Pardon the duplicate if it happens, there's a server error message
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Roger Coppock wrote:
On Oct 13, 11:52 am, "Hack" wrote:
What about the summer of 1432, 700, and 234?"Roger Coppock"

The data used below deals with global yearly averages from 1880.

This is not data per se. These numbers are derived, not measured.

Can you tell me where these numbers come from?

--- When it's summer in one of the North or South hemispheres,
it is winter in the other.

Good job Roger.

--- Yearly averages include the equinoxes too.

While the year just would not be the same without em, what is
it you mean? What is your point?

--- All the dates you list were before 1880. Who cares about
ancient history?

Coulda sworn many of your claims are based upon thirty year
rolling averages, ain't they hard to derive without data that
goes back into that realm of the ancient as you seem to be
defining it? And personally I think that if you have thermometer
data, it's not ancient, if it's from proxies, that would seem
to be where ancient starts. How exactly do you define ancient?

Cheers,

Rich

wrote in message
ups.com...

September was 4th warmest in the last 128 years on record.
In spite of the Carbon fuel industry's huge 'investment' in
'public relations,' global mean surface temperatures continue
to rise.
These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 128 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.
The last 127 yearly means of these data are graphed at:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg
The Mean September temperature over the last 128 years is 13.971 C.
The Variance is 0.05582.
The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2363.
Rxy 0.8144 Rxy^2 0.6632
TEMP = 13.634978 + (0.005207 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 126 F = 248.13591
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!
The month of September in the year 2007,
is linearly projected to be 14.302,
yet it was 14.49. -- 0.8 SIGMA above projection
The sum of the residuals is 13.80568
Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.638586 * e^(.0003710 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 13.74214
Rank of the months of September
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2005 14.69 0.719 3.04
2003 14.60 0.629 2.66
2006 14.55 0.579 2.45
2007 14.49 0.519 2.20 --
2002 14.48 0.509 2.15
2001 14.48 0.509 2.15
2004 14.46 0.489 2.07
1998 14.42 0.449 1.90
1997 14.41 0.439 1.86
1991 14.39 0.419 1.77
1983 14.35 0.379 1.60
1989 14.32 0.349 1.48
2000 14.31 0.339 1.44
MEAN 13.971 0.000 0.00
1916 13.71 -0.261 -1.10
1907 13.71 -0.261 -1.10
1902 13.71 -0.261 -1.10
1883 13.71 -0.261 -1.10
1881 13.71 -0.261 -1.10
1913 13.69 -0.281 -1.19
1910 13.69 -0.281 -1.19
1884 13.67 -0.301 -1.27
1964 13.63 -0.341 -1.44
1894 13.63 -0.341 -1.44
1890 13.62 -0.351 -1.49
1904 13.59 -0.381 -1.61
1903 13.55 -0.421 -1.78
1912 13.50 -0.471 -1.99
The most recent 163 continuous months, or 13 years and 7 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1533 months of data on this data set:
-- 650 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 883 of them are below the norm.
This run of 163 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.