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alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) (alt.talk.weather) A general forum for discussion of the weather. |
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#14
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On Jan 15, 12:00 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
15th Jan (19:46) So this is the last day of a most interesting spell. Unfortunately the next one is somewhat similar, so expect very little change in the GEM and GFS charts. 11:37 is as near to noon as 19:46 is to 18:00 as damn it is to swearing. And the expected situation on this chart: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html at these times is: A standing Low Pressure area situated somewhat to the left of the Great Lakes. With a complex set of High pressure areas trying to break through from the west. However it isn't as cut and dried as all that. Consider: http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm And all the northern hemisphere seems covered in a double Low pattern that is balanced by a double High situation that is a macrocosm of what this type of spell should ordinarily be producing over the UK. This spell and the next is normally one where two Highs and two Lows are counterpoised around the UK with the centre of the effect being known as a "col". Usually the situation is speared by ridges or troughs from the dominant air mass. I am not sure (too inexperienced) to say how unusual this present situation is but in lieu of a decent hurricane at lower latitudes, I imagine this pattern is a decent substitute that explains the present situation in Britain: Flood Warnings. Something similar on the Canadian-US border: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/wwa/ where winter weather watches are in effect. (Strong winds, snow and ice.) And no sign of things changing much on this: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html Which is tantamount to saying that with an East Siberian High, a North Pacific Low and and Arctic Low in situ; no Highs on the US mainland are going to find their way into the North Atlantic and..... No severe earthquakes are going to trouble the Aleutians. Or not, as the case may be. |