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#51
May 11th 08, 02:42 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
It is now the last day before the spell ends as far as the UK is
concerned. But the USA gets an imprint on things to come one day ahead of us. Take a look at what is going on he http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html If I had to rate that output in kilotons, I'd say: A lot! Which bodes ill for this next spell. Traditionally this month is one for thunderstorms of great power in the UK, which is not saying much by Congolese or Floridian standards. But it is a time that is difficult for me to predict what an unstable spell is going to do. And this one is bad enough. 12's and 6's are easily overridden by more powerful spells preceding them, that spate of spells just gone is a fine example of that. Those spells were nearly 10's -or if you give them their Weather Lore denominations: 4's. This next spell is near enough a 4 too. A classical one, no interpretation, no extrapolation. So this set up is going to prove interesting. Meanwhile it is end-game for this spell, so keep on the watch for the unexpected. For you know what to expect with the unexpected now, don't you children? |
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#52
May 11th 08, 09:02 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
On 11 May, 03:42, Weatherlawyer wrote:
It is now the last day before the spell ends as far as the UK is concerned. But the USA gets an imprint on things to come one day ahead of us. Take a look at what is going on he http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html If I had to rate that output in kilotons, I'd say: A lot! It's an area of low pressure moving east across the USA - nothing unusual in that at this time of year. Tornadoes likely, nothing unusual in that at this time of year. Which bodes ill for this next spell. Traditionally this month is one for thunderstorms of great power in the UK, which is not saying much by Congolese or Floridian standards. Well that is not surprising either, given their latitude. Especially with the Congo being on/near the Equator. 12's and 6's are easily overridden by more powerful spells preceding them, that spate of spells just gone is a fine example of that. Those spells were nearly 10's -or if you give them their Weather Lore denominations: 4's. Now this is a real classic. You may be familiar with this site http://www.hibberts.co.uk/collect2/tempres.htm Are you aware of a place where they study this kind of theory? I think it is in Nottinghamshire. Near Retford. It is a nice part of the country, near what remains of Sherwood Forest, and now much cleaner after the closure of those awfully filthy nearby coal mines. I'm sure there are many people there that will listen intently to what you have to say..... It is called Rampton. |
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#54
May 11th 08, 10:23 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
On 11 May, 21:32, Harold Brooks wrote:
In article 30a432ce-2306-46be-b385-ae23c6a4ff0a@ 24g2000hsh.googlegroups.com, says... U. S. G E O L O G I C A L S U R V E Y E A R T H Q U A K E D A T A B A S E FILE CREATED: Fri May 9 10:00:11 2008 Global Search Earthquakes= 12 Catalog Used: NOAA Date Range: Year: 1971 - 1971 Month: 01/Day: 01 Month: 12/ Day: 31 Magnitude Range: 7.0 - 10.0 Data Selection: Significant Earthquakes World Wide (NOAA) Why would the NEIC be using a NOAA database if it were in error? It's not so much in error as it is different. It goes back earlier in time than the USGS data. Thus making it a superior source of data for the years specified? "Welcome to the World Data Center for Solid Earth Geophysics, Boulder. The WDC for SEG is maintained by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC) in Boulder, Colorado. Data come from surface, aircraft and satellite platforms. See our list of datasets held by the WDC for SEG." http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/geomag/wdc/ http://www.globalcmt.org/cgi-bin/glo.../form?itype=ym... So I search for quakes of 7 M or more falling between 90 south and 90 north and whatever the full circle is east and west and every day from January the first to December the thirty first inclusive and the search misses half of them and it's my fault because I failed to read the fine print? I can't seem to find the details in your previous posts. A bit dense I know, so what am I going to do? Improve your reading comprehension. Go to the NEIC site that you searched from and select "USGS/NEIC (PDE) 1973 - Present" I don't think I'll find many earthquakes from 19~ 50, 51, 52, 60, 61, 62, 70 or 72 on that will I? |
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#55
May 12th 08, 07:09 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
On May 11, 11:23*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On 11 May, 21:32, Harold Brooks wrote: In article 30a432ce-2306-46be-b385-ae23c6a4ff0a@ 24g2000hsh.googlegroups.com, says... * * * * * * * * * * U. *S. *G E O L O G I C A L *S U R V E Y * * * * * * * * * * *E A R T H Q U A K E *D A T A *B A S E *FILE CREATED: *Fri May *9 10:00:11 2008 *Global Search * Earthquakes= * * * *12 *Catalog Used: NOAA *Date Range: Year: * *1971 *- * 1971 * Month: 01/Day: 01 * Month: 12/ Day: 31 *Magnitude Range: * 7.0 *- *10.0 *Data Selection: Significant Earthquakes World Wide (NOAA) Why would the NEIC be using a NOAA database if it were in error? It's not so much in error as it is different. *It goes back earlier in time than the USGS data. Thus making it a superior source of data for the years specified? "Welcome to the World Data Center for Solid Earth Geophysics, Boulder. The WDC for SEG is maintained by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC) *in Boulder, Colorado. Data come from surface, aircraft and satellite platforms. See our list of datasets held by the WDC for SEG." http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/geomag/wdc/ http://www.globalcmt.org/cgi-bin/glo.../form?itype=ym... So I search for quakes of 7 M or more falling between 90 south and 90 north and whatever the full circle is east and west and every day from January the first to December the thirty first inclusive and the search misses half of them and it's my fault because I failed to read the fine print? I can't seem to find the details in your previous posts. A bit dense I know, so what am I going to do? Improve your reading comprehension. *Go to the NEIC site that you searched from and select "USGS/NEIC (PDE) 1973 - Present" I don't think I'll find many earthquakes from 19~ 50, 51, 52, 60, 61, 62, 70 or 72 on that will I?- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - A 7.5+ earthquake in China. You missed it by your predictions and I got it spot on with mine. You predicted a 7.5 earthquake and missed it by a week. I predicted a 7.5 earthquake and got it spot on in the timescale I presented. The difference? I understand the probabilities and how to use them far better than you do. That's all we are talking about here. Not harmonics, or resonance, or interactions of tectonics, atmosphere and the pull of close celestial bodies, but movements of plates, very probably completely independent of any of your theories, but nevertheless presently unpredictable. Seismologists are always on the watch for the unexpected, W and the unexpected has again happened; pretty much a once a year earthquake magnitude, this one, completely unspotted by your theories again, just like you missed Chaiten erupting, but they are not contacting you for advice. That must be galling for you, as it will be terribly galling for you when you wake up and see the news this morning and find you have missed another "major" event. Now the Chinese authorities has the aftermath of a 7.5+ earthquake to deal with in the run up to the olympics. it'll test them, but of course, you believe they are just "commies" and as such have little worth. Still waiting for the "major" volcanic eruption. There has been an eruption in Kamchatka, in Russia, but you could hardly describe it as "major". If there isn't one by lunchtime today, your success statistics will stand at 0/3 = 0%. |
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#56
May 12th 08, 12:59 PM
posted to alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
On May 8, 10:53 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
They think it's all over! It is now: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...quakes_big.php MAP 5.8 2008/05/12 11:11:02 31.249 103.693 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 5.1 2008/05/12 10:23:40 30.992 103.413 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 5.0 2008/05/12 09:52:13 47.347 -27.296 10.0 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE MAP 5.5 2008/05/12 09:42:25 31.519 104.116 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 5.1 2008/05/12 09:07:01 31.255 103.788 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 5.0 2008/05/12 08:47:25 32.215 105.029 10.0 SICHUAN- GANSU BORDER REGION, CHINA MAP 5.2 2008/05/12 08:21:41 31.542 104.085 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 5.2 2008/05/12 08:10:59 31.225 103.574 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 5.4 2008/05/12 07:34:43 31.278 103.799 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 5.7 2008/05/12 06:54:18 31.155 103.826 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 6.0 2008/05/12 06:43:15 31.225 103.761 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA MAP 7.8 2008/05/12 06:28:01 31.104 103.270 10.0 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA Well actually the low is still there though slated to move to where it is supposed to go by the end of this spell (From the 12th, this spell is a 4 o'clock one.) But it's a MetO chart that is saying it's to go to Scandinavia: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/bracka.html Just imagine what we might accomplish in Britain if we had responsible government and shot all the scientists. http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...1af42507bbcb7c That N Atlantic low is now over 1000 mb and sending a ridge out towards Greenland. Could it actually do what I said it was going to do all those yonks ago? If so, watch out Xinjiang. About the diameter of a cyclone out, something like North 80 West and 20 degrees away. What's that; 1200 nautical miles? As you can see from the above the storms should have a cease and desist but of course they are no more likely to listen to me than are the sheep on Usenet. The thing is we are back in a similar spell so cold weather could be the norm. Hard to believe I know but that's what happened last February. |
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#57
May 12th 08, 01:20 PM
posted to alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
On May 12, 1:59 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Well actually the low is still there though slated to move to where it is supposed to go by the end of this spell (From the 12th, this spell is a 4 o'clock one.) But it's a MetO chart that is saying it's to go to Scandinavia: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/bracka.html By T60 from Monday on this site: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/..._pressure.html But it looks singularity unimpressive though things could change by then. |
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#58
May 13th 08, 05:59 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
On May 12, 8:09*am, Dawlish wrote:
On May 11, 11:23*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: On 11 May, 21:32, Harold Brooks wrote: In article 30a432ce-2306-46be-b385-ae23c6a4ff0a@ 24g2000hsh.googlegroups.com, says... * * * * * * * * * * U. *S. *G E O L O G I C A L *S U R V E Y * * * * * * * * * * *E A R T H Q U A K E *D A T A *B A S E *FILE CREATED: *Fri May *9 10:00:11 2008 *Global Search * Earthquakes= * * * *12 *Catalog Used: NOAA *Date Range: Year: * *1971 *- * 1971 * Month: 01/Day: 01 * Month: 12/ Day: 31 *Magnitude Range: * 7.0 *- *10.0 *Data Selection: Significant Earthquakes World Wide (NOAA) Why would the NEIC be using a NOAA database if it were in error? It's not so much in error as it is different. *It goes back earlier in time than the USGS data. Thus making it a superior source of data for the years specified? "Welcome to the World Data Center for Solid Earth Geophysics, Boulder. |
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#59
May 14th 08, 08:28 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
Prezzie for you:
There is an high leaving the United States at the moment over the Carolinas/Florida: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html This will produce a 6.5 I think at the Andrianof Islands chain somewhere on this arc: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/.../10/180_50.php 6 to 6.5 M. probably. And it will occur at something like 90 degrees from where it hits the steep slope I believe. I don't know if rat Island is more likely in that case but it's going to be in that area. |
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#60
May 14th 08, 08:53 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
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12:18
On May 14, 9:28*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Prezzie for you: There is an high leaving the United States at the moment over the Carolinas/Florida: http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html This will produce a 6.5 I think at the Andrianof Islands chain somewhere on this arc: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/.../10/180_50.php 6 to 6.5 M. probably. And it will occur at something like 90 degrees from where it hits the steep slope I believe. I don't know if rat Island is more likely in that case but it's going to be in that area. Time frame? |
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