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alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) (alt.talk.weather) A general forum for discussion of the weather. |
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#11
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On Mar 17, 9:27 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Mar 17, 2:24 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: Here we go with a spate of ship, air and mining accidents: Or not as the case now appears. Nothing online about it but I heard it on the TV just now: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/africa/default.stm Looking around I see that the world prices for food are going to be high this year. Australian stocks are down and Egyptians are already queuing for bread. I have no idea what the July - August harvest will be like in Britain. Uncertain to say the least. I wonder what the harvest dates are for the US and Canada. * AP foreign * , Wednesday March 19 2008 By BETSY TAYLOR Associated Press Writer PIEDMONT, Mo. (AP) - Flooding forced hundreds of people to flee their homes and closed scores of roads Wednesday across the nation's midsection as a storm system poured as much as a foot of rain on the region. Nine deaths were linked to the weather and four people were missing. The National Weather Service posted flood and flash flood warnings from Texas to Pennsylvania on Wednesday, and evacuations were under way in parts of Missouri, Arkansas and Ohio. Heavy rain began falling Monday and just kept coming. A foot of rain had fallen at Mountain Home, Ark., and at Cape Girardeau in southeast Missouri, where officials said street flooding marooned some residents in their homes. The weather service said 6.2 inches had fallen at Evansville, Ind. Scott and Marilyne Peterson and their son, Scott Jr., scurried out of their home near Piedmont after seeing water rise 3 feet in five minutes. They had just enough time to grab essentials and their dog. ``You didn't have time to worry,'' Scott Peterson Sr. said. ``You just grab what you can and go and you're glad the people are OK.'' The rain in Missouri was expected to finally end by late Wednesday as the weather system crawled toward the northeast. Four deaths were linked to the flooding in Missouri, and five people were killed in a highway wreck in heavy rain in Kentucky. Searches were under way in Texas for a teenager washed down a drainage pipe and in Missouri for a man missing in a creek, and two people were missing in Arkansas after their vehicles were swept away by rushing water. An estimated 300 houses and businesses were flooded in Piedmont, a town of 2,000 residents on McKenzie Creek. Dozens of people were rescued by boat. Outside St. Louis, the Meramec River was expected to crest 10 to 15 feet above flood stage at some spots, threatening towns like Eureka and Valley Park, where residents were urged to evacuate. The Missouri River was at or near flood stage through much of central and eastern Missouri. The James River was approaching record levels of more than 33 feet above normal at the small Ozarks town of Galena west of Branson, flooding a commercial strip and numerous homes near the town, Stone County emergency management chief Tom Martin said. The canoeing and fishing center of about 450 residents sits mainly on a hill above the river. Flooding was widespread in Arkansas, washing out some highways and leading to evacuations of residents in parts of Baxter, Madison, Sharp counties, said Tommy Jackson, a spokesman for the Arkansas Department of Emergency Management. The Highway and Transportation Department reported state roads blocked in 16 counties. The Spring River in northeast Arkansas rose at a rate of 6 inches per hour, carrying debris that included full-size trees. Two motorists were missing in Arkansas after their vehicles were washed away by high water, authorities said. Authorities in southwest Missouri were searching for another man reported swept away by rushing water. ``He was going down the creek screaming and hollering,'' Lawrence County emergency management chief Mike Rowe said. Emergency officials in Mesquite, Texas, searched for a 14-year-old boy apparently swept away as he and a friend played in a creek. The friend swam to safety, authorities said. Up the Ohio Valley, widespread flooding was reported in parts of southwest Indiana and parts of Ohio, and schools were closed in parts of western Kentucky because of flooded roads. ``We've got water rising everywhere,'' said Jeff Korb, president of the Vanderbugh County, Ind., commissioners. ``We've got more than 70 roads under water.'' Residents of South Lebanon, Ohio - a town of about 2,800 people - were urged to get out as the Little Miami River was expected to crest at 28 feet, 11 feet above flood stage and the third highest level since measurements began in 1889, said Frank Young, emergency management director in Warren County. ``That would put half of South Lebanon under water,'' Young said. Key roads were closed in the Cincinnati area, where water 4 feet deep was reported in businesses in the suburb of Sharonwille, police said. Police contacted at least nine businesses and warned them not to open Wednesday. Northeast of Cincinnati, two members of a cross-country team had to be rescued from a rain-swollen creek after falling in. The Ohio River at Cincinnati was expected to rise about 2 feet above flood stage by Friday, enough to flood some neighborhoods outside the city. --- Associated Press writers Terry Kinney in Cincinnati; Paul Weber in Dallas; Chuck Bartels in Little Rock, Ark.; Marcus Kabel in Springfield; Jim Salter, Cheryl Wittenauer and Christopher Leonard in St. Louis; and Chris Blank in Jefferson City contributed to this report. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/feedarticle/7397730 (I bet the chimp is on an early Easter weekend off. Probably started last month.) |
