On May 18, 10:19 am, Dawlish wrote:

If you've given up, that's 0/4 since April 24th. 0%. Not looking good.
Prove to me this works and I'll take an interest, as many others
would.

No thanks. The alternative is a much better offer. Or are you so dense
you can't tell I am taking the ****?

On 18 May, 11:31, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On May 18, 10:19 am, Dawlish wrote:



If you've given up, that's 0/4 since April 24th. 0%. Not looking good.
Prove to me this works and I'll take an interest, as many others
would.

No thanks. The alternative is a much better offer. Or are you so dense
you can't tell I am taking the ****?

Nice try, but if you really are taking the **** then why do you get so
upset when people take the **** out of you?

Surely, you are not going to add hypocrite to your personal image?

On May 18, 12:41 pm, wrote:
On 18 May, 11:31, Weatherlawyer wrote:

On May 18, 10:19 am, Dawlish wrote:

If you've given up, that's 0/4 since April 24th. 0%. Not looking good.
Prove to me this works and I'll take an interest, as many others
would.

No thanks. The alternative is a much better offer. Or are you so dense
you can't tell I am taking the ****?

Nice try, but if you really are taking the **** then why do you get so
upset when people take the **** out of you?

Surely, you are not going to add hypocrite to your personal image?

I don't mind the occasional snide comment or even the dross you
continually spout in my direction. However, his repetitiousness is not
just uninspired but tiresome.

Not that I bother about it over-much. It's just soul destroying that
no one worth a damn has had a quiet word. I suppose one might count
Tudor. Does anyone count Tudor?

It reminds me of a fool I once lent a few shilling to, as we always
stopped for pies on the way to work and he was always broke. He never
paid me back but I heard him jingling coins in his pocket one day and
so I asked him about it.

The upshot was that I waited in the queue until he was handing his
money over, then I took it off him. Rather than face me, outside where
I was waiting, he said he was going to tell on me when we got back.

Well I laughed but he repeated the threat on the way home. I couldn't
believe a grown man would behave like that and blow me but he went
into the office to tell on me. And nobody stopped him.

What really upset me was that we were working with a gang of lads and
none of them was kind enough to tell him not to be so silly. I felt
embarrassed for him afterwards as the story got around.

You see, he still had to come to work with us and everyone looking at
him.

I feel sort of the same way about Dawlish. But since he's enjoying
himself, I see no reason not to let him have his head. I'll even
supply the plate to put it on if he really wants.

When all said and done, it's not up to me, however much I am going to
regret my part in it.

Be that as it may.

5.6 M. 18th May 12:17 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.7 M. 17th may 17:08 SICHUAN-GANSU BORDER REGION, CHINA

I think that Halong -or some as yet to be storm, will make a Cat 2 out
of that. A high Cat 1 at least. Maybe it will be more tornadoes in the
USA instead but it will be a storm.

The further north these things turn out to be, the less power they
hold of course but then that could well be because there are so many
more of them up here than near the tropics.

They bake 'em we take 'em as it were.

On May 18, 3:10*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On May 18, 12:41 pm, wrote:

On 18 May, 11:31, Weatherlawyer wrote:

On May 18, 10:19 am, Dawlish wrote:

If you've given up, that's 0/4 since April 24th. 0%. Not looking good.
Prove to me this works and I'll take an interest, as many others
would.




5.6 M. 18th May 12:17 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.7 M. 17th may 17:08 SICHUAN-GANSU BORDER REGION, CHINA

I think that Halong -or some as yet to be storm, will make a Cat 2 out
of that. A high Cat 1 at least. Maybe it will be more tornadoes in the
USA instead but it will be a storm.


Now that is rather hard to monitor. Any cyclone that develops to a
Category 2 would verify the prediction, or some tornadoes in the USA.
There is no time limit on either. How are you supposed to be anything
other than correct on that one? There will be another cyclone, this
season, somewhere and I would happily lay money on the fact that there
will be more tornadoes in the USA! You're just going to have to do
better with explaining your forecasts than that, W! That one is not
even worth monitoring. Admit it, you've just picked two earthquakes in
the list from this site and conjured up a "storm" out of them.

