All told this took me an hour to cobble together from the tables set
out in NOAA's website by Mr Fred Espenack. Thanks Freddie.


3 Jan 13:57 Anticyclonic & foggy.

11 Jan 12:45 Seriously wet.
19 Jan 04:01 Seriously wet.

25 Jan 23:02 Anticyclonic.
2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.

10 Feb 09:51 Seriously wet.
17 Feb 16:14 Seriously wet.

24 Feb 07:56 Anticyclonic.
3 Mar 23:17 Anticyclonic.

12 Mar 03:54 Seriously wet.
19 Mar 02:43 Thundery
25 Mar 18:16 Ridges or troughs (No one parcel of air dominates.)
2 Apr 17:15 Wet and windy.

10 Apr 18:04 Anticyclonic.
17 Apr 11:36 Anticyclone to the west of the UK first sign of summer?
24 Apr 06:36 Anticyclone to the east of the UK.

2 May 10:09 Wet.
10 May 04:27 The first of the major Atlantic tropical storms.
16 May 19:27 The first of the major Atlantic tropical storms becomes an
hurricane.
23 May 21:03. Thunder. This spell in Stoke and Abergele, will bring
thunderstorms at either twelve , three or six o'clock and if
seriously bad enough multiple arrangements of these times. That would
depend on the declination of course which in May is a given -on at
least one day this spell.
1 Jun 01:04 Seriously wet.

8 Jun 11:43 Anticyclone to the west of the UK and a major earthquake to
break the spell.

15 Jun 03:13 More thunder to go with the seismic silly season.
22Jun 13:15 Wet and windy

30 Jun 13:49 Anticyclone to the east of the UK.
7 Jul 16:54 Anticyclone on the same longitude -if not over the UK.

14 Jul 12:04 Ridges or troughs (No parcel of air dominates.)
22 Jul 06:29 More of the same but mostly invaded by ridges from Europe.

30 Jul 00:48 Wet and windy.
5 Aug 21:20. Severe tropical storm. Probably N Atlantic.

12 Aug 23:03 Anticyclonic.

20 Aug 23:54 Ridges or troughs (No parcel of air dominates.) As for the
14th July.

28 Aug 10:35 More tropical storms. Pacific off Hawaii I guess. (It's
a very wide guess but watch out for earthquakes whilst you are there.)
4 Sep 02:33. This aught to be OK in the UK but worldwide it's a baaad
fkr. North Atlantic tropical storm at least.
11 Sep 12:44 And with this one a typhoon I think. And not too nice at
home but I placed it with the above because of the tropical storm. You
can blame Coriolis if you like but you'd be a ijit to.
19 Sep 16:48 The tropicals may ease somewhat but the storms still blow
despite this being anticyclonic.
26 Sep 19:45 Resurgam.
3 Oct 10:06 All these spells are pretty different in one way or another
but all have associated cyclones in the tropics -just different basins
is all. This one is anticyclonic over the UK or maybe to the south of
it? You will have to check with that Bartlett fellow m'lad.
http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/FAQ/2C.htm

11 Oct 05:01 A little bit of peace. (If you are not of the South China
Sea persuasion.) A fine summery spell for Britain.

19 Oct 08:33. Oh fk; it doesn't last long though! This one is a bad
one for typhoons and seismicity.

(At least the North Atlantic is positive about all this stuff.)

26 Oct 04:52 Anticyclone.

1 Nov 21:18 Wet and windy with thunder the typical British sunny
weather comes to an end and blow me, it's already November. Doesn't
time fly when you are having fun.

9 Nov 23:03 Antyclonic.
17 Nov 22:32 Similar but too far east for this time of year to be of
much use. Maybe a Bartlett High again? I don't know enough about
them. This one will hug most of Europe down to Portugal if that means
the same thing.
24 Nov 14:30 And this one is another baaad fkr.)as for 4th September.)
Anticyclonic.

1 Dec 12:44 Wet and windy.

9 Dec 17:40 Anticyclone well to the west of the UK but still fairly
nice here Look out if you live near a tropical coast line.
17 Dec 10:17 Oh... BAAAADDDD!
24 Dec 01:16 Wet and windy.

All told another bad one for the record books. Maybe not a 2005 in the
Atlantic or a 2006 everywhere else but certainly the same high body
count; only, more evenly distributed.

31 Dec 07:51 Pff! What can I say. By most standards no worse than the
rest. Windy anticyclonic but again look out for tropicals..

