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alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) (alt.talk.weather) A general forum for discussion of the weather. |
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#1
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So here we go with the next one.: 6 to 12 April 2008, 03:55. Want to
bet them damned Yanks already started on it yesiddy? Still no 5M quakes since: Update time = Sun Apr 6 2:18:04 UTC 2008 5.0 2008/04/04 13:30 Kuril Islands. Looks like they are in for a bucketful for the next few days eh? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday.html 4 + 6 is 10 right? |
#2
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On Apr 6, 3:45 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
So here we go with the next one.: 6 to 12 April 2008, 03:55. Want to bet them damned Yanks already started on it yesiddy? Still no 5M quakes since: Update time = Sun Apr 6 2:18:04 UTC 2008 5.0 2008/04/04 13:30 Kuril Islands. Looks like they are in for a bucketful for the next few days eh?http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday.html 4 + 6 is 10 right? Right then lesseee... Would you believe I have forgotten what these were like: Feb 7 03:44 Feb 14 03:34 Feb 21 03:31 Then there's these: Dec 17 10:17 Nov 17 22:32 Oct 3 10:06 http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phase2001gmt.html I may have forgotten but they are all available with comments, just search this group for the respective times. But let's have a guess; provided no storms occur, they will be the same as for last week. With snow. Hmmm... |
#3
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I should be in bed. But something is niggling at me.
Cyclones. Get an old envelope with one of those cellophane windows in it. Draw a circle on that and mark it with arrows. The top one points to the wall on your left the middle points to the floor and the bottom to the room next door. A cyclone. Hold it up to the light and turn it around. The top one points to the bookcase behind you. The middle one to the floor. The bottom one points to the window and the middle to the ceiling. An anticyclone. Within the constraints that I don't know the place from which the waves induced in the planet emanate, one might imagine it has something to do with earth's barycentre. In which cased it is logical to assume that in the absence of an over- reaction on one side of the planet, the harmonic will appear as a cyclone on one side of it while it appears as an anticyclone on the other. Or not, as the case may be. The thing is, how does it flash on and off? And why does it turn into earthquakes one cycle and volcanoes another? Man, this stuff blows my head away. The more you find out, the less you know. And the more you find out the less you know, the more you tend to find. Or to put it another way: The more confidence you have, the more you can predict. But the more you can predict the more you are likely to get it all wrong. So that the less confidence you have, the more you tend to learn and then the more you learn... the..... Hold it up to the light and tell me which direction this thing is going! Somebody... please... |
#4
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5.0 2008/04/06 07:23 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
5.0 2008/04/04 13:30 KURIL ISLANDS Been a long break. I can't see anything I can identify as a cause or a result on these: http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/nmoc/l...0033&number=14 http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/nmoc/l...0032&number=14 http://satellite.ehabich.info/hurricane-watch.htm http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem...me=00&Type=pnm http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/analysis/947_50.gif There is an extensive High on the Canadian model. It's the size of Canada. I am so used to looking at Lows that I can't tell what this means. Besides snow in England that is. |
#5
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On Apr 6, 1:46 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
5.0 2008/04/06 07:23 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA 5.0 2008/04/04 13:30 KURIL ISLANDS Been a long break. I can't see anything I can identify as a cause or a result on these: http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/nmoc/l...sis/947_50.gif There is an extensive High on the Canadian model. It's the size of Canada. I am so used to looking at Lows that I can't tell what this means. Besides snow in England that is. The high is elongating but also seems to be building, as is the one in the E Pacific (US/Canadian side.) There hasn't been a quake of ot greater than mag 5 in a while. And that could indicate that the pressure systems need to leave the mainland before there is an earthquake. Just floating the ideas of course. I leave all the hard and fast rules to the likes of Aidan Karley. Whose successes have become the stuff of stuffing: http://groups.google.com/groups/sear...gk&scorin g=d |
#6
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On Apr 7, 5:05 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Apr 6, 1:46 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: 5.0 2008/04/06 07:23 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA 5.0 2008/04/04 13:30 KURIL ISLANDS Been a long break. I can't see anything I can identify as a cause or a result on these: http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/nmoc/l...DCODE=IDX0033&... There is an extensive High on the Canadian model. It's the size of Canada. I am so used to looking at Lows that I can't tell what this means. Besides snow in England that is. The high is elongating but also seems to be building, as is the one in the E Pacific (US/Canadian side.) There hasn't been a quake of ot greater than mag 5 in a while. And that could indicate that the pressure systems need to leave the mainland before there is an earthquake. Just floating the ideas of course. 5.6 2008/04/07 22:54 -20.1 168.5 LOYALTY ISLANDS 5.0 2008/04/06 21:01 -28.7 -178.5 KERMADEC ISLANDS Another one of these. And still no major storm. However earlier ... yesterday.. there was a forecast for frost in the UK this morning. So there is something brewing. Pressures seem to have topped up a bit for Lows while Highs, though still extensive, are no longer full to bursting. |
