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#1
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February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record.
Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean February temperature over the last 129 years is 13.990 C. The Variance is 0.09485. The Standard Deviation is 0.3080. Rxy 0.7497 Rxy^2 0.5621 TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 163.010435 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of February in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.387, yet it was 14.26. -- second month below trend. The sum of the residuals is 21.78824 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.59174 * e^(.0004435 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.73184 Rank of the months of February Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.79 0.800 2.60 1995 14.71 0.720 2.34 2002 14.70 0.710 2.31 2004 14.67 0.680 2.21 2007 14.63 0.640 2.08 1999 14.60 0.610 1.98 2006 14.58 0.590 1.92 2005 14.56 0.570 1.85 2003 14.51 0.520 1.69 2000 14.51 0.520 1.69 1996 14.47 0.480 1.56 1991 14.45 0.460 1.49 2001 14.41 0.420 1.36 1986 14.38 0.390 1.27 1987 14.37 0.380 1.23 1983 14.37 0.380 1.23 1981 14.37 0.380 1.23 1992 14.35 0.360 1.17 1988 14.35 0.360 1.17 1997 14.30 0.310 1.01 1990 14.29 0.300 0.98 1989 14.29 0.300 0.98 1993 14.28 0.290 0.94 1980 14.28 0.290 0.94 1973 14.28 0.290 0.94 2008 14.26 0.270 0.88 -- MEAN 13.990 0.000 0.00 1936 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1924 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1923 13.71 -0.280 -0.91 1910 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1906 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1885 13.68 -0.310 -1.01 1894 13.66 -0.330 -1.07 1913 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1909 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1922 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1883 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1899 13.63 -0.360 -1.17 1951 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1886 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1929 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1890 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1918 13.58 -0.410 -1.33 1907 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1904 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1911 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1888 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1905 13.50 -0.490 -1.59 1887 13.49 -0.500 -1.62 1891 13.48 -0.510 -1.65 1917 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1895 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1893 13.46 -0.530 -1.72 The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1538 months of data on this data set: -- 658 of them are at or above the norm. -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. |
#2
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On Mar 10, 11:04*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. *In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean February temperature over the last 129 years is 13.990 C. The Variance is 0.09485. The Standard Deviation is 0.3080. Rxy 0.7497 * Rxy^2 0.5621 TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 163.010435 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of February in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.387, * * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.26. -- second month below trend. The sum of the residuals is 21.78824 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.59174 * e^(.0004435 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.73184 *Rank of the months of February Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 1998 * 14.79 * * 0.800 * * 2.60 1995 * 14.71 * * 0.720 * * 2.34 2002 * 14.70 * * 0.710 * * 2.31 2004 * 14.67 * * 0.680 * * 2.21 2007 * 14.63 * * 0.640 * * 2.08 1999 * 14.60 * * 0.610 * * 1.98 2006 * 14.58 * * 0.590 * * 1.92 2005 * 14.56 * * 0.570 * * 1.85 2003 * 14.51 * * 0.520 * * 1.69 2000 * 14.51 * * 0.520 * * 1.69 1996 * 14.47 * * 0.480 * * 1.56 1991 * 14.45 * * 0.460 * * 1.49 2001 * 14.41 * * 0.420 * * 1.36 1986 * 14.38 * * 0.390 * * 1.27 1987 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1983 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1981 