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April was the 9th warmest in 127 Northern Hemisphere years
The fossil fools on this forum have run out of ammunition. They are not only recycling old failed arguments, but they're exhuming ancient debunked articles as well. One sure sign of their desperation was Richard Lindzen's paranoid rant on April 12 in the Wall Street Journal. According to Lindzen, there's a vast evil conspiracy that prevents fossil fools from getting any respect as scientists. Creationists, quack medicine hucksters, neo NAZI racial theorists, crypto-zoologists, UFO nuts, and flat earthers all make identical claims. When Dr. Richard Lindzen joins this reliable group, there absolutely must be something to what they say! ;-) Meanwhile, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern Hemisphere over the last 127 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean April temperature over the last 127 years is 14.026 C. The Variance is 0.16878. The Standard Deviation is 0.4108. Rxy 0.708133 Rxy^2 0.501452 TEMP = 13.518583 + (0.007936 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 125 F = 125.728135 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999999 (19 nines) The month of Apr in the year 2006, is linearly projected to be 14.526, yet it was 14.77. -- More than projected. The sum of the residuals is 30.14968 Exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.525055 * e^(.0005621 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 30.089302 Rank of the months of April Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 15.18 1.154 2.81 2005 15.15 1.124 2.73 2000 15.08 1.054 2.56 2004 14.95 0.924 2.25 1990 14.87 0.844 2.05 2003 14.83 0.804 1.96 1995 14.82 0.794 1.93 2002 14.78 0.754 1.83 2006 14.77 0.744 1.81 -- 2001 14.71 0.684 1.66 1994 14.69 0.664 1.62 1999 14.68 0.654 1.59 1991 14.65 0.624 1.52 MEAN 14.026 0.000 0.00 1882 13.53 -0.496 -1.21 1902 13.53 -0.496 -1.21 1887 13.47 -0.556 -1.35 1905 13.47 -0.556 -1.35 1923 13.46 -0.566 -1.38 1885 13.45 -0.576 -1.40 1909 13.44 -0.586 -1.43 1891 13.43 -0.596 -1.45 1917 13.40 -0.626 -1.52 1892 13.37 -0.656 -1.60 1907 13.35 -0.676 -1.65 1918 13.23 -0.796 -1.94 1884 13.20 -0.826 -2.01 1896 13.17 -0.856 -2.08 The most recent 149 continuous months, or 12 years and 5 months, on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1516 months of data on this data set: -- 768 of them are at or above the norm. -- 748 of them are below the norm. This run of 149 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. |
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