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Old October 19th 08, 05:17 AM posted to uk.sci.weather,alt.talk.weather,sci.geo.meteorology
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Default Chinese 10 day forecast.


In the following 10 days cold air will be active
Source:China Meteorological News Press

$B!!!!(BAt 10:30 of October 16, Central Meteorological Office (CMO) issued
the 10-day weather forecast:

$B!!!!(BIt is predicted that in the following 10 days, the cold air in China
will be active and may also strengthen.

After October 20, it will be rainy from the middle and lower reaches
of the Yangtze to the east of Southwest China.

Influenced by some strong cold air, rain, snow and gales will hit
northern Xinjiang and the temperature will also drop remarkably on
October 19, sooner or later (?). After that, this cold air will move
south-east.

From October 20 to 22, it will bring heavy precipitation to central
and eastern China and the temperatures of these places will also drop.

INorth of Huaihe River, the temperature will drop 5 to 9$B!n(B, some places
by over 10$B!n(B. North or south winds will hit these places in Category 4
to 6. On October 23, sooner or later, northern Shaanxi, Shanxi and
Hebei will suffer early frost.

$B!!!!(BThe 4 to 10-day forecast:

$B!!!!(BFrom 8:00 am of October 19 to 8:00 am of October 20, northern
Xinjiang will suffer snow (or sleet). East of North-west China, the
Hanshui Valley, southwest of North China, west of the Yellow-Huaihe
River Valley, Sichuan Basin, Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and Hainan will
suffer light to moderate rain, heavy rain in some locations.

Light snow or rain will hit Tibet.

$B!!!!(BFrom 8:00 am of October 21 to 8:00 am of October 22, light to
moderate rain will hit east of Northwest China, south-west of North
China, south of North-east China, the Hanshui Valley, the Yellow-
Huaihe River Valley, the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley, south of the
Yangtze, east of South-west China and Hannan.

Heavy rain will hit the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze.
Light rain (snow) will hit north of North China and eastern Tibet.

$B!!!!(BFrom 8:00 am of October 22 to 8:00 am of October 23, light to
moderate rain will hit south-east of Northwest China, south of North
China, south of Northeast China, the Hanshui Valley, the Yellow-Huaihe
River Valley, the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley, south of the Yangtze,
east of Southwest China and west of South China.

Some parts of the northern of south of the Yangtze will suffer heavy
rain. North of North China, north of Northeast China and eastern Tibet
will suffer light to moderate rain (snow).

$B!!!!(BFrom October 23 to 25, there will still be cold air in east of North
China and Northeast China. It will be rainy in the Hanshui Valley, the
Yellow-Huaihe River Valley, the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley, south of
the Yangtze, west of South China and east of Southwest China.

There will be showers in eastern Tibet. (Oct 16)



$B!!!!(BEditor Kong Yan

I changed a word or two here and there but it is substantially the
same as the original translation as the original:

http://www.cma.gov.cn/en/news/200810...016_19023.html

No idea what this could mean:
" North or south winds will hit these places in Category 4 to 6."
and am not inspired to write in to find out. I imagine I'll get dead-
letter-boxed or a load of spam.

Probably both.

Presumably there is a strong likelihood of deep cyclonic activity in
the region, though an F4 to F6 sounds pretty tame. Good yachting
weather. Too hard for kite flying (unless one is trying to escape.)

I like the initial time periods, e.g:
"From 8:00 am of October 21 to 8:00 am of October 22,"

Forecasting takes a lot of nerve and the aspect of making predictions
most easily lost on even the most sympathetic is that of dealing with
unimaginable forces that have unimaginable consequences.

The black art falls between the trite and the magnificent. With awful
being the most widely used adjective. And awesome, the least.

It reads more like a British forecast than an USAn one.

I bet the original: "south-east of North-west China, south of North
China, south of North-east China" makes perfect sense.

We too, have regionalisms that are nationally understood but
incongruous. "The Midlands" for example refers to middle England. But
to a Scot it is well to the south of Britain (though well to the north
of the BBC's picture of porridge) and extends to the north of Wales
but not further north than Wales.
 
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