On Mon, 01 Jan 2007 02:22:55 -0800, Weatherlawyer wrote:

[drivel]

I don't how you got out of my killfile, but you are back in.

Weatherlawyer wrote:

3 Jan 13:57 Anticyclonic & foggy.

11 Jan 12:45 Seriously wet.

Not even fleeing silley could fault that one. Odd there was no massive
quake though. No doubt it is in the "pending" files.*

19 Jan 04:01 Seriously wet.

More to come.

25 Jan 23:02 Anticyclonic.
2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.

*And when it arrives it will be followed by a major Extra Tropical

Your mileage will vary of course but old Mike is on a roll.

Weatherlawyer wrote:
Weatherlawyer wrote:

3 Jan 13:57 Anticyclonic & foggy.

11 Jan 12:45 Seriously wet.

Not even fleeing silley could fault that one. Odd there was no massive
quake though. No doubt it is in the "pending" files.*

19 Jan 04:01 Seriously wet.

More to come.

25 Jan 23:02 Anticyclonic.
2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.

*And when it arrives it will be followed by a major Extra Tropical

Your mileage will vary of course but old Mike is on a roll.

7.3. 2007/01/21 11:27 1.207N 126.29E. MOLUCCA SEA:
Now all we need is the cyclone.

Weatherlawyer wrote:

7.3. 2007/01/21 11:27 1.207N 126.29E. MOLUCCA SEA:
Now all we need is the cyclone.

Which was Cyclone Arthur now dying off the Cook Islands having
threatened Fiji(?) or some such archipelago.

I think there will be a few extra tropicals with the next two phases:
25 Jan 23:02 Anticyclonic.

Which lead off unchanged from the anticyclonic end of the last spell
(which changed from wet and windy with that major quake) and:

2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.

Which is not all that anticyclonic and since it is suggestive of a
North Atlantic basin, might just mean a low moving in from the Azores
or the Bahamas.

A deep low. And in that case a chance for some severe sismicity maybe
only high sixes.

Which brings me to the subject of my post...

Since the NEIC is good enough to delineate small earthquakes of note
only to the USA and fairly modest quakes of note world wide, it should
be possible to equate meteorological forces with subterranean ones.

A 4M quake for example might equate to the Beaufort scale
(http://www.zetnet.co.uk/sigs/weather...s/beaufort.htm) of an F6
"Strong Breeze of 22 - 27 knots." Which produces:

Large branches in motion; whistling heard in telegraph wires; umbrellas
used with difficulty. And at sea: Large waves begin to form; white foam
crests are extensive everywhere. Probably some spray.

So an 8M would be an hurricane of significant proportions enough to get
an F2 or 3 rating.

Which leaves us to interpolate 5M as an F8 of 34 - 40 knots; a gale
that breaks twigs off trees and generally impedes progress.

But; at sea there would be no sign of a seismic disturbance where a 5M
is equal to a 34 - 40 knot gale with moderately high waves of great
length; the edges of their crests beginning to break into spindrift and
foam blown in well-marked streaks along the direction of the wind.

Of course there is as yet, no indication of the ferocity of submarine
disturbances apart from the very little actually known about tidal
waves.

A 6M is the equivalent of an F9 41-47 knot Severe Gale in which high
waves with dense streaks of foam along the direction of the wind.
Crests of waves begin to topple, tumble and roll over. Spray may affect
visibility.

But in an F9 on land, only "Slight structural damage occurs."
(Chimney-pots and slates removed for example.)

Not an exact equivalent.

No more exact -for example, than the present interpolation for
measuring the force or power of earthquake magnitudes in megatons of
nuclear bombs.

A 7M is about the equivalent of an hurricane.

In fact in the Asian Pacific and the Indian oceans, there tends to be
7M quakes with the occurrence of tropical cyclones. And where the winds
are significantly in excess of the minimum requirements for a category
F1 hurricane, the magnitudes of accompanying quakes is proportionally
larger.

Weatherlawyer wrote:

Which lead off unchanged from the anticyclonic end of the last spell
(which changed from wet and windy with that major quake) and:

2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.

With the old idea I had, the time of the phase approaching the quarter
hour indicated windy weather in the UK.

I now feel that the time of the phase moves on past simple divisions
of the clock. It appeared to me that the later the phase became, the
further west the weather fronts were situated. And yet there is a
remarkable deterioration in their stabilities when the time of the
phase is somewhere around 20 minutes to or past the hour.

