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#1
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March tied for third warmest on the 129-year NASA land record.
Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The truth is published here every month in this section of these reports: The month of July in the year 2007, is linearly projected to be 14.397, yet it was 14.57. - Above projected. Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected. If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures would have to fall below the line of regression temperature, and do so for a year or more. So far this has not happened, not for even two months in a row. Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating. This is simple geometry. Each above the line measured global temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that new point joins the data. This pattern is now 5 decades old. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean March temperature over the last 129 years is 14.018 C. The Variance is 0.12028. The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.3468. Rxy 0.740455 Rxy^2 0.548274 TEMP = 13.569965 + (0.006896 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 154.143844 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999999999 (22 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of March in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.460, yet it was 14.81. -- one SIGMA above the trendline! The sum of the residuals is 23.66254 Exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.575524 * e^(.0004890 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 23.586956 Rank of the months of March Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2002 14.99 0.972 2.80 2005 14.86 0.842 2.43 2008 14.81 0.792 2.28 -- 1990 14.81 0.792 2.28 2004 14.78 0.762 2.20 2007 14.74 0.722 2.08 1998 14.70 0.682 1.97 2006 14.65 0.632 1.82 1981 14.61 0.592 1.71 2003 14.60 0.582 1.68 2001 14.60 0.582 1.68 1988 14.53 0.512 1.48 1997 14.50 0.482 1.39 MEAN 14.018 0.000 0.00 1960 13.56 -0.458 -1.32 1912 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1908 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1896 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1895 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1892 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1918 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1911 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1893 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1891 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1885 13.44 -0.578 -1.67 1898 13.41 -0.608 -1.75 1888 13.36 -0.658 -1.90 1917 13.33 -0.688 -1.98 The most recent 184 continuous months, or 15 years and 4 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1539 months of data on this data set: -- 752 of them are at or above the norm. -- 787 of them are below the norm. This run of 184 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. |
#2
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On Apr 15, 2:20 am, Roger Coppock wrote:
March tied for third warmest on the 129-year NASA land record. Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The truth is published here every month in this section of these reports: The month of July in the year 2007, is linearly projected to be 14.397, yet it was 14.57. - Above projected. Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected. If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures would have to fall below the line of regression temperature, and do so for a year or more. So far this has not happened, not for even two months in a row. Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating. This is simple geometry. Each above the line measured global temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that new point joins the data. This pattern is now 5 decades old. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean March temperature over the last 129 years is 14.018 C. The Variance is 0.12028. The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.3468. Rxy 0.740455 Rxy^2 0.548274 TEMP = 13.569965 + (0.006896 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 154.143844 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999999999 (22 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of March in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.460, yet it was 14.81. -- one SIGMA above the trendline! The sum of the residuals is 23.66254 Exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.575524 * e^(.0004890 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 23.586956 Rank of the months of March Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2002 14.99 0.972 2.80 2005 14.86 0.842 2.43 2008 14.81 0.792 2.28 -- 1990 14.81 0.792 2.28 2004 14.78 0.762 2.20 2007 14.74 0.722 2.08 1998 14.70 0.682 1.97 2006 14.65 0.632 1.82 1981 14.61 0.592 1.71 2003 14.60 0.582 1.68 2001 14.60 0.582 1.68 1988 14.53 0.512 1.48 1997 14.50 0.482 1.39 MEAN 14.018 0.000 0.00 1960 13.56 -0.458 -1.32 1912 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1908 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1896 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1895 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1892 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1918 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1911 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1893 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1891 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1885 13.44 -0.578 -1.67 1898 13.41 -0.608 -1.75 1888 13.36 -0.658 -1.90 1917 13.33 -0.688 -1.98 The most recent 184 continuous months, or 15 years and 4 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1539 months of data on this data set: -- 752 of them are at or above the norm. -- 787 of them are below the norm. This run of 184 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. GISS temperatures are not Gospel Roger. They are "cooked" Compare their March temperature with other Global temperature determinations and you will see that it is Fiction. |
