On Nov 4, 8:20 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Nov 4, 4:50 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

From another group:
On Nov 4, 4:19 pm, "Will Hand" wrote:
12Z GFS is predicting storm force 11 NNW'ly down the North Sea late Thursday
into Friday. East coast of UK and Holland could be battered. Turning very cold
too with sleet and snow showers in north-eastern Britain. Folk in SW England
will be wondering what all the fuss is about with just cooler air, sunshine and
fresh NW winds.

As I said in a previous thread, there looks to be more in the offing.

Thursday is the 8th and the next lunar phase is on the 9th. Nice
timing. Looks just like I said it would. Of course being sensible I'll
wait for the 10th to claim my hit.

That should rattle the fools some.

If this turns out to be Noel going home, then the rethink I was
considering has to be rethought.

First of all the obvious. Psychologically, humans generally have a
flair for seeing that things are working correctly by just zenning it.
Whatever that "it" might be. It's that certain "Je ne sais pas quoi"
that god gave man no doubt to help him expand paradise.

It runs along the lines of the KISS principle. And it is probably why
a poor education is no stumbling block to a successful business life.

It also prevents those locked into a wrong idea from gaining to much
ground over the dispossessed.

So here we go with the latest from the greatest:

It looks like Noel is going to go home on Scotland or Norway. This
gives us (that is: me) the Weatherlawyer principle that occluded
fronts doing what they do best, supply water to the likes of me for
instance, if not exactly giving vent to earthquakes, do provide a
method for their forecast.

But we knew that already; so what is new?

The storms in the Asian Pacific give vent to that cell of seismicity
in the region of New Zealand and that ocean south of the Marshall
Islands.

Looks favourite for Friday: Either that will tell us I am right or
wrong. Or not as the case may be. Very entertaining, any way. My
sincerest regrets to all caught up in the turmoil of course. I can
only stand by and watch pointing futilely at the bloody obvious.

Western North Pacific area tropical cyclone summary:

06:00 typhoon 21w (Peipah) was located near 18.4 N. 118.6 E.
Approximately 270 nm NNW of Manila, Philippines,

Maximum sustained surface winds were estimated at 70 knots
gusting to 85 knots.

http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/ab/abpwweb.txt