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March ties for 3rd warmest on NASA's 129-year record.
In spite of the Carbon fuel industry's huge 'investment' in 'public relations,' global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 128 yearly means of these data are graphed at: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg The Mean March temperature over the last 129 years is 13.998 C. The Variance is 0.08307. The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2882. Rxy 0.79294 Rxy^2 0.62875 TEMP = 13.599444 + (0.006137 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 215.08622 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999999999999999 (28 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of March in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.391, yet it was 14.67. - 1 SIGMA above projected The sum of the residuals is 17.53310 Exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.60454 * e^(.0004358 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 17.43215 Rank of the months of March Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2002 14.84 0.842 2.92 2005 14.70 0.702 2.43 2008 14.67 0.672 2.33 -- 1990 14.67 0.672 2.33 2007 14.60 0.602 2.09 2004 14.59 0.592 2.05 1998 14.56 0.562 1.95 2006 14.55 0.552 1.91 2001 14.54 0.542 1.88 2003 14.51 0.512 1.78 1988 14.47 0.472 1.64 2000 14.46 0.462 1.60 1997 14.46 0.462 1.60 MEAN 13.998 0.000 0.00 1960 13.68 -0.318 -1.10 1916 13.68 -0.318 -1.10 1886 13.67 -0.328 -1.14 1910 13.66 -0.338 -1.17 1892 13.66 -0.338 -1.17 1913 13.65 -0.348 -1.21 1912 13.65 -0.348 -1.21 1887 13.62 -0.378 -1.31 1909 13.55 -0.448 -1.56 1888 13.54 -0.458 -1.59 1917 13.53 -0.468 -1.63 1911 13.52 -0.478 -1.66 1908 13.52 -0.478 -1.66 1898 13.52 -0.478 -1.66 The most recent 169 continuous months, or 14 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1539 months of data on this data set: -- 659 of them are at or above the norm. -- 880 of them are below the norm. This run of 169 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. |
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