#12
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On Mar 20, 1:08 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
There is an huge high pressure area stretching all the way across the Pacific at the moment. I don't know how common such a phenomenon is but if there is a record of one it would be damned easy to see how it falls apart into a massive earthquake or whatever. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/analysis/947_50.gif That's a warm ocean at the moment only 1/12th of a period required to make it an El Nino event but it won't have stoke the figures. This spell ends on the 21st which is around the time of the spring equinox.. Mar 21 18:40 http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...se2001gmt.html That's tomorrow. That Unisys chart will already be showing the first stages of the event: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html When the establishment are getting their sums right and I am in the wrong, it is meteorological catastrophe If they are wrong and I am too then it is more likely seismological. If we are both right and there appears to an extensive or long lasting spell, when it breaks it will be catastrophic. There is a lot of consecutive stuff going on he http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...uakes_all.html And this is the Smithsonian volcano report for 12 to 18 March 2008: New Activity/Unrest: | Batu Tara, Komba Island (Indonesia) | Garbuna Group, New Britain (SW Pacific) | Karymsky, Eastern Kamchatka | Kilauea, Hawaii (USA) Ongoing Activity: | Anatahan, Mariana Islands (Central Pacific) | Colima, México | Ol Doinyo Lengai, Tanzania | Popocatépetl, México | Rabaul, New Britain (SW Pacific) | Shiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia) | Soufrière Hills, Montserrat | Tungurahua, Ecuador | Ubinas, Perú http://www.volcano.si.edu/reports/us...rweek=20080312 Best I can do y'all. I tried to locate stories about rain or storms in South America but there is nothing since 3 weeks ago: http://uk.reuters.com/article/oilRpt...39498120080222 |
#13
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So.
Nobody wants to pull apart old Weatherlawyer on this huh? Can't say I blame anyone. Kind of reminds me of an early evangelist who berated a judge for slapping him. He said that god would pay him back 40 times then the judges having been proven impotent swore 40 murderers in a deadly oath that they wouldn't eat until the evangelist was dead. Nice one god! So this spell is almost over and it appears I wasn't that far out with my prognosis. And so many people had to suffer for want of a listening ear. Who is going to pay for their ferryman? ******* What's done is done. Something interesting in the storm system that swept the Atlantic in the last spell: It stuck on the east of the Baltic through most of this one rather than dissipate into the earthquake it should have. And now it is deepening. http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm Meanwhile another Low of about the same pressure is heading for Norway. Could these be the big crescendo to this series of spells? |
#14
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On Mar 20, 7:45 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Something interesting in the storm system that swept the Atlantic in the last spell: It stuck on the east of the Baltic through most of this one rather than dissipate into the earthquake it should have. And now it is deepening.http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm Meanwhile another Low of about the same pressure is heading for Norway. Could these be the big crescendo to this series of spells? Couple that with the extensive High across the Pacific over the last few days and the fact that none of the Atlantic Lows have behaved as they should according to that remarkable thaumaturge Weatherlawyer... ....and the fact this spell is due to end tomorrow (and perhaps the fact it is equinox will cap it all.) And there just might be a devastating earthquake to bring things back to normal. Of course a lot will depend on how far astray weather models go over the next few hours or days. Pushing the boat out, an expert on traffic control over Heath Row Airport stated on the news that safety margins are being routinely breached because of the heavy traffic into London. It would be an astute move to avoid all airports at peak times this holiday -being by way of an ultimatum to zen a phrase. Heathrow in particular. |
#15
