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alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) (alt.talk.weather) A general forum for discussion of the weather. |
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Oh boy fancy nearly missing this:
23:03. It is very rare that a phase falls at exactly the same time within a few months of the last one. In fact given that there are 24 hours in a day and that a phase can land on any minute of any one of them, it is rare for a phase to be within half an hour of another. Suppose that the weather and events that occur during such a phase are repeated to some extent if they occur with a 10 minute interval, then it is likely that if they occur at the same time of day, even though several months apart, there will be extreme likenesses. As in this case: 12th August 2007, 23:03. 9th November 2007, 23:03 The lunar and solar declinations are different of course. That is not to say their resultants or combined harmonic effect whatever that turns out to be, won't be similar. I couldn't say. It's just the chances of getting a declination similar are about as poor as getting a phase similar. (The moon makes a journey of some 54 degrees of declination every 27 - 28 days. It seems to have a long point of dwell at tdc and bdc too.) It's around 27 degrees South for a few days at the moment for instance. Have a look at the 22nd August he http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Solar This is from a thread started on the 15th August: 4 tropical storms on the boards today. 2 of them super cyclones: http://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/ Ordinarily, the time of the phase at around 23:00 would produce a reasonably fine spell of British weather. Unfortunately all the steam for this set up is taken up in a sump filled with powerful hurricanes. We were supposed to have severe weather high winds and heavy rain. I can't say it was much more than occasionally breezy here, though it has to be said that winds are very rare in this region. And the weather was on the wet side with a little drizzle. The most noticeable thing was the overcast. I would have expected misty weather. That would have been true had the cell active in the Gulf of Mexico produced a respectable blow. 16th: Forest fires and drought conditions still affect much of Central Europe -at least they were shown on the same news bulletins that spoke of the Peru Quake. And on the 17th: And as if one disaster after another were not bad enough, the rescue party that went into a collapsed mine in Utah yesterday have themselves fallen victim to a fresh collapse. Any similarities? From: http://groups.google.com/group/uk.sc...09a9bf5d397a0# http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...10/160_-50.php was upgraded to a 6.5 which is about as good as it gets there. (Doesn't preclude more though. But then this wild storm we were supposed to have wasn't what we were supposed to have was it?) Joint Typhoon Warning Center Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Significant tropical weather advisory for the Indian Ocean.North Indian Ocean area (Malay peninsula west to coast of Africa.) At 11:06 z, tropical cyclone 06b was located near 10.0 N 92.3 E, approximately 95 nautical miles SSW of the Andaman Islands and had tracked WNW-ward at 02 knots over the past 6 hours. maximum sustained winds were estimated at 35 knots gusting to 45 knots. http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/ab/abioweb.txt Looks like a rebirth of Peipah to me but what do I know? Pearl Harbor,Joinjt Typhoon Warning Centre significant tropical weather advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans tropical cyclone formation alert. Western North Pacific area (180 to Malay Peninsula.) The area of convection previously located near 17.7 N 143.6 E, is now located near 19.8 N 140.0 E, approximately 310 nautical miles SSW of Iwo To. http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/ab/abpwweb.txt That's two. Note that when Peipah went ashore on Vietnam(?) there was a surge in seismic activity in that region around New Zealand. I bet the same thing happened in August if there were any Asian Pacific storms doing that. I wonder what the other storms revealed as they hit the beach. Tracks available he http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tropicalcyclone/ It might take some finding as MetO pages are notoriously crappy to browse. Something to do with the IT crowd taking over the jobs of real weather forecasters no doubt. Meanwhile there was a storm predicted for the UK which did have very high tides but the Caspian seems to have been hit hardest: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/7089317.stm Some activity in the Indonesian volcanoes too: The Anak Krakatau volcano spews ash and smoke in the Sunda strait of Indonesia, November 10, 2007. Indonesia's "Child of Krakatau" volcano, formed after Mount Krakatau's legendary eruption in 1883, has been spitting out flaming rocks and smoke for days, but it is not especially dangerous, a vulcanologist said on Friday. http://www.reuters.com/news/pictures...lectionId=1275 The volcano archive is to be found he http://www.volcano.si.edu/reports/us...ontent=archive (Notoriously inexact, as is the case of most sciences that haven't progressed far from poking things with sticks.) |