Weatherlawyer wrote:

I got the times of the phases from Fred Espinak:
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/MoonPhase.html#y2004

So let's have a look at the forecast for the coming hurricane season.
Bear in mind this is for the weather around the UK from which the
lesser regions can be interpreted (as is the method used for tides in
ports.)

21 APR. 03 28 Misty weather at the start of this spell forecast what
might have been an hurricane if the season had been advanced enough but
there was a major earthquake series in Russia instead.

Score one for the meat eaters.

27 APR. 19 44 = Unstable anticyclonic.

5 MAY 05 13 = Unstable anticyclonic.

13 MAY 06 51 = Cyclonic.

19 MAY 09 21 = Cyclonic with a hint of thunder.

25 MAY 05 26 = Very unstable anticyclonic.

23 JUNE 23 06 = Anticyclonic.

11 JUNE 18 03 = Dull and overcast, watch out for misty weather/drizzle.

18 JUNE 14 08 = Anticyclonic.

25 JUNE 16 05 = Cyclonic.

3 JULY 16 37 = Wasn't there one at this time in April? Watch out for a
large magnitude quake following it. Something interesting at least.

11 JULY 03 02 = Thundery.

17 JULY 19 13 = Cyclonic.

25 JULY 04 31 = Cyclonic.

2 AUG. 08 46 = Unstable cyclonic with a dash of thunder.

9 AUG. 10 54 = Anticyclonic.

16 AUG. 01 51 = Anticyclonic.

23 AUG. 19 10 = Cyclonic.

31 AUG. 22 57 = Anticyclonic.

7 SEPT. 18 42 = Unstable cyclonic.

14 SEPT. 11 15 = Unstable anticyclonic.

22 SEPT. 11 45 = Awkward bugger. Unstable unstable???

30 SEPT. 11 04 = Anticyclonic. The classic.

7 OCT. 03 13 = Unstable cyclonic/thundery.

14 OCT. 00 26 = Awkward cyclonic, misty one.

22 OCT. 05 14 = Cyclonic.

29 OCT. 21 25 = Oh I hate these.

5 NOV. 12 58 = Cyclonic classic.

12 NOV. 17 45 = Unstable misty drizzle???

20 NOV. 22 18 = Very unstable, unstable thingumy.

28 NOV. 06 29 = And again.

5 DEC. 00 25 = And again.

12 DEC. 14 32 = This one will be impossible to get right for man and
beast

20 DEC. 14 01 = Anticyclonic.

27 DEC. 14 48 = Thundery. Odd run these.

I said at the start of this year it would be a bad one for earthquakes.
There are a lot of consecutive similar spells in here. As it happens
the Magnitude scales for quakes and the Beaufort scale for winds are
somewhat interchangeable.

As far as I am concerned they are caused by the same thing. So
whichever we get, the consecutive runs breaking step will give the
largest ones.

Or you can call me a climatologist.

Weatherlawyer wrote:

I said at the start of this year it would be a bad one for earthquakes.
There are a lot of consecutive similar spells in here. As it happens
the Magnitude scales for quakes and the Beaufort scale for winds are
somewhat interchangeable.

As far as I am concerned they are caused by the same thing. So
whichever we get, the consecutive runs breaking step will give the
largest ones.

As it happens, some weather stations in Britain recorded their highest
temperatures for the 21st. Early days yet for jumping to conclusions.

But why should that stop me?

Weatherlawyer wrote:

21 APR. 03 28 Misty weather at the start of this spell forecast what
might have been an hurricane if the season had been advanced enough but
there was a major earthquake series in Russia instead.

Score one for the meat eaters.

27 APR. 19 44 = Unstable anticyclonic.

5 MAY 05 13 = Unstable anticyclonic.

I thought I'd seen two anticyclones here. Score two but not as it is
turning out. I mislaid the first one and the second woke me up.

There is something large and ominous brewing.

(Or not as the case may be.)