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1992 * 14.35 * * 0.360 * * 1.17 1988 * 14.35 * * 0.360 * * 1.17 1997 * 14.30 * * 0.310 * * 1.01 1990 * 14.29 * * 0.300 * * 0.98 1989 * 14.29 * * 0.300 * * 0.98 1993 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 1980 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 1973 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 2008 * 14.26 * * 0.270 * * 0.88 -- MEAN * 13.990 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1936 * 13.74 * *-0.250 * *-0.81 1924 * 13.74 * *-0.250 * *-0.81 1923 * 13.71 * *-0.280 * *-0.91 1910 * 13.70 * *-0.290 * *-0.94 1906 * 13.70 * *-0.290 * *-0.94 1885 * 13.68 * *-0.310 * *-1.01 1894 * 13.66 * *-0.330 * *-1.07 1913 * 13.65 * *-0.340 * *-1.10 1909 * 13.65 * *-0.340 * *-1.10 1922 * 13.64 * *-0.350 * *-1.14 1883 * 13.64 * *-0.350 * *-1.14 1899 * 13.63 * *-0.360 * *-1.17 1951 * 13.61 * *-0.380 * *-1.23 1886 * 13.61 * *-0.380 * *-1.23 1929 * 13.59 * *-0.400 * *-1.30 1890 * 13.59 * *-0.400 * *-1.30 1918 * 13.58 * *-0.410 * *-1.33 1907 * 13.55 * *-0.440 * *-1.43 1904 * 13.55 * *-0.440 * *-1.43 1911 * 13.54 * *-0.450 * *-1.46 1888 * 13.54 * *-0.450 * *-1.46 1905 * 13.50 * *-0.490 * *-1.59 1887 * 13.49 * *-0.500 * *-1.62 1891 * 13.48 * *-0.510 * *-1.65 1917 * 13.47 * *-0.520 * *-1.69 1895 * 13.47 * *-0.520 * *-1.69 1893 * 13.46 * *-0.530 * *-1.72 The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1538 months of data on this data set: * -- 658 of them are at or above the norm. * -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. And if you take out the adjustments in the NASA data that Hansen applies, such as 3 degrees warmer in the early 20 century, you have no warming trend at all. |
#3
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On Mar 10, 10:04 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean February temperature over the last 129 years is 13.990 C. The Variance is 0.09485. The Standard Deviation is 0.3080. Rxy 0.7497 Rxy^2 0.5621 TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 163.010435 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of February in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.387, yet it was 14.26. -- second month below trend. The sum of the residuals is 21.78824 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.59174 * e^(.0004435 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.73184 Rank of the months of February Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.79 0.800 2.60 1995 14.71 0.720 2.34 2002 14.70 0.710 2.31 2004 14.67 0.680 2.21 2007 14.63 0.640 2.08 1999 14.60 0.610 1.98 2006 14.58 0.590 1.92 2005 14.56 0.570 1.85 2003 14.51 0.520 1.69 2000 14.51 0.520 1.69 1996 14.47 0.480 1.56 1991 14.45 0.460 1.49 2001 14.41 0.420 1.36 1986 14.38 0.390 1.27 1987 14.37 0.380 1.23 1983 14.37 0.380 1.23 1981 14.37 0.380 1.23 1992 14.35 0.360 1.17 1988 14.35 0.360 1.17 1997 14.30 0.310 1.01 1990 14.29 0.300 0.98 1989 14.29 0.300 0.98 1993 14.28 0.290 0.94 1980 14.28 0.290 0.94 1973 14.28 0.290 0.94 2008 14.26 0.270 0.88 -- MEAN 13.990 0.000 0.00 1936 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1924 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1923 13.71 -0.280 -0.91 1910 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1906 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1885 13.68 -0.310 -1.01 1894 13.66 -0.330 -1.07 1913 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1909 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1922 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1883 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1899 13.63 -0.360 -1.17 1951 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1886 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1929 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1890 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1918 13.58 -0.410 -1.33 1907 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1904 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1911 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1888 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1905 13.50 -0.490 -1.59 1887 13.49 -0.500 -1.62 1891 13.48 -0.510 -1.65 1917 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1895 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1893 13.46 -0.530 -1.72 The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1538 months of data on this data set: -- 658 of them are at or above the norm. -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Hansen's temperatures are a total lie |