#3
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chemist wrote:
On Apr 15, 2:20 am, Roger Coppock wrote: March tied for third warmest on the 129-year NASA land record. Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The truth is published here every month in this section of these reports: The month of July in the year 2007, is linearly projected to be 14.397, yet it was 14.57. - Above projected. Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected. If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures would have to fall below the line of regression temperature, and do so for a year or more. So far this has not happened, not for even two months in a row. Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating. This is simple geometry. Each above the line measured global temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that new point joins the data. This pattern is now 5 decades old. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean March temperature over the last 129 years is 14.018 C. The Variance is 0.12028. The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.3468. Rxy 0.740455 Rxy^2 0.548274 TEMP = 13.569965 + (0.006896 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 154.143844 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999999999 (22 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of March in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.460, yet it was 14.81. -- one SIGMA above the trendline! The sum of the residuals is 23.66254 Exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.575524 * e^(.0004890 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 23.586956 Rank of the months of March Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2002 14.99 0.972 2.80 2005 14.86 0.842 2.43 2008 14.81 0.792 2.28 -- 1990 14.81 0.792 2.28 2004 14.78 0.762 2.20 2007 14.74 0.722 2.08 1998 14.70 0.682 1.97 2006 14.65 0.632 1.82 1981 14.61 0.592 1.71 2003 14.60 0.582 1.68 2001 14.60 0.582 1.68 1988 14.53 0.512 1.48 1997 14.50 0.482 1.39 MEAN 14.018 0.000 0.00 1960 13.56 -0.458 -1.32 1912 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1908 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1896 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1895 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1892 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1918 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1911 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1893 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1891 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1885 13.44 -0.578 -1.67 1898 13.41 -0.608 -1.75 1888 13.36 -0.658 -1.90 1917 13.33 -0.688 -1.98 The most recent 184 continuous months, or 15 years and 4 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1539 months of data on this data set: -- 752 of them are at or above the norm. -- 787 of them are below the norm. This run of 184 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. GISS temperatures are not Gospel Roger. They are "cooked" Compare their March temperature with other Global temperature determinations and you will see that it is Fiction. The usual factless, citeless drool from Bull**** Bolger. lol |
#4
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On Apr 15, 5:14 am, chemist wrote:
On Apr 15, 2:20 am, Roger Coppock wrote: March tied for third warmest on the 129-year NASA land record. Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The truth is published here every month in this section of these reports: The month of July in the year 2007, is linearly projected to be 14.397, yet it was 14.57. - Above projected. Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected. If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures would have to fall below the line of regression temperature, and do so for a year or more. So far this has not happened, not for even two months in a row. Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating. This is simple geometry. Each above the line measured global temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that new point joins the data. This pattern is now 5 decades old. Please see: http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean March temperature over the last 129 years is 14.018 C. The Variance is 0.12028. The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.3468. Rxy 0.740455 Rxy^2 0.548274 TEMP = 13.569965 + (0.006896 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 154.143844 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.9999999999999999999999 (22 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of March in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.460, yet it was 14.81. -- one SIGMA above the trendline! The sum of the residuals is 23.66254 Exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.575524 * e^(.0004890 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 23.586956 Rank of the months of March Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2002 14.99 0.972 2.80 2005 14.86 0.842 2.43 2008 14.81 0.792 2.28 -- 1990 14.81 