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Old September 12th 05, 07:49 PM posted to sci.environment,alt.global-warming,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.politics.republicans
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Default AUGUST WAS THE THIRD WARMEST IN 126 YEARS ON LAND!

AUGUST WAS THE THIRD WARMEST IN 126 YEARS ON LAND!

James won't read anything. He doesn't have the time.
He is too busy cutting and pasting EXXON funded global
warming disinformation onto this newsgroup. Meanwhile,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 126 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean August temperature over the last 126 years is 14.009 C.
The Variance is 0.07836.
The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2799.

Rxy 0.70854 Rxy^2 0.502029
TEMP = 13.662386 + (0.005453 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 124 F = 125.010441
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.9999999999999999999 (19 nines)
The month of August in the year 2005,
is linearly projected to be 14.349,
yet it was 14.72. -- 1.3 SIGMA above projection!
The sum of the residuals is 20.41747

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.666233 * e^(.0003897 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 20.375213

Rank of the months of August
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2003 14.77 0.761 2.72
1998 14.75 0.741 2.65
2005 14.72 0.711 2.54 --
1996 14.64 0.631 2.26
2001 14.59 0.581 2.08
2002 14.58 0.571 2.04
2004 14.56 0.551 1.97
1981 14.55 0.541 1.93
1991 14.50 0.491 1.76
1995 14.50 0.491 1.76
2000 14.50 0.491 1.76
1983 14.47 0.461 1.65
1999 14.44 0.431 1.54
MEAN 14.009 0.000 0.00
1894 13.70 -0.309 -1.10
1956 13.70 -0.309 -1.10
1888 13.68 -0.329 -1.17
1921 13.68 -0.329 -1.17
1904 13.66 -0.349 -1.25
1917 13.66 -0.349 -1.25
1887 13.64 -0.369 -1.32
1903 13.62 -0.389 -1.39
1918 13.59 -0.419 -1.50
1907 13.57 -0.439 -1.57
1902 13.55 -0.459 -1.64
1896 13.52 -0.489 -1.75
1912 13.43 -0.579 -2.07
1891 13.38 -0.629 -2.25

The most recent 153 continuous months, or 12 years and 9 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1508 months of data on this data set:
-- 719 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 789 of them are below the norm.
This run of 153 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

 
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