DECEMBER 2005 30-DAY OUTLOOK
500 PM EDT Wed. November 30, 2005
Atmospheric patterns, 700 MB and 500 MB height anomalies, statistical
data, and Canonical Correlation analysis, along with observed cases
from past such months and also data from 1895-2000 were used in this
forecast.
Oceanic and atmospheric indicators across the Equatorial Pacific
continue to remain near normal. The indicators are forecast to remain
near normal through the end of the year.

NAO is currently is currently negative and is forecast to remain
generally negative through the next two weeks. The PNA is negative and
is forecast to trend positive through the next two weeks. The upper
pattern is forecast to be highly amplifies consisting of below normal
heights across Alaska, a ridge off the West coast and a trough across
the Great Lakes. Above normal heights are also expected near
Greenland.
Above normal temperatures are forecast for the Rockies westward. The
probability of above normal temperatures in this region is 59 percent.
Below normal temperatures are forecast across the central and northern
Plains, the Great Lakes, the Ohio Valley eastward to the East coast.
The probability of below normal temperatures across this region is 58
percent. The remainder of the nation is likely to average near normal
with no significant deviation from normal climatology.
Below normal precipitation is forecast across is expected across the
Plains westward. The probability of below normal precipitation in this
region is 57 percent. Above normal precipitation is forecast across the
across the East coast states. The probability of above normal
precipitation in this region is 56 percent. The remainder of the nation
is expected to average near normal with no significant deviation from
normal climatology.
Jim G. Munley, jr.,
http://www.geocities.com/jimmunleywx/

It will be colder than summer. The days will be increasing shorter the first
part of the month, leveling off around the 21st...then slowly increasing by
the end of the month.