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...quakes_big.php

There's been no earthquake in the Aleutain chain since you predicted a
6.5+mag on the 16th. 0/4 = 0% success since 24th April and during that
short time, your methods completely missed the 3 biggest events of the
year, so far; Chaiten, the Sichuan earthquake and the Myanmar cyclone.
You must see that when people really begin to monitor what you do, the
whole theory just collapses. When people sit back and ignore you, you
can claim success again and again, safe in the knowledge that your
insults and invective will keep questions away. That's why these
requests for measurable success criteria, and constant monitoring are
getting unser your skin.

I like the way you are trying to elicit a sympathy vote after
insulting, demeaning, belittling and generally vilifying almost
everyone who has ever crossed you (not everyone, I'm not including the
"perplexed" in that. If they think you are OK, that's fine, by me).
This is no "pointless task"; this is a good exercise in how to debunk
rank bad science.

Just verify what you are doing with some success in your predictions
and we'll take you seriously. That's a promise. If you cannot deliver
success, you are unlikely to enjoy the experience of being under the
microscope.

On May 18, 12:41*pm, wrote:
On 18 May, 11:31, Weatherlawyer wrote:

On May 18, 10:19 am, Dawlish wrote:

If you've given up, that's 0/4 since April 24th. 0%. Not looking good.
Prove to me this works and I'll take an interest, as many others
would.

No thanks. The alternative is a much better offer. Or are you so dense
you can't tell I am taking the ****?

Nice try, but if you really are taking the **** then why do you get so
upset when people take the **** out of you?

Surely, you are not going to add hypocrite to your personal image?

I've just noticed the re-titling of this thread! I'm flattered. TY. It
looks so much better than 12.18! Now I know you are worried that your
theories may be exposed by this monitoring.

*))

On May 18, 3:10 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

5.6 M. 18th May 12:17 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.7 M. 17th may 17:08 SICHUAN-GANSU BORDER REGION, CHINA

I think that Halong -or some as yet to be storm, will make a Cat 2 out
of that. A high Cat 1 at least. Maybe it will be more tornadoes in the
USA instead but it will be a storm.

The further north these things turn out to be, the less power they
hold of course but then that could well be because there are so many
more of them up here than near the tropics.

They bake 'em we take 'em as it were.

I think I am on a sure thing here. We have got the sun back to go with
it, anyway.

On May 5, 11:06*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On May 5, 10:00 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:





5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...se_frm/thread/....

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while, *perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:

When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer...6A-BFB8-2765B0....

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...e/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t...frm/thread/67a...

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.

12, 9, 6 and 3 o'clock spells bode well for North Atlantic hurricanes
too. I forgot to mention that but then it is already written in the
annals of the great Weatherlawyer and further discourse is mere
repetition to my fans and other followers.

Here is an extract that might be worth watching for:

7 * * * Mar * * 17:14 * This and the one following are the same spell except by
half an our. Quarter each side of the hour. Unstable and tending
toward anticyclonic
14 * * *Mar * * 10:46 * 5 and 11 of the clock. And all's well unless there is a
super-cyclone. Who can say?

21 * * *Mar * * 18:40 * Another unstable spell and this one tending to wet.
(Seven o'clock.)

29 * * *Mar * * 21:47 * 10 o'clock. An awkward bugger.
6 * * * Apr * * 03:55 * 4 o'clock and the same as the previous one. (Whatever that
might be.)

12 * * *Apr * * 18:32 * *Troughs and cols maybe ridges. Another unstable spell.

20 * * *Apr * * 10:25 * And a repeat to within 40 minutes of the spell for the
29th March. How close that is I can not say.

28 * * *Apr * * 14*:12 *This one is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.

5 * * * May * * 12:18 * And this, not unlike the one for the 12th April. And here
we are already.

12 * * *May * * 03:47 * This is one similar to the spell for 6th April.

20 * * *May * * 02*:11 *This one too is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.
28 * * *May * * 02*:57 *And this one more likely a thundery spell, though not
that dissimilar to the preceding.

And now we begin the Atlantic hurricane season.

3 * * * Jun * * 19:23 * This should install one. Quite a corker of a spell for it
too.