#4
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On Mar 11, 10:55*pm, chemist wrote:
On Mar 10, 10:04 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. *In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss..nasa.gov/gistemp/t...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean February temperature over the last 129 years is 13.990 C. The Variance is 0.09485. The Standard Deviation is 0.3080. Rxy 0.7497 * Rxy^2 0.5621 TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 163.010435 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of February in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.387, * * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.26. -- second month below trend. The sum of the residuals is 21.78824 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.59174 * e^(.0004435 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.73184 *Rank of the months of February Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 1998 * 14.79 * * 0.800 * * 2.60 1995 * 14.71 * * 0.720 * * 2.34 2002 * 14.70 * * 0.710 * * 2.31 2004 * 14.67 * * 0.680 * * 2.21 2007 * 14.63 * * 0.640 * * 2.08 1999 * 14.60 * * 0.610 * * 1.98 2006 * 14.58 * * 0.590 * * 1.92 2005 * 14.56 * * 0.570 * * 1.85 2003 * 14.51 * * 0.520 * * 1.69 2000 * 14.51 * * 0.520 * * 1.69 1996 * 14.47 * * 0.480 * * 1.56 1991 * 14.45 * * 0.460 * * 1.49 2001 * 14.41 * * 0.420 * * 1.36 1986 * 14.38 * * 0.390 * * 1.27 1987 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1983 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1981 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1992 * 14.35 * * 0.360 * * 1.17 1988 * 14.35 * * 0.360 * * 1.17 1997 * 14.30 * * 0.310 * * 1.01 1990 * 14.29 * * 0.300 * * 0.98 1989 * 14.29 * * 0.300 * * 0.98 1993 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 1980 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 1973 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 2008 * 14.26 * * 0.270 * * 0.88 -- MEAN * 13.990 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1936 * 13.74 * *-0.250 * *-0.81 1924 * 13.74 * *-0.250 * *-0.81 1923 * 13.71 * *-0.280 * *-0.91 1910 * 13.70 * *-0.290 * *-0.94 1906 * 13.70 * *-0.290 * *-0.94 1885 * 13.68 * *-0.310 * *-1.01 1894 * 13.66 * *-0.330 * *-1.07 1913 * 13.65 * *-0.340 * *-1.10 1909 * 13.65 * *-0.340 * *-1.10 1922 * 13.64 * *-0.350 * *-1.14 1883 * 13.64 * *-0.350 * *-1.14 1899 * 13.63 * *-0.360 * *-1.17 1951 * 13.61 * *-0.380 * *-1.23 1886 * 13.61 * *-0.380 * *-1.23 1929 * 13.59 * *-0.400 * *-1.30 1890 * 13.59 * *-0.400 * *-1.30 1918 * 13.58 * *-0.410 * *-1.33 1907 * 13.55 * *-0.440 * *-1.43 1904 * 13.55 * *-0.440 * *-1.43 1911 * 13.54 * *-0.450 * *-1.46 1888 * 13.54 * *-0.450 * *-1.46 1905 * 13.50 * *-0.490 * *-1.59 1887 * 13.49 * *-0.500 * *-1.62 1891 * 13.48 * *-0.510 * *-1.65 1917 * 13.47 * *-0.520 * *-1.69 1895 * 13.47 * *-0.520 * *-1.69 1893 * 13.46 * *-0.530 * *-1.72 The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1538 months of data on this data set: * -- 658 of them are at or above the norm. * -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Hansen's temperatures are a total lie- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Hansen's temperatures are a total lie Roger has revealed in his post above, the formula that Hansen uses to calculate the temperature for any given year. TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Given that the temperature comes from a formula, the confidence of nonzero correlation should be exactly 100%. Roger's confidence is less than this because he keeps making mistakes. Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! Note that Roger's confidence is dropping because his last posting showed 24 nines. |
#5
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On Mar 11, 5:31 am, matt_sykes wrote:
