Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
alt.talk.weather (General Weather Talk) (alt.talk.weather) A general forum for discussion of the weather. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
From what I can gather from the Science page of the New York Times;
and article on it suggests that permafrost might be capable of surviving global warming. I can't really follow the argument as it seems a little disjointed: "....a study published in Science suggests that the impact of warming on the permafrost may not be as bad as forecast. The evidence comes in the form of a wedge of ancient ice found at an old mining site in the Yukon in Canada. Ice wedges form in permafrost when the ground cracks because of cold, and spring melt-water seeps in and freezes. Over hundreds of years, the wedge builds up, like an in-ground icicle. Duane G. Froese of the University of Alberta, the lead author of the study, said ice wedges could provide clues to the long-term stability of the permafrost. The problem is figuring out how old they are. In this case, the top of the wedge was a couple of yards deep in the permafrost, and the researchers found volcanic ash on its top surface. By dating the ash (which presumably came from eruptions in what is now south-eastern Alaska) Dr. Froese and his colleagues were able to say how long the ice has been the about 740,000 years. Because the ash had to have been deposited after the wedge formed, that’s “very clear proof,” Dr. Froese said, that the ice is at least that old. That means the ice survived through several warming periods, including the last major one, 120,000 years ago. “The general view is that everything would have melted out back then,” Dr. Froese said. The new finding suggests that wasn’t the case, and that models of future melting need to be rethought. “But I don’t want people to think we don’t have to worry about global climate change,” Dr. Froese said. The top couple of yards of permafrost are still likely to melt as temperatures warm, and there’s plenty of carbon stored in them. “But the deeper part of the permafrost is probably relatively stable,” he said." http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/23/sc...23obsperm.html First of all the ash should have been traced to its origins. Presumably from "somewhere" in "south eastern Alaska" sounds a little woolly. But what does this mean: "By dating the ash"? How would they date the ash? Radio activity? Presumably the ash came from a volcano. So which parts of the volcano? And how rich in radio activity would the / those parts have been? Don't get me wrong, I am perfectly well aware of the academic difficulties involved in categorising such stuff. And I certainly don't wish to get involved in the arguments of gullible sheep. I just want journalism to be a lot less jingoistic in its revelations. |
#2
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Sep 19, 12:55*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
From what I can gather from the Science page of the New York Times; and article on it suggests that permafrost might be capable of surviving global warming. I can't really follow the argument as it seems a little disjointed: "....a study published in Science suggests that the impact of warming on the permafrost may not be as bad as forecast. The evidence comes in the form of a wedge of ancient ice found at an old mining site in the Yukon in Canada. Ice wedges form in permafrost when the ground cracks because of cold, and spring melt-water seeps in and freezes. Over hundreds of years, the wedge builds up, like an in-ground icicle. Duane G. Froese of the University of Alberta, the lead author of the study, said ice wedges could provide clues to the long-term stability of the permafrost. The problem is figuring out how old they are. In this case, the top of the wedge was a couple of yards deep in the permafrost, and the researchers found volcanic ash on its top surface. By dating the ash (which presumably came from eruptions in what is now south-eastern Alaska) Dr. Froese and his colleagues were able to say how long the ice has been the about 740,000 years. Because the ash had to have been deposited after the wedge formed, that’s “very clear proof,” Dr. Froese said, that the ice is at least that old. That means the ice survived through several warming periods, including the last major one, 120,000 years ago. “The general view is that everything would have melted out back then,” Dr. Froese said. The new finding suggests that wasn’t the case, and that models of future melting need to be rethought. “But I don’t want people to think we don’t have to worry about global climate change,” Dr. Froese said. The top couple of yards of permafrost are still likely to melt as temperatures warm, and there’s plenty of carbon stored in them. “But the deeper part of the permafrost is probably relatively stable,” he said." http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/23/sc...23obsperm.html First of all the ash should have been traced to its origins. Presumably from "somewhere" in "south eastern Alaska" sounds a little woolly. But what does this mean: "By dating the ash"? How would they date the ash? Radio activity? Presumably the ash came from a volcano. So which parts of the volcano? And how rich in radio activity would the / those parts have been? Don't get me wrong, I am perfectly well aware of the academic difficulties involved in categorising such stuff. And I certainly don't wish to get involved in the arguments of gullible sheep. I just want journalism to be a lot less jingoistic in its revelations. I don't know nothing from nothin about this sort of stuff but when I look at images of this sort of thing: http://themis.asu.edu/zoom-20080915a I see Lunar craters and I think: "Meteor impact? Ayeyerright!" The I try to understand what the devil the expert can see that I should be looking at instead and think: "HTF do they always manage to be direct hits?" Big deal, they discovered ice on Mars. It'd be difficult to explain the weather and assorted features of that nature on the place without it. Same goes for the moon. Those are not meteor strikes. Makes you wonder how much compression is going on inside our own planet. There's a feature in space seen all over the place A signature god is in heaven When we get there we'll know it's how he makes things grow By a word we can get what we came for Ooh, a stairway to heaven It's a sign on the wall, it says we will not fall But sometimes his words have two meanings Should we stay here on earth in the place of our birth Accepting all that we are given? Oh-oh, makes me wonder. I wonder; I really wonder There's a feeling I get: Stay at home where it's best Then my spirit is thinking of leaving And the thoughts come to me of the places to be In the dark, starry sky, cold, unmoving Ooh. They whisper: On. Soon. Like we got to the moon So near and so far for a reason And a new day will dawn for those who still long And the vapour will echo our trail there. Oh, and it makes me wonder Mm, hmm! I long to wander |
#3
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Sep 20, 7:17*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Sep 19, 12:55*am, Weatherlawyer wrote: From what I can gather from the Science page of the New York Times; and article on it suggests that permafrost might be capable of surviving global warming. I can't really follow the argument as it seems a little disjointed: "....a study published in Science suggests that the impact of warming on the permafrost may not be as bad as forecast. The evidence comes in the form of a wedge of ancient ice found at an old mining site in the Yukon in Canada. Ice wedges form in permafrost when the ground cracks because of cold, and spring melt-water seeps in and freezes. Over hundreds of years, the wedge builds up, like an in-ground icicle. Duane G. Froese of the University of Alberta, the lead author of the study, said ice wedges could provide clues to the long-term stability of the permafrost. The problem is figuring out how old they are. In this case, the top of the wedge was a couple of yards deep in the permafrost, and the researchers found volcanic ash on its top surface. By dating the ash (which presumably came from eruptions in what is now south-eastern Alaska) Dr. Froese and his colleagues were able to say how long the ice has been the about 740,000 years. Because the ash had to have been deposited after the wedge formed, that’s “very clear proof,” Dr. Froese said, that the ice is at least that old. That means the ice survived through several warming periods, including the last major one, 120,000 years ago. “The general view is that everything would have melted out back then,” Dr. Froese said. The new finding suggests that wasn’t the case, and that models of future melting need to be rethought. “But I don’t want people to think we don’t have to worry about global climate change,” Dr. Froese said. The top couple of yards of permafrost are still likely to melt as temperatures warm, and there’s plenty of carbon stored in them. “But the deeper part of the permafrost is probably relatively stable,” he said." http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/23/sc...23obsperm.html First of all the ash should have been traced to its origins. Presumably from "somewhere" in "south eastern Alaska" sounds a little woolly. But what does this mean: "By dating the ash"? How would they date the ash? Radio activity? Presumably the ash came from a volcano. So which parts of the volcano? And how rich in radio activity would the / those parts have been? Don't get me wrong, I am perfectly well aware of the academic difficulties involved in categorising such stuff. And I certainly don't wish to get involved in the arguments of gullible sheep. I just want journalism to be a lot less jingoistic in its revelations. I don't know nothing from nothin about this sort of stuff but when I look at images of this sort of thing: http://themis.asu.edu/zoom-20080915a I see Lunar craters and I think: "Meteor impact? Ayeyerright!" The I try to understand what the devil the expert