0.792 2.28 2004 14.78 0.762 2.20 2007 14.74 0.722 2.08 1998 14.70 0.682 1.97 2006 14.65 0.632 1.82 1981 14.61 0.592 1.71 2003 14.60 0.582 1.68 2001 14.60 0.582 1.68 1988 14.53 0.512 1.48 1997 14.50 0.482 1.39 MEAN 14.018 0.000 0.00 1960 13.56 -0.458 -1.32 1912 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1908 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1896 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1895 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1892 13.55 -0.468 -1.35 1918 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1911 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1893 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1891 13.54 -0.478 -1.38 1885 13.44 -0.578 -1.67 1898 13.41 -0.608 -1.75 1888 13.36 -0.658 -1.90 1917 13.33 -0.688 -1.98 The most recent 184 continuous months, or 15 years and 4 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1539 months of data on this data set: -- 752 of them are at or above the norm. -- 787 of them are below the norm. This run of 184 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. GISS temperatures are not Gospel Roger. They are "cooked" Idiotic response, by one of the group's Chief Idiots. Compare their March temperature with other Global temperature determinations and you will see that it is Fiction. |
#5
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On Apr 15, 2:14*am, chemist wrote:
[ . . . ] GISS temperatures are not Gospel Roger. They are "cooked" Compare their March temperature with other Global temperature determinations and you will see that it is Fiction. ROTFLMSAO! Do a correlation of GISS, Hadley, UAH, and RSS. For all practical purposes, they are the same. However, you're probably probably schizophrenic enough to concoct a vast conspiracy to forge all climate data. |
#6
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![]() It looks to me like Hadley doesn't really support that: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/te...ure/nhshgl.gif The temp has declined the last few years. |
#7
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![]() "chemist" wrote GISS temperatures are not Gospel Roger. They are "cooked" Compare their March temperature with other Global temperature determinations and you will see that it is Fiction. 2007 Tied for Earth's Second Warmest Year Andrea Thompson LiveScience Staff Writer January 16, 2008 The year 2007 has tied 1998 for the Earth's second warmest this century, NASA scientists announced today. Climatologists at the agency's Goddard Institute for Space Sciences (GISS) in New York used temperature data from weather stations on land, satellite measurements of sea ice temperature since 1982 and data from ships for earlier years to construct a record of global average temperatures going back for over a century. The GISS analysis has 1934, 1998 and 2005 tied as the warmest years in the United States (with 2005 being the warmest globally). The eight warmest years globally in the past century have all occurred since 1998, and the 14 warmest years have all occurred since 1990. The greatest observed warming in 2007 occurred in the Arctic, which experienced a record sea ice melt this summer, opening up the fabled Northwest Passage for the first time. "As we predicted last year, 2007 was warmer than 2006, continuing the strong warming trend of the past 30 years that has been confidently attributed to the effect of increasing human-made greenhouse gases," said NASA GISS Director James E. Hansen. A minor flaw in the GISS record discovered last year did not affect this analysis, the scientists noted. Hansen says that warming can be expected to continue, with another record warm year coming soon, though it is unlikely to be 2008. "Barring a large volcanic eruption, a record global temperature clearly exceeding that of 2005 can be expected within the next few years, at the time of the next El Nino , because of the background warming trend attributable to continuing increases of greenhouse gases," Hansen said. El Nino tends to have a warming effect on temperatures in many areas, while the volcanic ash that an eruption spews into the air has a cooling effect. While most scientists agree the planet is warming, the trend does not proceed constantly upward year-by-year. Other factors cause hikes and dips in the generally trajectory of the global temperature chart, which has been mostly trending upward since the beginning of the 20th century. |
#8
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![]() "Dexter" wrote http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/te...ure/nhshgl.gif The temp has declined the last few years. How do you determine monthly data from the yearly data provided in the plot you supplied above? |
#9
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On Apr 15, 8:48 pm, "Dexter" wrote:
It looks to me like Hadley doesn't really support that: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/te...ure/nhshgl.gif The temp has declined the last few years. Any blues after, say, 1980? Anybody who looks at that graph and says the earth is cooling is either a serial liar or dumber than a fench post. |
#10
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![]() "V-for-Vendicar" wrote in message ... "Dexter" wrote http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/te...ure/nhshgl.gif The temp has declined the last few years. How do you determine monthly data from the yearly data provided in the plot you supplied above? Your right. I'd forgotten this was about the month of March. |
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