wrote:
September 25, 2005 2:50am

The Weather Bureau just reported that Rita will hit parts of Minnesota
and all of Wisconsin in less than one hour. Rain amounts predicted up
to 8 inches in one hour. Prepare for evacuation to higher ground.

Nice try but no cigar. For the silly story of the day go to:
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/...icle315001.ece

[quote]
Experts warn New York: you could be next
By Geoffrey Lean, Environment Editor
Published: 25 September 2005

Experts are predicting still more hurricanes, in what could be the
worst year for the storms since records began. The US government's
official National Hurricane Center and scientists at Colorado State
University, who predicted both Katrina and Rita, expect several more
named storms in the remaining two months of the hurricane season. And
the World Meteorological Organisation believes that the record of 21,
set in 1933, may be beaten.

Some of these storms could hit the US, and experts say New York could
be the next city to be devastated. The area around the Big Apple is
listed by the Center as the fifth most vulnerable in the country, after
New Orleans, the Florida Keys, Tampa in Florida and Galveston in Texas,
all targeted by hurricanes in the past two years.

Max Mayfield, director of the Center, told Congress that Katrina "will
not be the last major hurricane to hit a vulnerable area, and New
Orleans is not the only location vulnerable to a large disaster from a
land-falling hurricane".

Local experts say that such a catastrophe is "inevitable", and the New
York City authorities warn that it could bring a 30ft-high storm surge
crashing into Manhattan.

The city says at least a million New Yorkers are at risk, and has drawn
up plans to evacuate those within 10 blocks of the water. But the city
could have less warning than Texas or Louisiana, since hurricanes move
faster as they head northwards.
[/unquote]

There is a srtiking paucity of anything attributable to scientific
reasoning in reard to things meteorological on a.t.w so I thought I
should throw a couple of logs on the fi

Experts are predicting still more hurricanes, in what could be the
worst year for the storms since records began.

And the World Meteorological Organisation believes that the record of 21, set in 1933, may be beaten. Some of these storms could hit the US,...

Count on it.

Check this out:

There is a seasonal high whenever there is a run of lunar phases that
go according to this rule of thumb:

If the time of the phase according to the Nautical Almanack, is
divisible by 3 leaving a remainder very few minutes off 0, the weather
will tend to produce precipitation.

If the remainder is nearer 1 than 2, the precipitation is liable to be
extreme.

When the remainder is nearer to 2 there will be a lull in such a cycle.
An example of this was what happened with Rita. Furthermore the same
sort of lull will occur again early in November.


... and experts say New York could be the next city to be devastated.
The area around the Big Apple is listed by the Center as the fifth
most vulnerable in the country, after New Orleans, the Florida Keys,
Tampa in Florida and Galveston in Texas, all targeted by hurricanes in
the past two years.

How do they work that out? Waht are the tidal ranges in the area
involved? Isn't the tidal sequence totally different in NY than in
those other regions?

The direction of the flow of the current is.

In fact the flow is more in keeping with the direction that breeder
storms leave The Congo at. The gyre takes the water out into the
Atlantic.

Local experts say that such a catastrophe is "inevitable", and the New York City authorities warn that it could bring a 30ft-high storm surge crashing into Manhattan.

Local or loco experts? Just exactly who are those guys?

The city says at least a million New Yorkers are at risk, and has
drawn up plans to evacuate those within 10 blocks of the water. But the
city could have less warning than Texas or Louisiana, since hurricanes move faster as they head northwards.

However they have considerably more experience at moving people en
masse quickly and quietly. Not that an high rise in NY is going to be
in that much need of emptying.

FFS, what next?

Weatherlawyer wrote:

Check this out:

There is a seasonal high whenever there is a run of lunar phases that
go according to this rule of thumb:

If the time of the phase according to the Nautical Almanack, is
divisible by 3 leaving a remainder very few minutes off 0, the weather
will tend to produce precipitation.

If the remainder is nearer 1 than 2, the precipitation is liable to be
extreme.

When the remainder is nearer to 2 there will be a lull in such a cycle.
An example of this was what happened with Rita. Furthermore the same
sort of lull will occur again early in November.

