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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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#1
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There is the Indonesian volcano about to erupt. There is the South
American volcano with its ash into the atmosphere. And then there is the cool, even cold summer so far in the Midwest. So with so much ash in the atmosphere, I doubt we are going to have a pronounced hurricane or tornado season this year. Everyone will be talking about the cool cold summer. Archimedes Plutonium www.iw.net/~a_plutonium whole entire Universe is just one big atom where dots of the electron-dot-cloud are galaxies |
#2
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![]() wrote: There is the Indonesian volcano about to erupt. The Indonesian volcano is farting, not erupting. There is the South American volcano with its ash into the atmosphere. And then there is the cool, even cold summer so far in the Midwest. So with so much ash in the atmosphere, I doubt we are going to have a pronounced hurricane or tornado season this year. There have been FOUR CATEGORY-5 HURRICANES in the world within the past 6 weeks -- one going on today set to hit Hong Kong by Wednesday-Thursday. Supercyclones require heat above normal. There has been 118 degree temperatures in India and Pakistan in the past week, brrrr, chilly, eh? Everyone will be talking about the cool cold summer. You are a crackpot -- it has nothing to do with paltry farting volcanos in South America. In any given day there are always volcanos erupting. One in Costa Rica has erupted every day of the past several decades, and that hasn't stopped GLOBAL WARMING so far. They already a http://www.upi.com/NewsTrack/view.ph...2-010050-1760r Cold, wet spring storm hits U.S. Midwest LONG LAKE, Wis., May 12 (UPI) -- High wind advisories were in effect Friday in parts of northern Wisconsin and Michigan pummeled by a wintry storm packing icy rain, sleet and slushy snow. More than 21,000 Wisconsin Public Service Corp. customers lost electrical power as winds gusting to 70 mph snapped tree limbs and downed utility lines in Door County, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported. About 11,000 customers were still blacked out at mid-morning Friday. Temperatures fell to the mid-30s as cold rain covered much of the upper Great Lakes. Gale-force winds knocked out regular telephone and cell phone service. Chilly rain mixed with snow was forecast in north-central Wisconsin, a National Weather Service advisory said. Three inches of snow was on the ground at Long Lake in Florence County and flurries were reported in Michigan's Upper Peninsula. The start of the Wisconsin Intercollegiate Athletic Conference baseball tournament in Wisconsin Rapids was postponed until Saturday. Wind-whipped rain was cited as a factor in a head-on collision that killed a woman in car struck by a minivan in the Town of Grafton Thursday night, the Minneapolis Star-Tribune said. Temperatures were stuck in the 40s in rainy northern Illinois. |
#3
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#4
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![]() Thomas Palm wrote: wrote in news:1147678195.439513.58910 @v46g2000cwv.googlegroups.com: (snip) The Indonesian volcano is on Java, south of the equator (7°32')S. While The intertropical convergence zone moves a bit with the season, in spring it ought to be pretty close to the equator and thus even if this eruption is violent enough to send significant amounts of "ash" into the atmosphere it would spread in the southern hemisphere and have limited effect on the northern. Thanks for that information. Do you have any information as to whether anyone is monitoring each year as to the amount of pollutants into the atmosphere due to volcanic activity. Because Global Warming is offset by Global Cooling due to particles increase into the atmosphere. Years ago I asked the question--- does Global Warming have some kind of connection to the internal Earth of its magma and volcanism and that as Global Warming increases, it triggers some sort of mechanism that increases volcanism and thus offsets Global Warming. I wrote then, as I write now that the Gaia theory is baloney or poppycock, but this question has a flavor of the Gaia theory. For that theory to be correct implies a balancing of a *self regulating nature* between Global Warming and Global Cooling and for which some sort of connection between Global Warming and volcanism. For the life of me, I cannot see or envision any sort of mechanism that increasing Global Warming would increase volcanism. Of course, to me the Gaia theory is utterly silly and stupid and wrong because planet Earth or any planet is not a self conscious entity that regulates itself. This is "pop science" at its worse and is almost verging on the "joke science" such as Conrad's homo sapiens as old as the Pennsylvania coal of 150 million years or more. (Not to add to Conrad's joke, but has he carbon dated his joke find of alleged human bones. And not that I am really care for an answer.) But being a good scientist means I have to cover all bases, and so I repeat my question of