All just coincidence of course. But then there is the forecast windy
weather that is slated for about the time of the next phase on the 2nd
of February.

In article .com,
"Weatherlawyer" wrote:

Weatherlawyer wrote:

Which lead off unchanged from the anticyclonic end of the last spell
(which changed from wet and windy with that major quake) and:

2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.

With the old idea I had, the time of the phase approaching the quarter
hour indicated windy weather in the UK.

I now feel that the time of the phase moves on past simple divisions
of the clock. It appeared to me that the later the phase became, the
further west the weather fronts were situated. And yet there is a
remarkable deterioration in their stabilities when the time of the
phase is somewhere around 20 minutes to or past the hour.

All just coincidence of course. But then there is the forecast windy
weather that is slated for about the time of the next phase on the 2nd
of February.

You know, you could go back over two centuries of weather data and an
ephemeris and actually get data to support your wacky inference.

--
Timberwoof me at timberwoof dot com http://www.timberwoof.com
"Like this cup," the master daid, "you are full of your own opinions and
speculations. How can I show you anything unless you first empty your cup?"

Weatherlawyer wrote:

Which lead off unchanged from the anticyclonic end of the last spell
(which changed from wet and windy with that major quake) and:

2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.

With the old idea I had, the time of the phase approaching the quarter
hour indicated windy weather in the UK.

I now feel that the time of the phase moves on past simple divisions
of the clock. It appeared to me that the later the phase became, the
further west the weather fronts were situated. And yet there is a
remarkable deterioration in their stabilities when the time of the
phase is somewhere around 20 minutes to or past the hour.

All just coincidence of course. But then there is the forecast windy
weather that is slated for about the time of the next phase on the 2nd
of February.

25 Jan 23:02 Anticyclonic.
2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.

Well I was thinking that this is too early in the season for the North
Atlantic but I should have been paying a lot more attention. What can
anyone say?

Hurricane Bush perhaps?

Just hours after storms in central Florida killed a reported 19
people, former FEMA director Michael Brown told a group of emergency
responders that helping people recover after a disaster is as crucial
as helping them the day it hits.

By coincidence, he already had been scheduled to speak Friday to the
Florida Emergency Preparedness Association in Volusia County, one of
the areas affected by the storms.
Brown said recovery efforts don't suffer from lack of resources. He
said the problem is that the federal government doesn't treat natural
disasters as seriously as terrorism.

"Had terrorists blown up the levees in New Orleans, the response and
recovery would have been different," Brown said, "and I know that,
because I've been there."
Since leaving FEMA, Brown has become a consultant and speaks around
the world.

There has been a remarkable increase in high rainfalls and storm
damage. The moral of this story is If you live in a place like
Boscastle or similar, never invite a failed rescue idiot like Michael
Brown to come and give an example of how not to do it, or you might
get hands on experience.

25 Jan 23:02 Anticyclonic.
That was a really odd one. What I should love to have explained to me
is that it was cloudy as efex but extra ordinarily warm. Perhaps I
aught to post this on UK sci.weather but they have experts on there
that might burst my bubble.

2 Feb 05:45 Anticyclonic & foggy.
Now that's more like it. Sunny as hell and cold as efeck.
What I should love to have explained to me is that it was sunny as
efex but compared to last week....
Perhaps I aught to post this on UK sci.weather but they have experts
on there etc., etc..

10 Feb 09:51 Seriously wet.
Yes, well... Ordinarily we'd be in the middle of a wet spell for this
one to work like it should. (I wish I had a database. I wonder what I
could do with it. (That reminds me I just put a sweet potato in the
microwave.))

Let's see if I can guess a basin for this one...
American Pacific. What's that west or east?

17 Feb 16:14 Seriously wet.
Let's see three o'clock is thunder so that was a wet one too.. plus 1
and a 1/4 is what.. some 20 degrees west is it? Or is it 20 plus 45 =
65...

Which puts it ..
Damn, I wish I had a database and some popcorn and took the steak out
of the freezer earlier today.

24 Feb 07:56 Anticyclonic.
OK.... Maybe not. Well on it's way to the Pacific as it happens but
they have Highs there too, don't they?

3 Mar 23:17 Anticyclonic.
Ah well I aught to get this one.
Eleven o'clock and a bit just like it is now actually.

Time for bed.