So, who wants to bet that Imbudo will be a super-typhoon within 24 hours
of me posting this?

--

Reply to sans two @@, or your reply won't reach me.

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In article ,
Mike18XX wrote:

So, who wants to bet that Imbudo will be a super-typhoon within 24 hours
of me posting this?

Are you betting it won't? ;-)

Anyway, I noticed this 36-hour forecast from the JTWC web page:

quoting
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z2 --- 16.7N4 126.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
/quoting

Do sustained winds of 140 kt make a super-typhoon, or is there some
other criterion?

Incidentally, Imbudo seems set to follow the heels of Kino, and
another patch of convection was brewing behind it at about 03N 147E

You can see the three systems on the IR images at JTWC at
http://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/cgi-bin/...arl+GMS.Indian.
Ocean-West.Pac.IR.Archive+jtwc/archive/g5iwp/
but the last seems to be breaking up a bit now, it was more defined
earlier today (see image g5iwp.030720.0325.jpg for example).


Cheers, Phred.

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LID

On Sun, 20 Jul 2003 01:03:08 -0500, Mike18XX
wrote:

So, who wants to bet that Imbudo will be a super-typhoon within 24 hours
of me posting this?

Mike, a 50% chance bet?

According to the US Navy folks it will hit 145 kts sustained winds
(175 kts gusts), so: a "super". SST over the 30 Centigrade.

Question which comes to my mind: Does Koni steer it slightly more
north? In that case the folks in Hong Kong may be happy about that.
A cat. IV making landfall over there would mess up their business to
some extent (after already having been hit by the SARS epidimic).

Mazzel & broge / kind regards, Evert Wesker
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
http://come.to/wesker (redirect URL, no adv's), or
http://www.euronet.nl/users/e_wesker/

checking sun-up visibles of "super" Imbudo


My god....

Somebody tell me that isn't the smallest eye they've ever seen. There
must be three concentric eyewalls in the thing.

--

Reply to sans two @@, or your reply won't reach me.

"An election is nothing more than an advance auction of stolen goods."
-- Ambrose Bierce

In article ,
Mike18XX wrote:
Somebody tell me that isn't the smallest eye they've ever seen. There
must be three concentric eyewalls in the thing.

Two, with a principle band, according to the 0120 UTC SSMI pass.
--
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