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On Mar 20, 10:36 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Mar 20, 7:45 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: Something interesting in the storm system that swept the Atlantic in the last spell: It stuck on the east of the Baltic through most of this one rather than dissipate into the earthquake it should have. And now it is deepening.http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm Meanwhile another Low of about the same pressure is heading for Norway. Could these be the big crescendo to this series of spells? Couple that with the extensive High across the Pacific over the last few days and the fact that none of the Atlantic Lows have behaved as they should according to that remarkable thaumaturge Weatherlawyer... ...and the fact this spell is due to end tomorrow (and perhaps the fact it is equinox will cap it all.) And there just might be a devastating earthquake to bring things back to normal. Of course a lot will depend on how far astray weather models go over the next few hours or days. Pushing the boat out, an expert on traffic control over Heath Row Airport stated on the news that safety margins are being routinely breached because of the heavy traffic into London. It would be an astute move to avoid all airports at peak times this holiday -being by way of an ultimatum to zen a phrase. Heathrow in particular. Or maybe Hotan China: 7.2 M. 2008/03/20 22:33 XINJIANG-XIZANG BORDER REGION |
#16
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On Mar 20, 11:32 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
It would be an astute move to avoid all airports at peak times this holiday -being by way of an ultimatum to zen a phrase. Heathrow in particular. Or maybe Hotan China: 7.2 M. 2008/03/20 22:33 XINJIANG-XIZANG BORDER REGION And here we go with the tropicals: http://205.85.40.22/jtwc/warnings/sh2408.gif Cue the next spell please. |
#17
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On Mar 20, 10:36 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Mar 20, 7:45 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: Something interesting in the storm system that swept the Atlantic in the last spell: It stuck on the east of the Baltic through most of this one rather than dissipate into the earthquake it should have. And now it is deepening.http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm Meanwhile another Low of about the same pressure is heading for Norway. Could these be the big crescendo to this series of spells? Couple that with the extensive High across the Pacific over the last few days and the fact that none of the Atlantic Lows have behaved as they should according to that remarkable thaumaturge Weatherlawyer... ...and the fact this spell is due to end tomorrow (and perhaps the fact it is equinox will cap it all.) And there just might be a devastating earthquake to bring things back to normal. Of course a lot will depend on how far astray weather models go over the next few hours or days. Pushing the boat out, an expert on traffic control over Heath Row Airport stated on the news that safety margins are being routinely breached because of the heavy traffic into London. It would be an astute move to avoid all airports at peak times this holiday -being by way of an ultimatum to zen a phrase. Heathrow in particular. I was looking at this site for another thread and lost track of why in my urge to get an html readable version. Adobe seems to have fixed the ability of Firefox to copy text from a pdf and Firefox wants paying for me to use their code breaker. And I have a scanner and a printer I'd rather set up to do things the hard way than pay either. But I can't be bothered since the pdf is reasonably readable. And I doubt very much the authors intended to keep their effort secret or why publish it in the first place. I blame Universities needing to spend wastes of money on software that can be had for free or just use the old stuff. Why the hell did they need the latest version of Adobe? They just have to have it because they aren't paying for it and it is available most likely. Stupid *******s! /rant Anyway, the picture along with the text on page 15 shows what might have happened to those people killed and otherwise variously ruined in the US over the last spell and going into this one. I have written about above cloud lighning storms and their place in my forecasts along side mega-quakes and super-cyclones. So I can't blame anyone but me for not getting it in time to make a warning. even though no one would have seen it and if any one had seen it, made any effort to do something about it. (Shoot a monkey for example.) Anyway. There you go. I doubt I would have seen the article in time to point anyone to it if it had been more readily available. Maybe next time. I always had an inkling that spells that should be Highs tended not to produce tropical storms. So now I know what to look for when things go wrong with them. One I told you so: I did say.... ah well, never mind. You can read for yourself what I wrote and any conclusions about what they are worth you can come to on your own. Or not, as is most likely. Fools! |