I'm lucky enough to be going on a flight to see the Northern Lights on or
about the 10th of December. Now I know I've read with interest some
discussions on the Northern lights on this NG, and wondered if anyone knows
where there might be a forecast for activity on the date mentioned.


I've tried googling with no luck.

Thanks


Paul Appleby

On Sat, 9 Oct 2004 07:40:02 +0100, Paul Appleby wrote in
t

I'm lucky enough to be going on a flight to see the Northern Lights on or
about the 10th of December. Now I know I've read with interest some
discussions on the Northern lights on this NG, and wondered if anyone knows
where there might be a forecast for activity on the date mentioned.

The aurora are even more difficult to forecast than the weather - even at
only 12 hours' notice. Here are a couple of sites you can check for
current activity.

http://www.dan.sp-agency.ca/www/rtoval.htm

http://www.spacew.com/www/aurvis.gif

http://www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

At the last one you can sign up to receive email alerts when high activity
is likely.

--
Mike 55.13°N 6.69°W Coleraine posted to uk.sci.weather 09/10/2004 07:25:11 UTC

"Mike Tullett" wrote in message
...
On Sat, 9 Oct 2004 07:40:02 +0100, Paul Appleby wrote in
t

I'm lucky enough to be going on a flight to see the Northern Lights on
or
about the 10th of December. Now I know I've read with interest some
discussions on the Northern lights on this NG, and wondered if anyone
knows
where there might be a forecast for activity on the date mentioned.

The aurora are even more difficult to forecast than the weather - even at
only 12 hours' notice. Here are a couple of sites you can check for
current activity.

http://www.dan.sp-agency.ca/www/rtoval.htm

http://www.spacew.com/www/aurvis.gif

http://www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

At the last one you can sign up to receive email alerts when high activity
is likely.

--

For info, I have been subscribed to the lancaster uni facility since July.
In that time there has been one amber alert ... no red alerts and no
aurorae.
I did not know one could 'book' to see one ....

Gianna

On Sat, 9 Oct 2004 08:25:11 +0100, Mike Tullett wrote:

The aurora are even more difficult to forecast than the weather -

I think that can go down as the understatement of the year...

Though I think if you go to the right place, which no doubt a flight
can. You should see something unless it's really very quiet. What does
the small print in the contract say? Do they guarantee seeing the
aurora, is there any form of "get out" clause?

Predicting storms or events that are big enough to be seen a long way
south, like the UK, is the hard bit. It's been pretty quite for a
while now, and as we are on the downward slope of the sunspot cycle
likely to remain quiet for the next 5 years or so. But that doesn't
preclude the odd good display.

--
Cheers
Dave. pam is missing e-mail

For info, I have been subscribed to the lancaster uni facility since July.
In that time there has been one amber alert ... no red alerts and no
aurorae.

I've been subscribed to Aurorawatch for about four years. It's so long since
I had anything from it that it had crossed my mind that it might have been
withdrawn.

Anne

On Sat, 9 Oct 2004 11:57:59 +0200, Gianna Stefani wrote:

For info, I have been subscribed to the lancaster uni facility since
July. In that time there has been one amber alert ... no red alerts
and no aurorae.

The York magnetometer (which is where the detctor is) really only
detects fairly big events, there havn't been any big events
recently...

http://www.aurorachasers.com/ is another reasonable site, lots of
useful information. It also makes predictions a few hours ahead and
will send out email alerts. Look at the ADEC pages. The calculator
page for the Kp value alert seems to come up with a good answer,
you'll need your latitude and longitude though.

--
Cheers
Dave. pam is missing e-mail

On Sat, 9 Oct 2004 11:19:13 +0000 (UTC), Anne Burgess wrote:

I've been subscribed to Aurorawatch for about four years. It's so
long since I had anything from it that it had crossed my mind that
it might have been withdrawn.

No it's still active but a while back (couple of years?), they did
have a hic-cough and I think it would be wise to check that you are
still subscribed...

--
Cheers
Dave. pam is missing e-mail