatures from -5C
over northern Scotland to +1C over southern England. The easterlies
increase
in strength at T+144 as low pressure deepens and moves northwards over
Biscay. By T+168 the low lies to the SW of Ireland, with southerlies for
southern England and Wales; elsewhere winds remain easterlies. There's
little change on day 8, but by day 9 a second centre forms over the North
Sea, with NE'lies for Scotland and Ireland. Day 10 sees a weak ridge atop
Scotland, with easterlies or SE'lies for the rest of the UK.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The UK lies under a ridge from a high to the west, with northerlies and
easterlies. 850hPa temperatures vary from -1C to +1C over the UK, warmest
over southern England. By T+144 Scotland lies under a ridge with light
winds, while the remainder of the UK is affected by easterlies.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The Japanese run shows a cold NNE'ly flow over the UK, with high pressure
well to the west. 850hPa temperatures range from -4C over northern
Scotland
to freezing over southern England. A ridge topples over the UK at T+144,
with ENE'lies and NE'lies restricted to southern England. The parent high
moves over Scotland at T+144, bringing easterlies to much of the UK. The
winds become ESE'lies on day 8 as the high declines and low pressure moves
slowly northwards to the NW of Iberia.


Showing interesting developments now. I wonder whether it will just be a
transient situation or the third October running with a period of blocked
'easterly' weather with areas of high pressure to the N and lower pressure
to the South.

--
Pete

Please take my dog out twice to e-mail

---------------------------------------------------------------
The views expressed above are entirely those of the writer and
do not represent the views, policy or understanding of any
other person or official body.
---------------------------------------------------------------

In uk.sci.weather on Mon, 4 Oct 2004 at 06:09:51, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued 0605z,
3/10/04.

The models show that after a cooler and mainly settled spell for the end of
the working week, low pressure will move slowly northwards bringing
easterlies across much the UK for the weekend, with rain spreading from the
south.

If only this was January...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

Paul Hyett wrote:

If only this was January...

Five pound fine, I think?
--
Steve Loft, Wanlockhead, Dumfriesshire. 1417ft ASL
http://www.wanlockhead.org.uk/weather/
Free weather softwa http://cumulus.nybbles.co.uk/
Experimental webcam: http://www.wanlockhead.org.uk/webcam.php

In uk.sci.weather on Tue, 5 Oct 2004 at 09:17:27, Steve Loft wrote :
Paul Hyett wrote:

If only this was January...

Five pound fine, I think?

Huh?

Just for using 'was' instead of 'were'?
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

Paul Hyett wrote:

Huh?

Just for using 'was' instead of 'were'?

Ah, I didn't spot that. No charge for that.
--
Steve Loft, Wanlockhead, Dumfriesshire. 1417ft ASL
http://www.wanlockhead.org.uk/weather/
Free weather softwa http://cumulus.nybbles.co.uk/
Experimental webcam: http://www.wanlockhead.org.uk/webcam.php