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alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) (alt.talk.weather) A general forum for discussion of the weather. |
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#1
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On May 10, 3:48 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On May 10, 12:43 pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: On May 10, 8:56 am, Weatherlawyer wrote: Therefore a change in the spell from the predictable to the actual of 5 hours is the equivalent of 5 billion tons of TNT per region affected. http://www.seismo.unr.edu/ftp/pub/lo...magnitude.html Hence the need to specify harmonics as per the question that started this whole fracas off in the first place: http://groups.google.com/group/uk.sc...m/thread/e447e... Which Low, as it happens, is still pending at 60 N 30 W: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/bracka.html Furthermore the two North Atlantic cells are of the same order of magnitude. The High focussed at Oslo/Gothenburg and the Low at 55 N 35 W are both about 1 hour wide. OK, they cover some 20 or 40 degrees but the actual diameter is Gothenburg to Edinburgh, isn't that far off 15 degrees on a great circle. I like that coincidence. 15 degrees suits me. That should have read radius from Gothenburg to Edinburgh. The diameter is more like 15 degrees as if from Edinburgh to Helsinki. Anyway, the last quake was nearly 18 hours back so we might be getting another storm. Ah well they upgraded that Japanese quake after downgrading it earlier. So that was a 15/16 hour break. And severe winds in the New England region. Hardly hurricane force but then what you gonna do boudit? Winter weather warnings on there too: http://www.weather.gov/ |
#2
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Pretty is as pretty does.
These may not be giving the information they are supposed to be doing but if they are giving neat computer output from direct digital data feeds, they are giving us notice of something else. This first one for instance: https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/efs/dynam...pac_gale_0.gif is obviously advising us of the Cat 2 in the Pacific. Apparently this one needs correcting: https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/efs/dynam...atl_gale_0.gif Without the corrections -which amount to erasure I imagine, it might help us understand what data the system holds that might be being overlooked. No offence to anybody in particular but it seems to be a given for satellite data. Not that it makes all that much difference to weather forecasting but who cares about weather forecasts? They are inaccurate over 5 days either way. |
#3
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On May 10, 8:21*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Pretty is as pretty does. These may not be giving the information they are supposed to be doing but if they are giving neat computer output from direct digital data feeds, they are giving us notice of something else. This first one for instance:https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/efs/dynam....EFS.no_pac_ga... is obviously advising us of the Cat 2 in the Pacific. Apparently this one needs correcting: https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/efs/dynam....EFS.no_atl_ga... Without the corrections -which amount to erasure I imagine, it might help us understand what data the system holds that might be being overlooked. No offence to anybody in particular but it seems to be a given for satellite data. Not that it makes all that much difference to weather forecasting but who cares about weather forecasts? They are inaccurate over 5 days either way. Perhaps, with your record since 24th June, the weather forecasts are FAR more accurate. Still waiting for you to back your proposed links up with forecast accuracy data. You're struggling aren't you..........and this won't go away. |
#4
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It is now the last day before the spell ends as far as the UK is
concerned. But the USA gets an imprint on things to come one day ahead of us. Take a look at what is going on he http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html If I had to rate that output in kilotons, I'd say: A lot! Which bodes ill for this next spell. Traditionally this month is one for thunderstorms of great power in the UK, which is not saying much by Congolese or Floridian standards. But it is a time that is difficult for me to predict what an unstable spell is going to do. And this one is bad enough. 12's and 6's are easily overridden by more powerful spells preceding them, that spate of spells just gone is a fine example of that. Those spells were nearly 10's -or if you give them their Weather Lore denominations: 4's. This next spell is near enough a 4 too. A classical one, no interpretation, no extrapolation. So this set up is going to prove interesting. Meanwhile it is end-game for this spell, so keep on the watch for the unexpected. For you know what to expect with the unexpected now, don't you children? |
#5
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On 11 May, 03:42, Weatherlawyer wrote:
It is now the last day before the spell ends as far as the UK is concerned. But the USA gets an imprint on things to come one day ahead of us. Take a look at what is going on he http://weather.unisys.com/images/sat_sfc_map_loop.html If I had to rate that output in kilotons, I'd say: A lot! It's an area of low pressure moving east across the USA - nothing unusual in that at this time of year. Tornadoes likely, nothing unusual in that at this time of year. Which bodes ill for this next spell. Traditionally this month is one for thunderstorms of great power in the UK, which is not saying much by Congolese or Floridian standards. Well that is not surprising either, given their latitude. Especially with the Congo being on/near the Equator. 12's and 6's are easily overridden by more powerful spells preceding them, that spate of spells just gone is a fine example of that. Those spells were nearly 10's -or if you give them their Weather Lore denominations: 4's. Now this is a real classic. You may be familiar with this site http://www.hibberts.co.uk/collect2/tempres.htm Are you aware of a place where they study this kind of theory? I think it is in Nottinghamshire. Near Retford. It is a nice part of the country, near what remains of Sherwood Forest, and now much cleaner after the closure of those awfully filthy nearby coal mines. I'm sure there are many people there that will listen intently to what you have to say..... It is called Rampton. |
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