On Mar 10, 11:04 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean February temperature over the last 129 years is 13.990 C. The Variance is 0.09485. The Standard Deviation is 0.3080. Rxy 0.7497 Rxy^2 0.5621 TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 163.010435 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of February in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.387, yet it was 14.26. -- second month below trend. The sum of the residuals is 21.78824 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.59174 * e^(.0004435 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.73184 Rank of the months of February Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.79 0.800 2.60 1995 14.71 0.720 2.34 2002 14.70 0.710 2.31 2004 14.67 0.680 2.21 2007 14.63 0.640 2.08 1999 14.60 0.610 1.98 2006 14.58 0.590 1.92 2005 14.56 0.570 1.85 2003 14.51 0.520 1.69 2000 14.51 0.520 1.69 1996 14.47 0.480 1.56 1991 14.45 0.460 1.49 2001 14.41 0.420 1.36 1986 14.38 0.390 1.27 1987 14.37 0.380 1.23 1983 14.37 0.380 1.23 1981 14.37 0.380 1.23 1992 14.35 0.360 1.17 1988 14.35 0.360 1.17 1997 14.30 0.310 1.01 1990 14.29 0.300 0.98 1989 14.29 0.300 0.98 1993 14.28 0.290 0.94 1980 14.28 0.290 0.94 1973 14.28 0.290 0.94 2008 14.26 0.270 0.88 -- MEAN 13.990 0.000 0.00 1936 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1924 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1923 13.71 -0.280 -0.91 1910 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1906 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1885 13.68 -0.310 -1.01 1894 13.66 -0.330 -1.07 1913 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1909 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1922 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1883 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1899 13.63 -0.360 -1.17 1951 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1886 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1929 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1890 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1918 13.58 -0.410 -1.33 1907 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1904 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1911 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1888 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1905 13.50 -0.490 -1.59 1887 13.49 -0.500 -1.62 1891 13.48 -0.510 -1.65 1917 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1895 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1893 13.46 -0.530 -1.72 The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1538 months of data on this data set: -- 658 of them are at or above the norm. -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. And if you take out the adjustments in the NASA data that Hansen applies, such as 3 degrees warmer in the early 20 century, you have no warming trend at all. Matt, you are lying. Look at the damn graph! |
#6
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![]() "Roger Coppock" wrote in message ... February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Until one can name all the factors involved in climate change, (natural as well as human produced), the degree of each factor and it's interaction with others as to climate, there is no verifiable conclusion of anthropic means being a major causation of climate change. |
#7
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On Mar 10, 5:04*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. *In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean February temperature over the last 129 years is 13.990 C. The Variance is 0.09485. The Standard Deviation is 0.3080. Rxy 0.7497 * Rxy^2 0.5621 TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 163.010435 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of February in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.387, * * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.26. -- second month below trend. The sum of the residuals is 21.78824 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.59174 * e^(.0004435 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.73184 *Rank of the months of February Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 1998 * 14.79 * * 0.800 * * 2.60 1995 * 14.71 * * 0.720 * * 2.34 2002 * 14.70 * * 0.710 * * 2.31 2004 * 14.67 * * 0.680 * * 2.21 2007 * 14.63 * * 0.640 * * 2.08 1999 * 14.60 * * 0.610 * * 1.98 2006 * 14.58 * * 0.590 * * 1.92 2005 * 14.56 * * 0.570 * * 1.85 2003 * 14.51 * * 0.520 * * 1.69 2000 * 14.51 * * 0.520 * * 1.69 1996 * 14.47 * * 0.480 * * 1.56 1991 * 14.45 * * 0.460 * * 1.49 2001 * 14.41 * * 0.420 * * 1.36 1986 * 14.38 * * 0.390 * * 1.27 1987 