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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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#11
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#12
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On Fri, 22 Feb 2008 07:14:17 -0800 (PST), "
wrote: On Feb 21, 6:24*am, dave wrote: wrote: On Feb 19, 1:25 pm, "V-for-Vendicar" wrote: *Nope, you are still too stupid to know the difference betweenclimate and weather, (cut crap) * Climate is what you EXPECT, *weather is what you GET. *Didn't expect snow *in Greece or Saudi Arabia did you Vendicar? What's the probability that this will happen with *exponentially increasing worldwide temperatures? *I'd guess somewhere between slim and none- A. McIntire Or Brazilian tornadoes... Anomalous weather phenomena are expected to increase due to global warming; *snow on the Mediterranean MAY be such a sympton. *It might be prudent to assume that it is, as opposed to latching onto the snow as simplistic false proof that there is no warming. That's wrong! With more CO2 in the atmosphere, there would not really.. see below.. theroretically be little change in the tropics, where the CO2 effect is swamped by water vapor. Most of the change in temerature would be in the dryer areas closer to the poles. The average temperature gradient between equator and poles would drop, REDUCING weather volatility- A. McIntire With more CO2 in the atmosphere results in higher vertical (20-40 mile) thermal gradients, where most violent/extreme weather events obtain their energy. Verses delta gradients spread over thin atmospheric shell several thousand miles in length. I.E. Delta T per km Vert Delta T per km horiz.. .. Weather fronts provide enough energy to destabilize, nearly all the rest of the energy comes the local V delta T. |
#13
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On Feb 23, 6:04*am, dave wrote:
wrote: On Feb 21, 6:24 am, dave wrote: wrote: On Feb 19, 1:25 pm, "V-for-Vendicar" wrote: *Nope, you are still too stupid to know the difference betweenclimate and weather, (cut crap) * Climate is what you EXPECT, *weather is what you GET. *Didn't expect snow *in Greece or Saudi Arabia did you Vendicar? What's the probability that this will happen with *exponentially increasing worldwide temperatures? *I'd guess somewhere between slim and none- A. McIntire Or Brazilian tornadoes... Anomalous weather phenomena are expected to increase due to global warming; *snow on the Mediterranean MAY be such a sympton. *It might be prudent to assume that it is, as opposed to latching onto the snow as simplistic false proof that there is no warming. *That's wrong! * With more CO2 in the atmosphere, there would theroretically be little change in the tropics, *where the CO2 effect is swamped by water vapor. *Most of the change in temerature would be in the dryer areas closer to the poles. * The average temperature gradient between equator and poles would drop, REDUCING weather volatility- A. McIntire * (cut) The Mediterranean is not the tropics.- Hide quoted text - What's THAT got to do with anything? Do you suffer from simple reading comprehension? "Or Brazilian tornadoes... " Most of Brazil IS in the tropics. My point was, your hypothesis of increased weather volatility due to global warming is a bunch of crap! Models predict a reduced temperature gradient between equator and poles, and that would REDUCE volatility- |
#14
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#15
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On Feb 23, 12:43*pm, dave wrote:
wrote: On Feb 23, 6:04 am, dave wrote: wrote: On Feb 21, 6:24 am, dave wrote: wrote: On Feb 19, 1:25 pm, "V-for-Vendicar" wrote: *Nope, you are still too stupid to know the difference betweenclimate and weather, (cut crap) * Climate is what you EXPECT, *weather is what you GET. *Didn't expect snow *in Greece or Saudi Arabia did you Vendicar? What's the probability that this will happen with *exponentially increasing worldwide temperatures? *I'd guess somewhere between slim and none- A. McIntire Or Brazilian tornadoes... Anomalous weather phenomena are expected to increase due to global warming; *snow on the Mediterranean MAY be such a sympton. *It might be prudent to assume that it is, as opposed to latching onto the snow as simplistic false proof that there is no warming. *That's wrong! * With more CO2 in the atmosphere, there would theroretically be little change in the tropics, *where the CO2 effect is swamped by water vapor. *Most of the change in temerature would be in the dryer areas closer to the poles. * The average temperature gradient between equator and poles would drop, REDUCING weather volatility- A. McIntire * (cut) The Mediterranean is not the tropics.- Hide quoted text - * *What's THAT got to do with anything? *Do you suffer from simple reading comprehension? "Or Brazilian tornadoes... " *Most of Brazil IS in the tropics. * *My point was, your hypothesis of increased weather volatility due to global warming is a bunch of crap! Models predict a reduced temperature gradient between equator and poles, and that would REDUCE volatility- A scientist would not use a term like volatile unless describing the propensity of a liquid toward vaporization, or some such like that there.- Hide quoted text - Acutally, the people most apt to use the term "volatility" would be those trading on stocks, bonds, or commodities. Volatility is the measure of the state of instability. You think weather would be more volatile with global warming, I say that cooling would have a more volatile effect.- A. McIntire |
#16
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On Feb 23, 6:06*am, T. Keating wrote:
On Fri, 22 Feb 2008 07:14:17 -0800 (PST), " wrote: On Feb 21, 6:24*am, dave wrote: wrote: On Feb 19, 1:25 pm, "V-for-Vendicar" wrote: *Nope, you are still too stupid to know the difference betweenclimate and weather, (cut crap) * Climate is what you EXPECT, *weather is what you GET. *Didn't expect snow *in Greece or Saudi Arabia did you Vendicar? What's the probability that this will happen with *exponentially increasing worldwide temperatures? *I'd guess somewhere between slim and none- A. McIntire Or Brazilian tornadoes... Anomalous weather phenomena are expected to increase due to global warming; *snow on the Mediterranean MAY be such a sympton. *It might be prudent to assume that it is, as opposed to latching onto the snow as simplistic false proof that there is no warming. That's wrong! * With more CO2 in the atmosphere, there would not really.. *see below.. theroretically be little change in the tropics, *where the CO2 effect is swamped by water vapor. *Most of the change in temerature would be in the dryer areas closer to the poles. * The average temperature gradient between equator and poles would drop, REDUCING weather volatility- A. McIntire With more CO2 in the atmosphere results in higher vertical (20-40 mile) *thermal gradients, where most violent/extreme weather events obtain their energy. *Verses delta gradients spread over thin atmospheric shell several thousand miles in length. * I.E. Delta T per km Vert Delta T per km *horiz.. * . Weather fronts provide enough energy to destabilize, nearly all the rest of the energy comes the local V delta T.- Hide quoted text - Not even the extreme AGW folks at RealClimate believe severe drops in temperature are the result of global warming. From http://www.realclimate.org/index.php...-tale-of-three... "Due to Global Warming, one of the predictions for the changes we'd see is for greater variability in weather due to more energy in the atmosphere. Hotter hots. Wetter wets. Dryer dries. And even, in places, colder colds.-Comment by Jeffrey Davis - 9 Apr 2007 @ 7:19 pm [Response: Actually, I don't think this is a fair statement. There is evidence for the dry places getting dryer, and wet places getting wetter - mainly in the tropics and subtropics. And there is evidence for greater intensity of rainfall events due to increased specific humidity. Evidence for greater variability per se is much weaker if it exists at all. What we are seeing this month are extreme excursions of the jet stream - but in most of the models there is a weak increase in the 'NAO' pattern, which is actually associated with less winter variability in the jet stream and reduced extreme cold outbreaks. I am not aware of any study suggesting that extreme cold events should be more likely or more extreme. Be careful not to fall into the contrarian trap of blaming everything (and therefore explaining nothing) on global warming.... - gavin] " - A. McIntire |
#17
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#19
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On Feb 23, 3:57*pm, dave wrote:
wrote: * Acutally, the people most apt to use the term "volatility" would be those trading on stocks, bonds, or commodities. Volatility is the measure of the state of instability. *You think weather would be more volatile with global warming, I say that cooling would have a more volatile effect.- A. McIntire So McIntire is a stock broker? So you're not smart enough to understand the definition?- A. McIntire |
#20
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On Feb 23, 4:02*pm, dave wrote:
wrote: On Feb 23, 6:06 am, T. Keating wrote: On Fri, 22 Feb 2008 07:14:17 -0800 (PST), " wrote: On Feb 21, 6:24 am, dave wrote: wrote: On Feb 19, 1:25 pm, "V-for-Vendicar" wrote: *Nope, you are still too stupid to know the difference betweenclimate and weather, (cut crap) * Climate is what you EXPECT, *weather is what you GET. *Didn't expect snow *in Greece or Saudi Arabia did you Vendicar? What's the probability that this will happen with *exponentially increasing worldwide temperatures? *I'd guess somewhere between slim and none- A. McIntire Or Brazilian tornadoes... Anomalous weather phenomena are expected to increase due to global warming; *snow on the Mediterranean MAY be such a sympton. *It might be prudent to assume that it is, as opposed to latching onto the snow as simplistic false proof that there is no warming. That's wrong! * With more CO2 in the atmosphere, there would not really.. *see below.. theroretically be little change in the tropics, *where the CO2 effect is swamped by water vapor. *Most of the change in temerature would be in the dryer areas closer to the poles. * The average temperature gradient between equator and poles would drop, REDUCING weather volatility- A. McIntire With more CO2 in the atmosphere results in higher vertical (20-40 mile) *thermal gradients, where most violent/extreme weather events obtain their energy. *Verses delta gradients spread over thin atmospheric shell several thousand miles in length. * I.E. Delta T per km Vert Delta T per km *horiz.. * . Weather fronts provide enough energy to destabilize, nearly all the rest of the energy comes the local V delta T.- Hide quoted text - *Not even the extreme AGW folks at RealClimate believe severe drops in temperature are the result of global warming. *From http://www.realclimate.org/index.php...-tale-of-three... "Due to Global Warming, one of the predictions for the changes we'd see is for greater variability in weather due to more energy in the atmosphere. Hotter hots. Wetter wets. Dryer dries. And even, in places, colder colds.-Comment by Jeffrey Davis - 9 Apr 2007 @ 7:19 pm [Response: Actually, I don't think this is a fair statement. There is evidence for the dry places getting dryer, and wet places getting wetter - mainly in the tropics and subtropics. And there is evidence for greater intensity of rainfall events due to increased specific humidity. Evidence for greater variability per se is much weaker if it exists at all. What we are seeing this month are extreme excursions of the jet stream - but in most of the models there is a weak increase in the 'NAO' pattern, which is actually associated with less winter variability in the jet stream and reduced extreme cold outbreaks. I am not aware of any study suggesting that extreme cold events should be more likely or more extreme. Be careful not to fall into the contrarian trap of blaming everything (and therefore explaining nothing) on global warming.... - gavin] " - A. McIntire If the jet stream has more energy will it not swing more wildly?- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Going off on a tangent about the Mediterranean, and implicitly calling your prophet, Gavin, a liar, you have a definite reading comprehension problem: "- but in most of the models there is a weak increase in the 'NAO' pattern, which is actually associated with less winter variability in the jet stream and reduced extreme cold outbreaks. I am not aware of any study suggesting that extreme cold events should be more likely or more extreme. Be careful not to fall into the contrarian trap of blaming everything (and therefore explaining nothing) on global warming.... - gavin] " - A. McIntire |
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