10 * * *Jun * * 15:04 * Whilst this is an anticyclonic as is the following one.
18 * * *Jun * * 17:30 * So no hurricanes here unless...

26 * * *Jun * * 12:10 * Hurricane maybe. Not too bad a one though.
3 * * * Jul * * 02*:19 *Maybe this one too. Except for that proclivity for
Anticyclones on the US east coast.
10 * * *Jul * * 04:35

18 * * *Jul * * 07:59 * I think this will be an hurricane spell but perhaps not
for the North Atlantic.
25 * * *Jul * * 18:42 * This one is though.

1 * * * Aug * * 10:13 * This one is one for the North pacific I imagine.
8 * * * Aug * * 20*:20 *I should be able to tell by this date just exactly what
to expect from these. So that will be something.

16 * * *Aug * * 21:16 * Thundery if a little too unstable for most tastes.

23 * * *Aug * * 23:50 * As for the 26th June.

30 * * *Aug * * 19:58 * And here is an 8 o'clock one. This should have had an
asterisk.
7 * * * Sept * *14*:04 *After all this one did!

15 * * *Sept * *09:13 * More sound of the fury signifying nothing?

22 * * *Sept * *05:04 * And a summer break. Cold and sunny? In September?

29 * * *Sept * *08*:12 *There are a ot of these about this year, are there not?

7 * * * Oct * * 09:04 * And more than a smattering of thunder spells too.

14 * * *Oct * * 20*:03 *Is this the last one of the season?
21 * * *Oct * * 11:55 and * * * 28th Oct * * * *23:14 * Or these two.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

OK, I'll save that set of forecasts and return to it when needed. Good
luck.

On May 5, 11:06*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On May 5, 10:00 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:





5th to 12th May 12:18

This spell is the only one I have covered that is near it and it has a
certain resonance:

http://groups.google.com/group/sci.g...se_frm/thread/....

Spells at twelve and 6 o'clock tend to produce low overcast even misty
weather in Britain. Of course with a Cat 4 running elsewhere things
are going to be different for a while, *perhaps we could knock 3 hours
off it?

09:18. Something unstable and given to thunder. And in the USA more
tornadic stuff. Looks like a continuum from the folowing, all the more
so ifthe storm moderates and we have a spell more akin to 10:18 or
whatever:

When a flaccid set up pertains in the North Atlantic and the Lows
don't behave the way that they are supposed to, expect:

"The population of Chaiten in Chile has been evacuated after a volcano
began to erupt, covering the town in ash.

The volcano spewed ash and caused tremors in the region on Friday,
forcing water supplies to be cut off, the authorities said.

By Sunday the town, about 1,300km from Santiago, the capital, was
covered in ash.

It is the volcano's first eruption in at least 2,000 years, according
to Sernageomin, a government mining and geology agency, and caused the
Patagonian town of nearly 4,500 people to be emptied.

Many evacuees travelled by boat to Chiloe Island to the north and
Puerto Montt on the mainland."

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer...6A-BFB8-2765B0....

An interesting Low in the North Atlantic this. It wouldn't surprise me
if it continued all through the next spell too.

This morning a Cat 4 tropical storm appeared over Japan. No warnings
from any agency I saw.

Anyway the sun's coming out again after some drizzle yesterday. That
Low after being stationary over the other side of the Mid Atlantic
Ridge for a week moved quickly at the end of the last spell to Britain
and with this spell has returned to the west it is now 35 degrees west
and apparently filling.

Which could mean another eruption and then it will probably move
quickly west again. Wednesday looks favourite:http://www.westwind.ch/?link=ukmb,ht...e/Fax/,.gif,br...

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.t...frm/thread/67a...

Though why it should moderate in 60 minute intervals is beyond me. Not
that I am stating it as an axiom. Just a rule of thumb until brighter
light is shone on the subject.

12, 9, 6 and 3 o'clock spells bode well for North Atlantic hurricanes
too. I forgot to mention that but then it is already written in the
annals of the great Weatherlawyer and further discourse is mere
repetition to my fans and other followers.