years back. Is anyone tracking volcanism and its pollutants in the atmosphere and has it been increasing yearly? And is there some mechanism at work where Global Warming increases but causes volcanism to increase and thus offset Global Warming with Global Cooling. Recently a TV NOVA show gave evidence of a worldwide decrease in Sunlight, USA and Europe decrease of about 10 percent sunlight in the past decades. But for the life of me, I cannot envision or imagine how Global Warming could trigger increased volcanism. But this question needs some serious attention. Perhaps with the increase in ocean waters is added weight on the tectonic plates where volcanism is most active. Nay... Archimedes Plutonium www.iw.net/~a_plutonium whole entire Universe is just one big atom where dots of the electron-dot-cloud are galaxies |
#5
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a_plutonium wrote in
: Thomas Palm wrote: wrote in news:1147678195.439513.58910 @v46g2000cwv.googlegroups.com: (snip) The Indonesian volcano is on Java, south of the equator (7°32')S. While The intertropical convergence zone moves a bit with the season, in spring it ought to be pretty close to the equator and thus even if this eruption is violent enough to send significant amounts of "ash" into the atmosphere it would spread in the southern hemisphere and have limited effect on the northern. Thanks for that information. Do you have any information as to whether anyone is monitoring each year as to the amount of pollutants into the atmosphere due to volcanic activity. I assume people who study volcanos estimate the emissions from them, yes. You'll have to do a literature search to find details, though. People certainly check emissions from large eruptions like Pinatubo. Because Global Warming is offset by Global Cooling due to particles increase into the atmosphere. Particles from human combustion of fossil fuels and biofuels, not from any increase in volcanism. This has nothing to do with Gaia, it's just humans causing all kind of changes on the climate on the same time, some of them which happen to partially counteract each other. Years ago I asked the question--- does Global Warming have some kind of connection to the internal Earth of its magma and volcanism and that as Global Warming increases, it triggers some sort of mechanism that increases volcanism and thus offsets Global Warming. This seems extremely unlikely. I wrote then, as I write now that the Gaia theory is baloney or poppycock, but this question has a flavor of the Gaia theory. For that theory to be correct implies a balancing of a *self regulating nature* between Global Warming and Global Cooling and for which some sort of connection between Global Warming and volcanism. No such mechanism is necessary. Regulation of temperature on Earth happens through other mechanisms such as weathering of rocks increasing in a warmer (and therefore wetter) world, with weathering removing CO2 from the atmosphere. Volcanism is just a background noise in this process, and the most significant effect from changes in volcanism is the CO2 emitted, not the ash. (Although indirectly the ash could have effects since it fertilizes soils, causing more plant growth that sucks up CO2). Of course, to me the Gaia theory is utterly silly and stupid and wrong because planet Earth or any planet is not a self conscious entity that regulates itself. The Gaia theory doesn't assume a self conscious entity. A bacteria regulates its own internal chemistry but doesn't have any consiousness whatsoever. The weak point in the comparison is that Earth doesn't reproduce, and thus can't develop through evolution. Nevertheless, I think the Gaia hypothesis can be useful as a way of thinking of Earth. It doesn't prove anything and isn't a proper scientific theory, but thinking "can this be due to some self regulating process?" has in several cases helped people look for and find such processes. But for the life of me, I cannot envision or imagine how Global Warming could trigger increased volcanism. But this question needs some serious attention. Not really. Perhaps with the increase in ocean waters is added weight on the tectonic plates where volcanism is most active. Nay... Thermal expansion of the oceans doesn't redistribute weight so can't have any such effect. Melting glaciers does redistribute weight, and in theory could trigger a volcanic eryption, although I suspect it can only do so in a site that would soon erupt anyway. |
#6
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a_plutonium wrote:
Thomas Palm wrote: wrote in news:1147678195.439513.58910 @v46g2000cwv.googlegroups.com: (snip) The Indonesian volcano is on Java, south of the equator (7°32')S. While The intertropical convergence zone moves a bit with the season, in spring it ought to be pretty close to the equator and thus even if this eruption is violent enough to send significant amounts of "ash" into the atmosphere it would spread in the southern hemisphere and have limited effect on the northern. The ITCZ in the area, however, is already in the Northern Hemisphere -- I'm not sure if it will wobble back to the south. See, for example http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/comp/latest_cmoll.gif Scott |