can see that I should be looking at instead and think: "HTF do they always manage to be direct hits?" Big deal, they discovered ice on Mars. It'd be difficult to explain the weather and assorted features of that nature on the place without it. Same goes for the moon. Those are not meteor strikes. Makes you wonder how much compression is going on inside our own planet. There's a feature in space seen all over the place A signature god is in heaven When we get there we'll know it's how he makes things grow By a word we can get what we came for Ooh, a stairway to heaven It's a sign on the wall, it says we will not fall But sometimes his words have two meanings Should we stay here on earth in the place of our birth Accepting all that we are given? Oh-oh, makes me wonder. I wonder; I really wonder There's a feeling I get: Stay at home where it's best Then my spirit is thinking of leaving And the thoughts come to me of the places to be In the dark, starry sky, cold, unmoving Ooh. They whisper: On. Soon. Like we got to the moon So near and so far for a reason And a new day will dawn for those who still long And the vapour will echo our trail there. Oh, and it makes me wonder Mm, hmm! I long to wander You know, thinking about the ballistics of an impact. Out of a choice of possible directions of 360 degrees and with a limited angle of approach varying from 1 to 179 degrees, the chances of the impact being perpendicular are 1 in 180 x 360. That is 1:64,800. That's on a flat surface -but of course, the target is spheroid. On the other hand, the chances of pingoes (or whatever) not being the shape of those craters is anything from two to one on to one in a million. Look at the symmetries in this one: http://themis.asu.edu/zoom-20080911a Not only was it not spinning but it wasn't producing debris from itself or its target. How come? And see the symmetry of the surroundings? Even the other pock marks look as if they have had a stab at matching side for side. |
#4
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Sep 20, 8:37*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Sep 20, 7:17*am, Weatherlawyer wrote: On Sep 19, 12:55*am, Weatherlawyer wrote: From what I can gather from the Science page of the New York Times; and article on it suggests that permafrost might be capable of surviving global warming. I can't really follow the argument as it seems a little disjointed: "....a study published in Science suggests that the impact of warming on the permafrost may not be as bad as forecast. The evidence comes in the form of a wedge of ancient ice found at an old mining site in the Yukon in Canada. Ice wedges form in permafrost when the ground cracks because of cold, and spring melt-water seeps in and freezes. Over hundreds of years, the wedge builds up, like an in-ground icicle. Duane G. Froese of the University of Alberta, the lead author of the study, said ice wedges could provide clues to the long-term stability of the permafrost. The problem is figuring out how old they are. In this case, the top of the wedge was a couple of yards deep in the permafrost, and the researchers found volcanic ash on its top surface.. By dating the ash (which presumably came from eruptions in what is now south-eastern Alaska) Dr. Froese and his colleagues were able to say how long the ice has been the about 740,000 years. Because the ash had to have been deposited after the wedge formed, that’s “very clear proof,” Dr. Froese said, that the ice is at least that old. That means the ice survived through several warming periods, including the last major one, 120,000 years ago. “The general view is that everything would have melted out back then,” Dr. Froese said. The new finding suggests that wasn’t the case, and that models of future melting need to be rethought. “But I don’t want people to think we don’t have to worry about global climate change,” Dr. Froese said. The top couple of yards of permafrost are still likely to melt as temperatures warm, and there’s plenty of carbon stored in them. “But the deeper part of the permafrost is probably relatively stable,” he said." http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/23/sc...23obsperm.html First of all the ash should have been traced to its origins. Presumably from "somewhere" in "south eastern Alaska" sounds a little woolly. But what does this mean: "By dating the ash"? How would they date the ash? Radio activity? Presumably the ash came from a volcano. So which parts of the volcano? And how rich in radio activity would the / those parts have been? Don't get me wrong, I am perfectly well aware of the academic difficulties involved in categorising such stuff. And I certainly don't wish to get involved in the arguments of gullible sheep. I just want journalism to be a lot less jingoistic in its revelations.. I don't know nothing from nothin about this sort of stuff but when I look at images of this sort of thing: http://themis.asu.edu/zoom-20080915a I see Lunar craters and I think: "Meteor impact? Ayeyerright!" The I try to understand what the devil