With an accompanying similar quake to this:
MAP 7.5 2005/09/26 01:55:40 -5.614 -76.371 132.3 NORTHERN PERU

In my defence I may well have posted elsewhere that this sort of thing
was due to take place. Naturally I am not going to go looking for that
post.

If anyone is interested, such a post might possibly be found at
uk.sci.weather.

Weatherlawyer wrote:

MAP 7.5 2005/09/26 01:55:40 -5.614 -76.371 132.3 NORTHERN PERU

That by the way is news of a 7.5 Mag quake on the 26th of September
2005 in NORTHERN PERU

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...uakes_all.html

OK, no hard feelings to the OP but this IS my homepage these days:

Something big is brewing; « Start of topic»

Note date:

1. Aug 13, 6:07 pm show options

5th August 2005, the phase of the moon (03:05) was for thundery weather
but we had some confused (apparently) charts and some really nice
weather. I don't like the summer sun normally but this spell was very
nice indeed.

On the 13th the time of the phase wasn't that different from the
previous but at 02:38 it started in really wet. Actually the 12th was
wet too but that just means the spell started in early.

Both should have been wet spells. Actually, the one for the 13th-on
would have been a fine weather spell if it had occurred at 02:00. The
problem is that it was on the cusp of the thundery one.

When a spell is at around 20 minutes to any hour, the set up is
fractious; plus it is -or rather was, nearer the wet end of the code
than fine end.

But what happened when we had that fine weather when it should have
been thundery?

I can't understand why there was no major quake or perhaps some
seriously powerful hurricane or typhoon. If there was one I must have
missed it. Still at least the dry weather broke in Spain and France.

2. Aug 13, 6:41 pm show options

One body found in mine floods 10 Aug 2005

Freak snowfall hits Australia 10 Aug 2005

Heat brings jellyfish to Spain 10 Aug 2005

Flood hampers Indian rescue 10 Aug 2005

Drought sees rise in nut prices 10 Aug 2005

Iranian floods kill ten 10 Aug 2005

Heat threatens Toronto's power 09 Aug 2005

Bulgarian flood death toll rising 09 Aug 2005

Many dead in Nigerian flash floods 09 Aug 2005

Typhoon Matsa heads to Beijing 09 Aug 2005

Wildlife on move to cooler climes 09 Aug 2005

European drought hits maize crop 09 Aug 2005

Cloudy skies delay shuttle return 08 Aug 2005

Chinese landslide kills five 08 Aug 2005

Drought-like conditions grip Nepal 08 Aug 2005

Indian landslide kills eight 08 Aug 2005

Many killed in Chinese mine floods 08 Aug 2005

Six dead in Bulgarian floods 08 Aug 2005

Heat wave tests Greek energy 07 Aug 2005

Freak thunderstorm brings hail 07 Aug 2005

Monsoon rains move south 06 Aug 2005

Portugal in grip of wildfires 05 Aug 2005

Dozens of Bangladeshis missing 05 Aug 2005

Snow causes traffic chaos in Oz 05 Aug 2005

Gold trade suffers from monsoon 04 Aug 2005

One dead in St Maarten flash flood 04 Aug 2005

Five Chinese missing in flood 04 Aug 2005

Drought takes its toll on US crops 04 Aug 2005

Another Scout gets hit by lightning 04 Aug 2005

Raichur villages hit by floods 03 Aug 2005

Malawi faces drought crisis 03 Aug 2005

South Korea counts flood casualties 03 Aug 2005

Twister seen in Bristol 03 Aug 2005

Landing plane crashes in storm 03 Aug 2005

Five dead in Turkey floods 03 Aug 2005

Drought causes sheep shortage 02 Aug 2005

Five killed in Nepal landslide 02 Aug 2005

Two killed by lightning in US 02 Aug 2005

Romanian heatwave kills 56 02 Aug 2005

Landslide kills boy in India 02 Aug 2005

Rains hamper Niger aid efforts 02 Aug 2005

Storm ravages northern Vietnam 01 Aug 2005

Texan flash flood causes chaos 01 Aug 2005

Drought risk in Bihar 01 Aug 2005

More rain lashes Mumbai 01 Aug 2005

27 killed in Iranian floods 01 Aug 2005

Tornado hits Chinese school 01 Aug 2005

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/cgi-bin/...och=1124064000

3. Aug 16, 6:18 am show options

Well I knew there had been something brewing. I expected it to arrive a
few days back or earlier.