Here is an extract that might be worth watching for:

7 * * * Mar * * 17:14 * This and the one following are the same spell except by
half an our. Quarter each side of the hour. Unstable and tending
toward anticyclonic
14 * * *Mar * * 10:46 * 5 and 11 of the clock. And all's well unless there is a
super-cyclone. Who can say?

21 * * *Mar * * 18:40 * Another unstable spell and this one tending to wet.
(Seven o'clock.)

29 * * *Mar * * 21:47 * 10 o'clock. An awkward bugger.
6 * * * Apr * * 03:55 * 4 o'clock and the same as the previous one. (Whatever that
might be.)

12 * * *Apr * * 18:32 * *Troughs and cols maybe ridges. Another unstable spell.

20 * * *Apr * * 10:25 * And a repeat to within 40 minutes of the spell for the
29th March. How close that is I can not say.

28 * * *Apr * * 14*:12 *This one is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.

5 * * * May * * 12:18 * And this, not unlike the one for the 12th April. And here
we are already.

12 * * *May * * 03:47 * This is one similar to the spell for 6th April.

20 * * *May * * 02*:11 *This one too is similar to the spell we have now at the
beginning of March.
28 * * *May * * 02*:57 *And this one more likely a thundery spell, though not
that dissimilar to the preceding.

And now we begin the Atlantic hurricane season.

3 * * * Jun * * 19:23 * This should install one. Quite a corker of a spell for it
too.

10 * * *Jun * * 15:04 * Whilst this is an anticyclonic as is the following one.
18 * * *Jun * * 17:30 * So no hurricanes here unless...

26 * * *Jun * * 12:10 * Hurricane maybe. Not too bad a one though.
3 * * * Jul * * 02*:19 *Maybe this one too. Except for that proclivity for
Anticyclones on the US east coast.
10 * * *Jul * * 04:35

18 * * *Jul * * 07:59 * I think this will be an hurricane spell but perhaps not
for the North Atlantic.
25 * * *Jul * * 18:42 * This one is though.

1 * * * Aug * * 10:13 * This one is one for the North pacific I imagine.
8 * * * Aug * * 20*:20 *I should be able to tell by this date just exactly what
to expect from these. So that will be something.

16 * * *Aug * * 21:16 * Thundery if a little too unstable for most tastes.

23 * * *Aug * * 23:50 * As for the 26th June.

30 * * *Aug * * 19:58 * And here is an 8 o'clock one. This should have had an
asterisk.
7 * * * Sept * *14*:04 *After all this one did!

15 * * *Sept * *09:13 * More sound of the fury signifying nothing?

22 * * *Sept * *05:04 * And a summer break. Cold and sunny? In September?

29 * * *Sept * *08*:12 *There are a ot of these about this year, are there not?

7 * * * Oct * * 09:04 * And more than a smattering of thunder spells too.

14 * * *Oct * * 20*:03 *Is this the last one of the season?
21 * * *Oct * * 11:55 and * * * 28th Oct * * * *23:14 * Or these two.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

Theonly elements of sense from this a

3 Jun 19:23 This should install one. Quite a corker of a spell for it
too. so, The atlantic hurricane season will start on 3rd June, with "a corker", which I take to be a strong hurricane. Well, the Hurricane season begins on June 1st, so I suppose that isn't a bad guess. Mind you, the first hurricane in the Atlantic, last year, was on May 9th. None this year so far.

18 Jun 17:30 So no hurricanes here unless... Unless what? Unless there isn't one?

26 Jun 12:10 Hurricane maybe. Not too bad a one though. Maybe a hurricane and not too bad a one? So if there isn't one, you'll be OK, yah?

18 Jul 07:59 I think this will be an hurricane spell but perhaps not
for the North Atlantic. So, anywhere else in the world? but it is only a "perhaps".

1 Aug 10:13 This one is one for the North pacific I imagine. OK a prediction, I think!


16 Aug 21:16 Thundery if a little too unstable for most tastes. There's a prediction.

22 Sept 05:04 And a summer break. Cold and sunny? In September? Another UK (I think) weather prediction.

The rest of it is unintelligable. I think these are predictions, If
they are not, pray tell, W.