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On Oct 21, 6:34 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
Expert: Warming Climate Fuels Mega-Fires Scott Pelley Reports From The American West's Fire Lines On The Rising Number Of Mega-Fires Oct 21, 2007 CBS News [ . . . ] The severity of the burning and size of the fires caught the eye of Tom Swetnam, one of the world's leading fire ecologists. He wanted to know what's touched off this annual inferno and whether it's truly a historic change. At the University of Arizona, Swetnam keeps a remarkable woodpile, comprised of the largest collection of tree rings in the world. His rings go back 9,000 years, and each one of those rings captures one year of climate history. Swetnam found recent decades have been the hottest in 1,000 years. And recently, he and a team of top climate scientists discovered something else: a dramatic increase in fires high in the mountains, where fires were rare. (cut) How much hotter is it now than it was in 1000 A.D. And just how were the temperature proxies arrived at. Is he using the discredited "Mann" hockey stick? According to the Huang-Pollack borehole measurements, temperatures were slightly warmer 1000 years ago than they are now. http://www-personal.umich.edu/~shaopeng/97GL01846.pdf According to this study, drought conditions DROPPED in the latter part of the 20th century. http://www-personal.umich.edu/~shaopeng/97GL01846.pdf Perhaps due to a negative to positive switch in PDO. And now that we may have switched back from positive to negative, additional drought in the southwest US may be expected. http://oceanworld.tamu.edu/resources/oceanography- - A. McIntire |
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