1st Heads-Up Warning -- Potential Tropical Weather Blowup in Gulf of
Mexico

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../241821.shtml?
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
205 pm Edt Mon Jul 24 2006

....Special Features...

A surface low pressure area centered just east Of La Pesca
Mexico is moving north at 5 to 10 kt. shower and thunderstorm
activity over much of the western Gulf Of Mexico And Bay Of
Campeche has increased and become a little better organized...
and NOAA buoys in the southwestern Gulf Of Mexico have recorded
wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph this morning. upper-level winds are
expected to become a little more favorable...and a tropical
depression could develop during the next day or so...if the low
pressure center remains offshore. latest satellite pictures and
surface data show that a surface low is forming near Tampico in
Mexico.

=== end excerpt from govt website =====


Satellite Pictures:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rgb-l.jpg
Shows critical mass and density for cyclone development.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/ft-l.jpg
Irregular and tepid convection activity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg
Nominal heat concentrations.

Prevailing winds are up through LA/MS/AL
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/wv-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/wv-l.jpg

Controlling force is developing northeast of Great Lakes prepped to
join three streams of tropical energy: The debris from Typhoon Ewiniar
which entered British Columbia and Alaska this past weekend, this mess
in GMEX which is debris from Tropical Storm Emilia boiling off of
Acapulco on the other coast of Mexico, and the boiling thunderstorms
around Florida/Bahamas. Expected juncture point of these three streams
is mid-Atlantic coast, roughly the Virginia/DC area again. Not quite a
repeat of last months floods, but heavy windstorms throughout the
southern and central eastern seaboard ought to be anticipated with some
tornado spawnings within two days. Wind forces of 50-70 mph, some
gusting to 90s due to local topology features.

and 24 hours later it has fizzed to no circulation and just a blob


--
Don
SEMPER VIGILIS
http://myweb.cableone.net/wxfreqrs/ REAL TIME WEATHER
http://www.qsl.net/kb5fhx/index.html HAM RADIO
http://donsradio.spaces.msn.com/blog/PersonalSpace.aspx MY BLOG
"Prosecute EXXON Stockholders for Global Warming Heat Deaths"
wrote in message
ups.com...
1st Heads-Up Warning -- Potential Tropical Weather Blowup in Gulf of
Mexico

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../241821.shtml?
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
205 pm Edt Mon Jul 24 2006

...Special Features...

A surface low pressure area centered just east Of La Pesca
Mexico is moving north at 5 to 10 kt. shower and thunderstorm
activity over much of the western Gulf Of Mexico And Bay Of
Campeche has increased and become a little better organized...
and NOAA buoys in the southwestern Gulf Of Mexico have recorded
wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph this morning. upper-level winds are
expected to become a little more favorable...and a tropical
depression could develop during the next day or so...if the low
pressure center remains offshore. latest satellite pictures and
surface data show that a surface low is forming near Tampico in
Mexico.

=== end excerpt from govt website =====


Satellite Pictures:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rgb-l.jpg
Shows critical mass and density for cyclone development.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/ft-l.jpg
Irregular and tepid convection activity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg
Nominal heat concentrations.

Prevailing winds are up through LA/MS/AL
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/wv-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/wv-l.jpg

Controlling force is developing northeast of Great Lakes prepped to
join three streams of tropical energy: The debris from Typhoon Ewiniar
which entered British Columbia and Alaska this past weekend, this mess
in GMEX which is debris from Tropical Storm Emilia boiling off of
Acapulco on the other coast of Mexico, and the boiling thunderstorms
around Florida/Bahamas. Expected juncture point of these three streams
is mid-Atlantic coast, roughly the Virginia/DC area again. Not quite a
repeat of last months floods, but heavy windstorms throughout the
southern and central eastern seaboard ought to be anticipated with some
tornado spawnings within two days. Wind forces of 50-70 mph, some
gusting to 90s due to local topology features.

wxfreqrs wrote:
and 24 hours later it has fizzed to no circulation and just a blob

Only 12 hours later and it fizzled. I have magical superpowers and can
make every storm disappear just by predicting it in public. I predicted
one in the Pacific with big bold green cloudtops on the funktop view
would go all thre way and it fizzled out within hours. You can see
what's left of it just passing south of Guam now on the WCPAC view:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/wcpac/rb-l.jpg

Three cyclones spawned at that very spot this month, at 9 day
intervals. So I was sure that there was enough juice in the waters to
charge another one.

I also predicted Emilia would go all the way to Hurricane. Four
cyclones spawned at that same spot this month a 1,5,5 day intervals.
That same spot also generated Aletta, TD2E, and half the energy for the
Carribean storm formation of Alberto last month. That's one peppy
little hot spot. However it may be spent for a few weeks now.

It may be that we will see not one cyclone active anywhere on the ITCZ
from Africa to Asia before the month is done. That will be a change
from watching three at a time going in the Pacific for most of the
month. And of course, having said that, all hell will break out
overnight.

--
Don
SEMPER VIGILIS
http://myweb.cableone.net/wxfreqrs/ REAL TIME WEATHER
http://www.qsl.net/kb5fhx/index.html HAM RADIO
http://donsradio.spaces.msn.com/blog/PersonalSpace.aspx MY BLOG
"Prosecute EXXON Stockholders for Global Warming Heat Deaths"
wrote in message
ups.com...
1st Heads-Up Warning -- Potential Tropical Weather Blowup in Gulf of
Mexico

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../241821.shtml?
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami Fl
205 pm Edt Mon Jul 24 2006

...Special Features...

A surface low pressure area centered just east Of La Pesca
Mexico is moving north at 5 to 10 kt. shower and thunderstorm
activity over much of the western Gulf Of Mexico And Bay Of
Campeche has increased and become a little better organized...
and NOAA buoys in the southwestern Gulf Of Mexico have recorded
wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph this morning. upper-level winds are
expected to become a little more favorable...and a tropical
depression could develop during the next day or so...if the low
pressure center remains offshore. latest satellite pictures and
surface data show that a surface low is forming near Tampico in
Mexico.

=== end excerpt from govt website =====


Satellite Pictures:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rgb-l.jpg
Shows critical mass and density for cyclone development.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/ft-l.jpg
Irregular and tepid convection activity.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/rb-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg
Nominal heat concentrations.

Prevailing winds are up through LA/MS/AL
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/wv-l.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/wv-l.jpg

Controlling force is developing northeast of Great Lakes prepped to
join three streams of tropical energy: The debris from Typhoon Ewiniar
which entered British Columbia and Alaska this past weekend, this mess
in GMEX which is debris from Tropical Storm Emilia boiling off of
Acapulco on the other coast of Mexico, and the boiling thunderstorms
around Florida/Bahamas. Expected juncture point of these three streams
is mid-Atlantic coast, roughly the Virginia/DC area again. Not quite a
repeat of last months floods, but heavy windstorms throughout the
southern and central eastern seaboard ought to be anticipated with some
tornado spawnings within two days. Wind forces of 50-70 mph, some
gusting to 90s due to local topology features.