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1983 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1981 * 14.37 * * 0.380 * * 1.23 1992 * 14.35 * * 0.360 * * 1.17 1988 * 14.35 * * 0.360 * * 1.17 1997 * 14.30 * * 0.310 * * 1.01 1990 * 14.29 * * 0.300 * * 0.98 1989 * 14.29 * * 0.300 * * 0.98 1993 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 1980 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 1973 * 14.28 * * 0.290 * * 0.94 2008 * 14.26 * * 0.270 * * 0.88 -- MEAN * 13.990 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1936 * 13.74 * *-0.250 * *-0.81 1924 * 13.74 * *-0.250 * *-0.81 1923 * 13.71 * *-0.280 * *-0.91 1910 * 13.70 * *-0.290 * *-0.94 1906 * 13.70 * *-0.290 * *-0.94 1885 * 13.68 * *-0.310 * *-1.01 1894 * 13.66 * *-0.330 * *-1.07 1913 * 13.65 * *-0.340 * *-1.10 1909 * 13.65 * *-0.340 * *-1.10 1922 * 13.64 * *-0.350 * *-1.14 1883 * 13.64 * *-0.350 * *-1.14 1899 * 13.63 * *-0.360 * *-1.17 1951 * 13.61 * *-0.380 * *-1.23 1886 * 13.61 * *-0.380 * *-1.23 1929 * 13.59 * *-0.400 * *-1.30 1890 * 13.59 * *-0.400 * *-1.30 1918 * 13.58 * *-0.410 * *-1.33 1907 * 13.55 * *-0.440 * *-1.43 1904 * 13.55 * *-0.440 * *-1.43 1911 * 13.54 * *-0.450 * *-1.46 1888 * 13.54 * *-0.450 * *-1.46 1905 * 13.50 * *-0.490 * *-1.59 1887 * 13.49 * *-0.500 * *-1.62 1891 * 13.48 * *-0.510 * *-1.65 1917 * 13.47 * *-0.520 * *-1.69 1895 * 13.47 * *-0.520 * *-1.69 1893 * 13.46 * *-0.530 * *-1.72 The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1538 months of data on this data set: * -- 658 of them are at or above the norm. * -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Weather does not a climate make nor one months weather. It takes at least three decades. You'd think you'd know that by now. If that was a valid point then the fact that the last 7 or 8 years show no upward trend must be pretty strong evidence against agw. |
#8
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![]() "matt_sykes" wrote in message ... On Mar 10, 11:04 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean February temperature over the last 129 years is 13.990 C. The Variance is 0.09485. The Standard Deviation is 0.3080. Rxy 0.7497 Rxy^2 0.5621 TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 163.010435 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of February in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.387, yet it was 14.26. -- second month below trend. The sum of the residuals is 21.78824 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.59174 * e^(.0004435 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.73184 Rank of the months of February Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.79 0.800 2.60 1995 14.71 0.720 2.34 2002 14.70 0.710 2.31 2004 14.67 0.680 2.21 2007 14.63 0.640 2.08 1999 14.60 0.610 1.98 2006 14.58 0.590 1.92 2005 14.56 0.570 1.85 2003 14.51 0.520 1.69 2000 14.51 0.520 1.69 1996 14.47 0.480 1.56 1991 14.45 0.460 1.49 2001 14.41 0.420 1.36 1986 14.38 0.390 1.27 1987 14.37 0.380 1.23 1983 14.37 0.380 1.23 1981 14.37 0.380 1.23 1992 14.35 0.360 1.17 1988 14.35 0.360 1.17 1997 14.30 0.310 1.01 1990 14.29 0.300 0.98 1989 14.29 0.300 0.98 1993 14.28 0.290 0.94 1980 14.28 0.290 0.94 1973 14.28 0.290 0.94 2008 14.26 0.270 0.88 -- MEAN 13.990 0.000 0.00 1936 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1924 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1923 13.71 -0.280 -0.91 1910 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1906 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1885 13.68 -0.310 -1.01 1894 13.66 -0.330 -1.07 1913 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1909 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1922 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1883 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1899 13.63 -0.360 -1.17 1951 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1886 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1929 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1890 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1918 13.58 -0.410 -1.33 1907 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1904 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1911 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1888 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1905 13.50 -0.490 -1.59 1887 13.49 -0.500 -1.62 1891 13.48 -0.510 -1.65 1917 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1895 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1893 13.46 -0.530 -1.72 The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1538 months of data on this data set: -- 658 of them are at or above the norm. -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. And if you take out the adjustments in the NASA data that Hansen applies, such as 3 degrees warmer in the early 20 century, you have no warming trend at all. Poor Matt Sykes - he lies, and lies, and lies, and lies, and lies, and lies, and lies. lol |