#7
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On Apr 5, 8:57*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
I should be in bed. But something is niggling at me. Cyclones. Here's a little known tid bit of rareatee. What do you get when you arrange a face to face fame war with Hillary and Barac? A cyclone. Get an old envelope with one of those cellophane windows in it. Draw a circle on that and mark it with arrows. The top one points to the wall on your left the middle points to the floor and the bottom to the room next door. A cyclone. Hold it up to the light and turn it around. The top one points to the bookcase behind you. The middle one to the floor. The bottom one points to the window and the middle to the ceiling. An anticyclone. Within the constraints that I don't know the place from which the waves induced in the planet emanate, one might imagine it has something to do with earth's barycentre. In which cased it is logical to assume that in the absence of an over- reaction on one side of the planet, the harmonic will appear as a cyclone on one side of it while it appears as an anticyclone on the other. Or not, as the case may be. The thing is, how does it flash on and off? And why does it turn into earthquakes one cycle and volcanoes another? Man, this stuff blows my head away. The more you find out, the less you know. And the more you find out the less you know, the more you tend to find. Or to put it another way: The more confidence you have, the more you can predict. But the more you can predict the more you are likely to get it all wrong. So that the less confidence you have, the more you tend to learn and then the more you learn... the..... Hold it up to the light and tell me which direction this thing is going! Somebody... please... |
#8
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Gitchie gitchie goo goo ya ya.
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#9
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Saint Isadore Patron Saint of the Internet wrote in
: Gitchie gitchie goo goo ya ya. Now that makes sense!!! Brian -- http://www.skywise711.com - Lasers, Seismology, Astronomy, Skepticism Seismic FAQ: http://www.skywise711.com/SeismicFAQ/SeismicFAQ.html Quake "predictions": http://www.skywise711.com/quakes/EQDB/index.html Sed quis custodiet ipsos Custodes? |
#10
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I wouldn't mind betting there is quite an interesting periodicity in
all this when the relevant interactive effects are plotted in. One that will show that rather than cyclones progressing toward the North Pole, they move up and down like blobs in a lava lamp. Difficult to prove of coourse. And it doesn't help that synoptic charts for Asia are missing Russian and Chinese resources. If I could find them I recon I'd be home and dry inside a year. Certain basics still apply no matter how much spin the various low Pressure areas impart to the overall model. Nor how much the various blocking Highs detract from the rotation. In fact I think it might be the way these extra powerful storms or unusually large, deep highs behaves that allows the timing of these overall cycles to be plotted overall as cycles. There always seems to be this movement of cyclonic weather west to east over the USA at lunar phase times like these, for example. And then there comes the blocking high as regions of High pressure that tend to occur with them in the centre of the continent are prevented from leaving to join the Bermuda High. These instead go north to the channel called the Davis Straight and build over Greenland. Since the tendency is then not very low Los in the North Atlantic, why don't they go into the Arctic? Or is the fact they ARE blocking Highs the reason that the Lows are not that low? Whatever the principle thew factual is that the blocking high extends down to something Liek 40 to 30 North eventually and sooner or later there is a Low parcel that breaks through at the 60 to 70 th parallel. It's always the same way. Probably there is always the same geophenomena too such as snow in Britain -which would explain its rarity and presence occasionally in summer. And volcanic eruptions which would explain the coincidence with Lows of 1000 1010 when such eruptions occur. (If I am right. I notice that I have attracted fleas to my once more. They seem to love to join in when things get vicious. Serves me right for casual caustic irrelevances I suppose.) But if I am wrong, these same detractors should be able to do my research for me should they not. And thus have real dirt to enlighten me with. I suppose I aught to pull my finger out and do it myself. But I only do this sort of thing for pleasure. I don't like the paperwork involved. I don't wish to prove me correct. I prefer to just wait and see. I am a thaumaturge. If I was a meteorologist or a geologist I would feel constrained to dig a little deeper. And I would expect to get paid for it. Things take on a new light when you have to turn up to work every day and find things to do so that people will give you money. The onus isn't there when you sit at home pointing out the obvious and attempt to string it all together. But then what are enemies for if not to judge you? Let them do it if it is possible. And if I am right, keep silent on that matter. |