the expert can see that I should be looking at instead and think: "HTF do they always manage to be direct hits?" Big deal, they discovered ice on Mars. It'd be difficult to explain the weather and assorted features of that nature on the place without it. Same goes for the moon. Those are not meteor strikes. Makes you wonder how much compression is going on inside our own planet. There's a feature in space seen all over the place A signature god is in heaven When we get there we'll know it's how he makes things grow By a word we can get what we came for Ooh, a stairway to heaven It's a sign on the wall, it says we will not fall But sometimes his words have two meanings Should we stay here on earth in the place of our birth Accepting all that we are given? Oh-oh, makes me wonder. I wonder; I really wonder There's a feeling I get: Stay at home where it's best Then my spirit is thinking of leaving And the thoughts come to me of the places to be In the dark, starry sky, cold, unmoving Ooh. They whisper: On. Soon. Like we got to the moon So near and so far for a reason And a new day will dawn for those who still long And the vapour will echo our trail there. Oh, and it makes me wonder Mm, hmm! I long to wander You know, thinking about the ballistics of an impact. Out of a choice of possible directions of 360 degrees and with a limited angle of approach varying from 1 to 179 degrees, the chances of the impact being perpendicular are 1 in 180 x 360. That is 1:64,800. That's on a flat surface -but of course, the target is spheroid. On the other hand, the chances of pingoes (or whatever) not being the shape of those craters is anything from two to one on to one in a million. Look at the symmetries in this one: http://themis.asu.edu/zoom-20080911a Not only was it not spinning but it wasn't producing debris from itself or its target. How come? And see the symmetry of the surroundings? Even the other pock marks look as if they have had a stab at matching side for side. Including the Bering Sea to the coast of Russia and swapping the Brooks mountains for a chunk of the Yukon; Alaska is as big as the Rockies. And for the best trick: God made them virtually the same shape. From the Wikipedia: "Resonance is the tendency of a system to oscillate at maximum amplitude at certain frequencies, known as the system's resonance frequencies. At these frequencies, even small periodic driving forces can produce large amplitude vibrations, because the system stores vibrational energy. When damping is small, the resonance frequency is approximately equal to the natural frequency of the system, which is the frequency of free vibrations. Resonant phenomena occur with all type of vibrations or waves: Mechanical resonance, acoustic resonance, electromagnetic resonance and resonance of quantum wave functions." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resonance Looking at the obvious relationship between weather and earthquakes spanning the North American continents, I was struck by the relationship it has with the law of thirds. To the west: 1/3 mountains, in the middle: 1/3 plains, in the east:1/3 a mixed bag; whose resonances are no doubt just as easily divided into yet more resonances. Take the Great Lakes for example; they seem particularly suited to divining resonances. Note how remarkably similar the western coast of Lake Michigan is to the NW coast of Lake Superior. In fact, had the eastern coast of Lake Michigan extended along the Muskegon River to Sheboygan, they'd be identical. OK, if they weren't different, everything would be the same but that curve involved is the obverse of what actually occurs, to a very close approximation. (On a flat map at least. I haven't tried it on a globe.) I can't quite get the same results out of Lake Huron, except... If I take it apart I can make the pieces fit except for that same section of the eastern third of Lake Superior. But you get the idea? |
#5
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Something about sound:
"The frequency is the speed of sound divided by this wavelength, and that gives the harmonic series f1, 2f1, 3f1 etc. (This is a slight simplification: the pressure node is a little distance outside the pipe..." http://www.phys.unsw.edu.au/jw/woodwind.html#harmonic There was something about the fact that the note appears just outside the instrument that struck a chord with me (so to speak.) There was something about amplitude or loudness or something on that page too. All grist to Weatherlawyer's mill. (Helmholtz resonators notwithstanding.) |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
If the Volcanic Ash Returns | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Under the volcanic ash cloud [1/1] | alt.binaries.pictures.weather (Weather Photos) | |||
Volcanic ash closes Scottish airspace | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
alot of volcanic ash for 2006 is making for a cool cold summer | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
"Super" Or Not, Volcanic Ash Is A Serious Threat to Aviation | Latest News |