#7
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Rightwinger Makes an Ashole of Himself over Volcanic Eruptions
wrote: There is the Indonesian volcano about to erupt. There is the South American volcano with its ash into the atmosphere. And then there is the cool, even cold summer so far in the Midwest. So with so much ash in the atmosphere, I doubt we are going to have a pronounced hurricane or tornado season this year. Everyone will be talking about the cool cold summer. http://volcano.und.edu/vwdocs/curren...al/arenal.html "... Arenal's most recent eruptive period began on July 29, 1968 at 7:20 AM when "Cerro" Arenal--as it was called by local residents--explosively blew the west side off the volcano. Two villages at the foot of the volcano-- Pueblo Nuevo and Tabac?n--were completely destroyed and 78 people died. Between July 29 and 31 three new craters were formed on the western flank of the volcano and a fifteen-square kilometer area (5.8 square miles) was devastated. Continuous explosive activity accompanied by slow lava effusion and the occasional emission of pyroclastic flows has occurred since then from vents at the summit and on the upper western flank. ..." Arenal has erupted in Costa Rica EVERY SINGLE DAY, every five minutes for 38 years. The GLOBAL WARMING has increased every one of those 38 years. http://volcano.und.edu/vwdocs/curren...s/current.html This is a list of 100 volcanos erupting or active in the year 2006, since January. Most of them have been erupting or active for years or decades. Last Year was record temperatures, and record desctructive hurricanes fueled by GLOBAL WARMING heat trapped in the system. In order to have any significant effect we must see a Krakatoa-like eruption, which makes a boom that travels the world seven times, and turns sunsets red all over the world for months. No red skys everywhere for months, forgetaboutit. |
#8
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Thomas Palm wrote:
The Gaia theory doesn't assume a self conscious entity. A bacteria regulates its own internal chemistry but doesn't have any consiousness whatsoever. The weak point in the comparison is that Earth doesn't reproduce, and thus can't develop through evolution. Nevertheless, I think the Gaia hypothesis can be useful as a way of thinking of Earth. It doesn't prove anything and isn't a proper scientific theory, but thinking "can this be due to some self regulating process?" has in several cases helped people look for and find such processes. A.P. replies: Well this is why I think Gaia is phony baloney because given any two moments in time x_1 and x_2, a Gaiaionist can bark back saying that Earth had self regulated itself within that time frame. What is to distinguish between events as self regulating and events non self regulating. This is so much phony baloney. I am sorry I ever brought up the idea of Gaia and the lesson I should learn is that whenever I know something to be phony is to never bring it up in a serious discussion about science. Because the discussion gets mired in the phoniness. But tonight I saw a NOVA show on Lake Missoula approx 15,000 years ago with a ice plug that was almost instantly cracked open by supercold water causing the Scablands of Washington State. Who could have guessed in 1900 that a gigantic lakes were formed from ice plugs and that floods resulted ripping apart vast regions. Which reminds me of the question posed about Global Warming. Is there something in the process of Global Warming that increases Volcanism which spews ash and particulates and results in Global Cooling? If I analogize to the supercold water in ice plugs of Lake Missoula to that of Global Warming and Volcanism, then, can I find some connection and mechanism? I doubt it. But it is worth a try. Suppose lightning in thunderstorms is connected to the interior of Earth and the magnetic poles of Earth. Can we say that Global Warming increases lightning storms? Can we say that as the lightning goes into the ground that it is connected to the molten magma in volcanism? So that as lightning storms increase due to increasing Global Warming which in turn increases Volcanism. As a scientist I know all things are connected. But just because they are connected does not mean that A causes B to happen. I need a mechanism. And so far I have not found any mechanism. The ice plug, and supercold pressurized water to crack the plug and the deluge causes the Scabland. That is a full mechanism. But I do not have a mechanism for Global Warming causing increased Volcanism. And most importantly, we simply do not have any evidence of increased Volcanism due to the past 60 years of increasing Global Warming. If we did have evidence that in the past 60 years, volcanism has increased more so than any other past 60 year interval, then I would have to take a even more serious look and attitude towards this question of a link and mechanism. But as for this moment, I have no evidence other than this spring is abnormally cooler. Archimedes Plutonium www.iw.net/~a_plutonium whole entire Universe is just one big atom where dots of the electron-dot-cloud are galaxies |
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