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Old May 16th 06, 11:32 PM posted to sci.geo.meteorology
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Default Have genius, will travel.


I believe his forecasts are coming to an end att he present site soon
but what a style to go out on:

UPDATED 11th May 2006 - 18.11 UTC PREDICTION dt.9th to 11th May 06:

Only 60% sunshine day Suspect around 6+ to 7M quake over:

FOX ISLAND (51.9N 170.2W ) - KERMADEC ISLAND (30.45S 177.28W)

Suspect around 5 to 6+M quake over:

MYANMAR-INDIA BDR (26.1N 96.0E) - E.CST EASTERN HONSHU (39.30 N 142.31
E)
BANDA SEA (5.7S 125.3E) - VANUATU ISLANDS (15.5S 168.2E)
SOLOMON ISLANDS (9.1S 159.3E) - HOKKAIDO, JAPAN 42.5N 143.6E)
PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION (19.5N 121.2E) - HINDU KUSH REGION (36.4N
69.9E)

may occur within next 48 to 280 hours from 04.30 UTC on 10th May 2006.

I only wish I was able to work out how he gets his data. I do know that
his method could also catch heavy weather on the arc of the distances
he specifies, centred at his observatory at Coimbatore, India.

What he has is a metal ladder fixed to a concrete(?) north facing wall
in southern India. He plots where the shadows fall on the wall and the
ellipses formed give him his data. But how he gets the regions it is
going to affect is still a mystery to me.

The region around Coimbatore is mild in summer and warm in winter with
the temperature moderate all year around.

My one consolation is that I am aching all over and hoping to get some
relief for that as things settle down.

Well, I want to hand over to some trolls now so goodbye all.


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Old May 18th 06, 12:23 AM posted to sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 9
Default Have genius, will travel.


"Weatherlawyer" wrote in message
ups.com...

I believe his forecasts are coming to an end att he present site soon
but what a style to go out on:

UPDATED 11th May 2006 - 18.11 UTC PREDICTION dt.9th to 11th May 06:

Only 60% sunshine day Suspect around 6+ to 7M quake over:

FOX ISLAND (51.9N 170.2W ) - KERMADEC ISLAND (30.45S 177.28W)

Suspect around 5 to 6+M quake over:

MYANMAR-INDIA BDR (26.1N 96.0E) - E.CST EASTERN HONSHU (39.30 N 142.31
E)
BANDA SEA (5.7S 125.3E) - VANUATU ISLANDS (15.5S 168.2E)
SOLOMON ISLANDS (9.1S 159.3E) - HOKKAIDO, JAPAN 42.5N 143.6E)
PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION (19.5N 121.2E) - HINDU KUSH REGION (36.4N
69.9E)

may occur within next 48 to 280 hours from 04.30 UTC on 10th May 2006.

I only wish I was able to work out how he gets his data. I do know that
his method could also catch heavy weather on the arc of the distances
he specifies, centred at his observatory at Coimbatore, India.

What he has is a metal ladder fixed to a concrete(?) north facing wall
in southern India. He plots where the shadows fall on the wall and the
ellipses formed give him his data. But how he gets the regions it is
going to affect is still a mystery to me.

The region around Coimbatore is mild in summer and warm in winter with
the temperature moderate all year around.

My one consolation is that I am aching all over and hoping to get some
relief for that as things settle down.

Well, I want to hand over to some trolls now so goodbye all.


It seems time to thank you, Weatherlawyer, and all the other familiar names
on these newsgroups for the wonderful company you have given me over the
years, and the places you have taken me, in my feeble ponderings on the
goings on of life, the universe and everything from the big sky vantage
point of White Cliffs, Far Western New South Wales.

Thank you all, and I'll see if I can get back to the earth-wobble man! And
good luck,

Clair


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Old May 19th 06, 01:04 PM posted to sci.geo.meteorology
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Default Have genius, will travel.


Clair Inness wrote:
"Weatherlawyer" wrote in message
ups.com...

