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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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#1
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SEPTEMBER WAS HOTTEST IN 126 N. HEMISPHERE YEARS BY A WIDE MARGIN!
Carbon fuel industry propaganda has taken a new turn. No longer satisfied with telling a single lie at a time like they did a few years ago, they now publish collections of lies. Meanwhile, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern Hemisphere over the last 125 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean September temperature over the last 126 years is 14.037 C. The Variance is 0.08163. The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2857. Rxy 0.659616 Rxy^2 0.435093 TEMP = 13.708439 + (0.005181 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 124 F = 95.505137 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999 (16 nines) The month of September in the year 2005, is linearly projected to be 14.361, yet it was 15.04. -- 2.4 SIGMA above the linear projection! The sum of the residuals is 20.956691 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.711279 * e^(.0003706 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 20.941469 Rank of the months of September Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2005 15.04 1.003 3.51 -- 2003 14.81 0.773 2.70 1998 14.77 0.733 2.56 2002 14.68 0.643 2.25 2004 14.65 0.613 2.14 1995 14.58 0.543 1.90 1999 14.55 0.513 1.79 2001 14.55 0.513 1.79 1991 14.54 0.503 1.76 1937 14.50 0.463 1.62 1997 14.50 0.463 1.62 1987 14.49 0.453 1.58 1990 14.46 0.423 1.48 MEAN 14.037 0.000 0.00 1894 13.71 -0.327 -1.15 1903 13.71 -0.327 -1.15 1913 13.71 -0.327 -1.15 1972 13.70 -0.337 -1.18 1887 13.69 -0.347 -1.22 1888 13.69 -0.347 -1.22 1916 13.69 -0.347 -1.22 1964 13.69 -0.347 -1.22 1956 13.68 -0.357 -1.25 1889 13.67 -0.367 -1.29 1885 13.63 -0.407 -1.43 1904 13.49 -0.547 -1.92 1884 13.47 -0.567 -1.99 1912 13.26 -0.777 -2.72 The most recent 142 continuous months, or 11 years and 10 months, on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1509 months of data on this data set: -- 761 of them are at or above the norm. -- 748 of them are below the norm. This run of 142 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. |
#2
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![]() "Roger Coppock" escribió en el mensaje ups.com... SEPTEMBER WAS HOTTEST IN 126 N. HEMISPHERE YEARS BY A WIDE MARGIN! Carbon fuel industry propaganda has taken a new turn. No longer satisfied with telling a single lie at a time like they did a few years ago, they now publish collections of lies. Meanwhile, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern Hemisphere over the last 125 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean September temperature over the last 126 years is 14.037 C. The Variance is 0.08163. The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2857. Rxy 0.659616 Rxy^2 0.435093 TEMP = 13.708439 + (0.005181 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 124 F = 95.505137 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999 (16 nines) The month of September in the year 2005, is linearly projected to be 14.361, yet it was 15.04. -- 2.4 SIGMA above the linear projection! The sum of the residuals is 20.956691 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.711279 * e^(.0003706 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 20.941469 Rank of the months of September Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2005 15.04 1.003 3.51 -- 2003 14.81 0.773 2.70 1998 14.77 0.733 2.56 2002 14.68 0.643 2.25 2004 14.65 0.613 2.14 1995 14.58 0.543 1.90 1999 14.55 0.513 1.79 2001 14.55 0.513 1.79 1991 14.54 0.503 1.76 1937 14.50 0.463 1.62 1997 14.50 0.463 1.62 1987 14.49 0.453 1.58 1990 14.46 0.423 1.48 MEAN 14.037 0.000 0.00 1894 13.71 -0.327 -1.15 1903 13.71 -0.327 -1.15 1913 13.71 -0.327 -1.15 1972 13.70 -0.337 -1.18 1887 13.69 -0.347 -1.22 1888 13.69 -0.347 -1.22 1916 13.69 -0.347 -1.22 1964 13.69 -0.347 -1.22 1956 13.68 -0.357 -1.25 1889 13.67 -0.367 -1.29 1885 13.63 -0.407 -1.43 1904 13.49 -0.547 -1.92 1884 13.47 -0.567 -1.99 1912 13.26 -0.777 -2.72 The most recent 142 continuous months, or 11 years and 10 months, on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1509 months of data on this data set: -- 761 of them are at or above the norm. -- 748 of them are below the norm. This run of 142 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. One good thing about the Internet age is that it remembers anything. So if/when the truth comes out in some years, the anti-environmental opinion-makers will be prosecuted by some UN Court of Justice. It is a matter of time. But I don't see one good reason why it would not happen. Global mischievers always end facing trial. Dictators, Tobacco firms, etc. |
#3
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YES! That is probably 50 to 100 years from now.
So, the question will be, "Shall we hold the grandchildren responsible for their grandfather's sins?" In American justice today the answer would be no. But in many of the world's other justice systems, the answer would be yes. In America today, a claimant can't even sue this generation of the Bush family for their granddad's collaboration with the NAZIs. But that may change. I hope it isn't the present UN World Court that handles the case. They don't have capital punishment. I see some agency like the Simon Wiesenthal Organization, hunting down the children of Fossil Fool Criminals, too. |
#4
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Your statements are WRONG on so many levels...
Roger Coppock wrote: YES! That is probably 50 to 100 years from now. So, the question will be, "Shall we hold the grandchildren responsible for their grandfather's sins?" In American justice today the answer would be no. But in many of the world's other justice systems, the answer would be yes. In America today, a claimant can't even sue this generation of the Bush family for their granddad's collaboration with the NAZIs. But that may change. I hope it isn't the present UN World Court that handles the case. They don't have capital punishment. I see some agency like the Simon Wiesenthal Organization, hunting down the children of Fossil Fool Criminals, too. Children may inherit "Family Values", which includes a category of contagious toxic memems, which ends up guiding their moral code in following the behaviors of their forebears. If their behavior is punishable, then it should be punished, without reference to the saints or sinners up the family tree. This is called morals. Look it up sometime. It is about holding people culpable for behavior, not DNA. If family fortunes were inherited, and the fortune was built on crime, this money might be forfeit. A current lawsuit on the RICO criminals of the Tobacco Lords is attempting (without much luck in the crime-infested federal judiciary) to do that right now. That is not a punishment to the current heirs of a criminal dynasty, but disarming them of the power to commit future crimes. Hope you can notice a subtle difference between punishment and disgorging ill-gotten gains they ought not be enjoying in the first place. Even the nazis, even the mafia, cares about their offspring, sort of like the momma hyena cares about which of twin daughters killed the birthmate to become the sole survivor. A set of twin daughter hyenas will both starve from lack of mother nursing them unless one shows the fratracide required for survival in their world -- peaceniks are shunned. THe chances of moral beings coming from psychopath families is vanishingly small. "Justice" says that those who think their way out of the family trap ought not be punished, meaning the sins of the son are punishable as much as the sins of the father are punishable, each upon whom did the sin. The biggest WRONG in your message is the denialism that Global Warming is HERE, NOW, and punishment of the fathers is DUE NOW. You are still making claims that Global Warming is a problem in 50 or 100 years, thereby aiding and abetting the crimes being committed now. When people know that the deaths and destruction NOW are punishable offenses, then people like yOU need to reckon with your own cowardise to hold powerful and rich criminals to account. You shrug this duty off on future generations whom will have no society and social order to support any kind of justice system. |
#5
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Yes, global warming is here noe.
But, Joe Sixpack hasn't seen it yet. |
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