MAP 7.2 2005/08/16 02:46:31 38.267 141.990 52.8 NEAR THE EAST
COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Quite clearly a fuzzy image. I kept looking at the list:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...uakes_all.html but was
quite disconcerted to find that there wasn't much happening.

Perhaps that is something I should be looking at in the future;
"nothing much happening." But where would I start. Of the things not
happening very much, most of the minor quakes were in America.

Perhaps I shall have to be more specific. Nothing much happening in
Japan, perhaps?

4. Aug 17, 8:13 pm show options

Two nice days have passed since the quake. Almost every quake since
then has been in Alaska. All the others in the Americas. Portugese
forest fires run unabated. A line of heavy rain running SW to NE is
moving slowly across the UK from Scotland down.

The spell looks set to run to the 19th. Then it WILL be wet. (Or should
be,- 17:53.) There isn't much showing he
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/charts/index.html maybe something
off Greenland midnight and crossing Iceland noon on Saturday the 20th.
(T + 72 and 84.)

Lots of time for things to change.

5. Michael McNeil Sep 1, 11:15 pm show options

And the more things change, the more they stay the same.

The good news is that we are in for a mild winter and a warm spring.

The bad news is that we are going to get more price hikes, as the
hurricane season will be well extended this year and not only in the
North Atlantic.

I don't like warm weather and I do not use heating oil or any sort of
oil. By the time I get around to needing heating, the government will
be paying for it or flat broke as it was in the slump after the Wall
Street crash.

Apart from the insurance companies going belly up and reneging on their
customers, I should do pretty well out of the coming disasters.

Having said that, if I wasn't interested in trying to circumvent the
problems that these disasters cause, I would not have spent some of my
most productive years (quite a few of them, at that) trying to find out
what really causes aberrant weather behaviour.

I would like to convey my honest, deep felt sympathy to all those hurt
by recent events. I have done my best as far as I could, to give
warning. I would like to think that, at any rate. There was probably
more I could have done but who would listen to some fool prattling on
the internet?

With the hurricanes in the USA, we tend to get thunder-storms in the UK.

AUG 26 15:18 = Wet spell.
SEP 3 18:45 = Too unsettled to say. Ordinarily a dry spell.
SEP 11 11:37 = A very unsettled, likely wet spell.

SEP 18 02:01 = I'm not sure. A weak, dry spell perhaps that might be
overwhelmed. May have a large quake but I doubt it.

SEP 25 06:41 = Unsettled wet spell.
OCT 3 10:28 = Very wet spell.
OCT 10 19:01 = Very wet spell.
OCT 17 12:14 = Wet spell.
OCT 25 01:17 = Very wet spell. Summer time ends around this spell.
NOV 2 01:24 = Very wet spell.

NOV 9 01:57 = This should be a dry spell but after such a long run
expect it to be different to what it should be. Look for a major
earthquake in this spell.

NOV 16 00:57 = Wet spell.
NOV 23 22:11 = Wet spell.
DEC 1 15:01 = Thunder spell.
DEC 8 09:36 = Unsettled wet spell.
DEC 15 16:15 = Wet spell.
DEC 23 19:36 = Unsettled wet spell.
DEC 31 03:12 = Thundery spell.

Don't go anywhere that has cat 4 and 5 hurricanes and super-typhoons if
you don't want an extremely interesting holy day this year.

Guess where this is copied from. It just so happens that I buried it
here because I am not interested in blowing my own trumpet. But I am
interested in helping people of all languages, nations, tribes and
tongues.

Would you believe that I just happened to find it when I was browsing
the group it came from?

Hello?