I believe his forecasts are coming to an end at the present site soon
but what a style to go out on:

UPDATED 11th May 2006 - 18.11 UTC PREDICTION dt.9th to 11th May 06:

Only 60% sunshine day Suspect around 6+ to 7M quake over:

FOX ISLAND (51.9N 170.2W ) - KERMADEC ISLAND (30.45S 177.28W)

Suspect around 5 to 6+M quake over:

MYANMAR-INDIA BDR (26.1N 96.0E) - E.CST EASTERN HONSHU
(39.30 N 142.31 E)
BANDA SEA (5.7S 125.3E) - VANUATU ISLANDS (15.5S 168.2E)
SOLOMON ISLANDS (9.1S 159.3E) - HOKKAIDO, JAPAN 42.5N 143.6E)
PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION (19.5N 121.2E) - HINDU KUSH REGION (36.4N
69.9E)

may occur within next 48 to 280 hours from 04.30 UTC on 10th May 2006.

Silly me, I forgot to post the link:
http://earthquake.itgo.com/today.htm

But what is this:
It seems time to thank you, Weatherlawyer, and all the other familiar names
on these newsgroups for the wonderful company you have given me over the
years, and the places you have taken me, in my feeble ponderings on the
goings on of life, the universe and everything from the big sky vantage
point of White Cliffs, Far Western New South Wales.

Thank you all, and I'll see if I can get back to the earth-wobble man! And
good luck,
Clair


A fan?
Does she mean me?

Alas I believe not:
Quake May Have Made Earth Wobble. Dec 31, '04 9:58 PM

Dec 29, 10:14 AM (ET) LOS ANGELES (Reuters)

The deadly Asian earthquake may have permanently accelerated the
Earth's rotation --
shortening days by a fraction of a second -- and caused the planet to
wobble on its axis, U.S. scientists said on Tuesday.

Richard Gross, a geophysicist with NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in
California, theorized that a shift of mass toward the Earth's center
during the quake on Sunday caused the planet to spin 3 microseconds, or
one millionth of a second, faster and to tilt about an inch (2.5 cm) on
its axis.

When one huge [theoretical] tectonic plate beneath the Indian Ocean was
[theoretically] forced below the edge of another "it had the
[theoretical] effect of making the Earth more compact and spinning
faster,"

Gross said changes predicted by his model probably are too minuscule to
be detected by a global positioning satellite network that routinely
measures changes in Earth's spin, but said the data may reveal a slight
wobble.

The Earth's poles travel a circular path that normally varies by about
33 feet, so an added wobble of an inch (2.5 cm) is unlikely to cause
long-term effects, he said.

"That continual motion is just used to changing," [???] "The rotation
is not actually that precise." [Does he mean that this motion is
erratic and that the drift is given an "average rate" for astrometrical
functions?]

"The Earth does slow down and change its rate of rotation. When those
tiny variations accumulate, planetary scientists must add a "leap
second" to the end of a year, something that has not been done in many
years."

Scientists have long theorized that changes on the Earth's surface such
as tide and groundwater shifts and weather could affect its spin but
they have not had precise measurements to prove it.

Caltech seismologist Hiroo Kanamori said. "Even for a very large event,
the effect is very
small," Kanamori said. "It's very difficult to change the rotation rate
substantially."
http://tejasmidget.multiply.com/journal/item/35

For an hundred years the rate of difference in theoretical or Newtonian
astrometry (Celestial Mechanics) and the actual measured positions has
been explained away with another gianormous theory called Space Time.
There are an extraordinary variety of these little widgets, I believe.

The spaceman working on whatever algorithm, just chooses the one(s) he
needs for the particular problem he wishes to solve. The results are
remarkably accurate but then they would be; in as much as tidal rates
have been worked out extra-ordinarily accurately on the same principle.

I wait patiently to see what function will take the place of whatever
is missing in the way that weather models are set up, to allow the
Meteorologist to finally get somewhere near his cousins in the other
earth sciences.

I imagine what is missing will coincidentally be almost exactly the
amplitude of tectonic forces. Which might also serve to bring
up-to-date that most woefully lacking of the sciences.

I am still looking for a site that plots these Chandleresque wabbles.



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