#9
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![]() "Mr Right" wrote in message ... On Mar 11, 10:55 pm, chemist wrote: On Mar 10, 10:04 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean February temperature over the last 129 years is 13.990 C. The Variance is 0.09485. The Standard Deviation is 0.3080. Rxy 0.7497 Rxy^2 0.5621 TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 163.010435 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999999999999 (23 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of February in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.387, yet it was 14.26. -- second month below trend. The sum of the residuals is 21.78824 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.59174 * e^(.0004435 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.73184 Rank of the months of February Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.79 0.800 2.60 1995 14.71 0.720 2.34 2002 14.70 0.710 2.31 2004 14.67 0.680 2.21 2007 14.63 0.640 2.08 1999 14.60 0.610 1.98 2006 14.58 0.590 1.92 2005 14.56 0.570 1.85 2003 14.51 0.520 1.69 2000 14.51 0.520 1.69 1996 14.47 0.480 1.56 1991 14.45 0.460 1.49 2001 14.41 0.420 1.36 1986 14.38 0.390 1.27 1987 14.37 0.380 1.23 1983 14.37 0.380 1.23 1981 14.37 0.380 1.23 1992 14.35 0.360 1.17 1988 14.35 0.360 1.17 1997 14.30 0.310 1.01 1990 14.29 0.300 0.98 1989 14.29 0.300 0.98 1993 14.28 0.290 0.94 1980 14.28 0.290 0.94 1973 14.28 0.290 0.94 2008 14.26 0.270 0.88 -- MEAN 13.990 0.000 0.00 1936 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1924 13.74 -0.250 -0.81 1923 13.71 -0.280 -0.91 1910 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1906 13.70 -0.290 -0.94 1885 13.68 -0.310 -1.01 1894 13.66 -0.330 -1.07 1913 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1909 13.65 -0.340 -1.10 1922 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1883 13.64 -0.350 -1.14 1899 13.63 -0.360 -1.17 1951 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1886 13.61 -0.380 -1.23 1929 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1890 13.59 -0.400 -1.30 1918 13.58 -0.410 -1.33 1907 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1904 13.55 -0.440 -1.43 1911 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1888 13.54 -0.450 -1.46 1905 13.50 -0.490 -1.59 1887 13.49 -0.500 -1.62 1891 13.48 -0.510 -1.65 1917 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1895 13.47 -0.520 -1.69 1893 13.46 -0.530 -1.72 The most recent 168 continuous months, or 14 years and 0 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1538 months of data on this data set: -- 658 of them are at or above the norm. -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 168 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Hansen's temperatures are a total lie- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Hansen's temperatures are a total lie Roger has revealed in his post above, the formula that Hansen uses to calculate the temperature for any given year. TEMP = 13.586652 + (0.006201 * (YEAR-1879)) Proof? |
#10
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![]() "James" wrote in message ... "Roger Coppock" wrote in message ... February was 26th warmest on the 129-year record. Although February is the second month below the trend, it remains 0.88 standard deviations above the mean. In the long term therefore, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Until one can name all the factors involved in climate change, (natural as well as human produced), the degree of each factor and it's interaction with others as to climate, there is no verifiable conclusion of anthropic means being a major causation of climate change. Poor James just can't stop lying. lol |
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