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#1
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I am supposes to predict the weather for the United States on August 3,
2006. If someone could please help me understand how to predict where various highs and lows will be, basic temps in the various regions (which I think I halready have gathered a fairly accurate prediction of), where precipitation is likely to be, and where the fronts will be on August 3, 2006 I would be eternally grateful. This is a project for school and I'm having difficulty figuring out how to identify fronts. Thanks, Kate |
#2
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![]() diana_whitney wrote: I am supposes to predict the weather for the United States on August 3, 2006. If someone could please help me understand how to predict where various highs and lows will be, basic temps in the various regions (which I think I halready have gathered a fairly accurate prediction of), where precipitation is likely to be, and where the fronts will be on August 3, 2006 I would be eternally grateful. I can't speak for the Americas, but for us the highs and lows form in Canada and Russia and tend to move east. With the USA, storms off Africa (lows) tend to work their way to the Caribbian. On the west coast storms in the North Pacific work their way down to Panama. This is a project for school and I'm having difficulty figuring out how to identify fronts. But once you can, you will one of the few who will be able to look at a weather map and know what the trend will be for the next few days. Anywhere you go in the world. Warm fronts are the thick black lines that have little "D" shapes on them and the cold fronts are the thick black lines that have triangles on them. Some maps shoe them as red for warm and blue for cold. The most interesting are the ones with both on. That is where all the weather is taking place. As one front overtakes the other, the different air temperaturse react to affect each other's stability. It's like when you are watching TV and your brother comes in and switches channels without asking. The fur may fly. When a warm air region is stable it has one set of adiabatic rules. When a cold air region is stable that too has its own adiabatics. When they mix, the way that water behaves as a gas, all changes. And guessing what happens next is like forcasting miracles. I doubt very much that the teacher needs you to get the forecast right so much as demonstrate that you have more than a vague idea what is going on. Forecasting the weather for more than 5 days in advance is impossible. The Weather Channel has or used to have a very active forum. You may find your classmates on the http://messageboards.weather.com/3/OpenTopic |
#3
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NOAA produces many products .. one of these is the long term weather
predictions, this link will cover August 3rd .. give it a look and then come back with any questions you might have about the strange meteorological terms. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...ay/fxus06.html 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 29 - AUG 04, 2006: DURING THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD...THE GFS BASED ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS INDICATE A WEAK TROUGH PROGRESSING TO NEW ENGLAND AND A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CONUS. THIS IMPLIES INCREASINGLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE EAST-CENTRAL U.S. HOWEVER... THE CANADIAN AND DAVA SOLUTIONS INDICATE A WEAKER RIDGE REDUCING THE CONFIDENCE IN THIS FORECAST WARM AND DRY PATTERN. FURTHER TO THE WEST...A WEAK TO MODERATE TROUGH PROGGED OVER OR NEAR THE NORTHWEST CONUS FAVORS COOL AND WET CONDITIONS FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND PACIFIC NORTHWEST. ALASKA IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE MAIN STORM TRACK AND THUS NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE STATE. "Weatherlawyer" wrote in message ps.com... diana_whitney wrote: I am supposes to predict the weather for the United States on August 3, 2006. If someone could please help me understand how to predict where various highs and lows will be, basic temps in the various regions (which I think I halready have gathered a fairly accurate prediction of), where precipitation is likely to be, and where the fronts will be on August 3, 2006 I would be eternally grateful. I can't speak for the Americas, but for us the highs and lows form in Canada and Russia and tend to move east. With the USA, storms off Africa (lows) tend to work their way to the Caribbian. On the west coast storms in the North Pacific work their way down to Panama. This is a project for school and I'm having difficulty figuring out how to identify fronts. But once you can, you will one of the few who will be able to look at a weather map and know what the trend will be for the next few days. Anywhere you go in the world. Warm fronts are the thick black lines that have little "D" shapes on them and the cold fronts are the thick black lines that have triangles on them. Some maps shoe them as red for warm and blue for cold. The most interesting are the ones with both on. That is where all the weather is taking place. As one front overtakes the other, the different air temperaturse react to affect each other's stability. It's like when you are watching TV and your brother comes in and switches channels without asking. The fur may fly. When a warm air region is stable it has one set of adiabatic rules. When a cold air region is stable that too has its own adiabatics. When they mix, the way that water behaves as a gas, all changes. And guessing what happens next is like forcasting miracles. I doubt very much that the teacher needs you to get the forecast right so much as demonstrate that you have more than a vague idea what is going on. Forecasting the weather for more than 5 days in advance is impossible. The Weather Channel has or used to have a very active forum. You may find your classmates on the http://messageboards.weather.com/3/OpenTopic |
#4
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![]() Wookie wrote: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...ay/fxus06.html 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 29 - AUG 04, 2006: DURING THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD...THE GFS BASED ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS INDICATE A WEAK TROUGH PROGRESSING TO NEW ENGLAND AND A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CONUS. THIS IMPLIES INCREASINGLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE EAST-CENTRAL U.S. HOWEVER... THE CANADIAN AND DAVA SOLUTIONS INDICATE A WEAKER RIDGE REDUCING THE CONFIDENCE IN THIS FORECAST WARM AND DRY PATTERN. FURTHER TO THE WEST...A WEAK TO MODERATE TROUGH PROGGED OVER OR NEAR THE NORTHWEST CONUS FAVORS COOL AND WET CONDITIONS FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND PACIFIC NORTHWEST. ALASKA IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE MAIN STORM TRACK AND THUS NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE STATE. And if anyone would like a traslation of the above, they could well do worse than visit: alt.english.usage Personally I would say that Alaska is expect to remain north of most things American for a considerable period after August the third. |
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