alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) (alt.talk.weather) A general forum for discussion of the weather.

 
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #11   Report Post  
Old May 10th 08, 07:52 AM posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.earthquakes
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default 12:18

On May 9, 8:52*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On May 9, 8:41 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:



It's 21 hours now since the last one:


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/...quakes_big.php


And Rammasun is at hurricane force. It is slated to become a cat. 2.
Coincidence?

Perhaps.
If you care to look, you will find plenty of them.


Pure coincidence. the only way to verify your theories is to use them
to predict and then analyse your predictions.

You don't come back to the predictions you make; you leave them. Thus
you have no statistics to back up your theories. That's why no-one
takes what you say seriously. You may have "perplexed" one or two, but
that's really the best you've done. Produce the goods by using what
you believe in to predict. Show that your doubters and everyone in the
scientific community except yourself and a couple of other left-
fielders are wrong, by using your theory to accurately predict.

If you can't, there is no benefit whatsoever in what you
write.........except to yourself and as entertainment value to us in
the associated abuse..

There's a "major" volcanic eruption about to happen in the next 2 days
according to your theory. If you get that right (and, of course, you
have not defined "major") you will have increased your percentage
forecast accuracy from 0% to 33% since 24th April. If there is no
"major" eruption, you remain on 0%.

In the case of weather forecasting, or any other forecasting, accurate
success statistics are the only judge.

By identifying a link in hindsight, which you do often, by quoting
something and then saying "coincidence?", without any verification by
forecast accuracy means - well, I'll let you figure that one out for
yourself.
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



All times are GMT. The time now is 02:35 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017