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On Mar 10, 10:57*pm, "NB00Z" wrote:
"Roger Coppock" wrote in message [ . . . ] Fighting global warming if done correctly, if done NOW, at the bottom of the exponential curve, ******* ROTFLMAO Exponential curve my ass! Below is the global land and sea analysis. note that the sum of the residuals for the exponential curve, 12.76787, is smaller than that for the linear, 12.82338. The two degree of freedom exponential fits the data better than the two degree of freedom line. Moreover, the trend over the last half-century is toward more exponential behavior. If one were interested in facts, not fossil fool fantasy, one could look at the steady increase on this thirty year rolling slope graph: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= 2007 TIES FOR SECOND WARMEST ON NASA's 128-Year Global Record! I wonder, "During this year, how many times will the fossil fools tell their lie about global warming ending?" Meanwhile, the global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 128 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The Mean Yearly temperature over the last 128 years is 13.974 C. The Variance is 0.05890. The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2427. These data are graphed at: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg Rxy 0.859133 Rxy^2 0.73811 TEMP = 13.610396 + (0.005643 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 126 F = 355.11803 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999 (37 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The year 2007 is linearly projected to be 14.333, yet it was 14.57. - 1 SIGMA above the projection! The sum of the residuals is 12.82338 Exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.61461 * e^(.0004020 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 12.76787 Rank of the Years Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2005 14.62 0.646 2.66 2007 14.57 0.596 2.45 -- 1998 14.57 0.596 2.45 2002 14.56 0.586 2.41 2003 14.55 0.576 2.37 2006 14.54 0.566 2.33 2004 14.49 0.516 2.12 2001 14.48 0.506 2.08 1997 14.40 0.426 1.75 1995 14.38 0.406 1.67 1990 14.38 0.406 1.67 1991 14.35 0.376 1.55 2000 14.33 0.356 1.47 MEAN 13.974 0.000 0.00 1913 13.68 -0.294 -1.21 1893 13.68 -0.294 -1.21 1892 13.68 -0.294 -1.21 1910 13.67 -0.304 -1.25 1894 13.67 -0.304 -1.25 1912 13.66 -0.314 -1.30 1911 13.66 -0.314 -1.30 1908 13.66 -0.314 -1.30 1904 13.66 -0.314 -1.30 1909 13.65 -0.324 -1.34 1887 13.65 -0.324 -1.34 1890 13.63 -0.344 -1.42 1907 13.61 -0.364 -1.50 1917 13.60 -0.374 -1.54 The most recent 166 continuous months, or 13 years and 10 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1536 months of data on this data set: -- 653 of them are at or above the norm. -- 883 of them are below the norm. This run of 166 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. |
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