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#1
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Pseudo-scientists like the word "correlation,"
but they don't do the math. Never, ever, trust a fossil fool when they use the word "correlation." Do the math for yourself. For example, look at this post from "BONZO," the troll, below. On Apr 29, 11:38*pm, "0BZN0" wrote in a post titled, "Sunspot Facts From A Geologist": Dr. Don J. Easterbrook, Professor Emeritus Geology, Western Washington University, author of 8 books, 150 journal publications with focus on geomorphology; glacial geology; Pleistocene geochronology; environmental and engineering geology. CBS-TV, 60 Minutes, Burlington, Washington March 30, 2008 http://icecap.us/images/uploads/DonE...Transcript.pdf KLC: What about the claim by Hansen and others that TSI [Total Solar Irradiance] has been unchanged for 80 years, thus it cannot explain recent global warming? DJE: Not true. If you look at the data coming out, you see a strong correlation between global temperature and irradiance. If you plot [ . . . ] OK, NOW LET'S ACTUALLY DO THE MATH! GISS Temperature Vs Solar Irradiance lm(formula = Temp ~ Solrad, data = aframe) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.470475901 -0.161016633 -0.000348838 0.134107414 0.306698240 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) 85.7822901 126.9714693 0.67560 0.50447 Solrad -0.0523404 0.0929558 -0.56307 0.57757 Residual standard error: 0.196881 on 30 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0104577, Adjusted R-squared: -0.0225271 F-statistic: 0.317045 on 1 and 30 DF, p-value: 0.577573 THERE IS HARDLY ANY CORRELATION HERE AT ALL! Year Temp Solrad 1976 13.84 1365.5187 1977 14.13 1365.64911 1978 14.02 1366.02502 1979 14.09 1366.41783 1980 14.18 1366.50338 1981 14.27 1366.49349 1982 14.05 1366.14151 1983 14.26 1366.15496 1984 14.09 1365.7221 1985 14.06 1365.56542 1986 14.13 1365.57517 1987 14.27 1365.65815 1988 14.31 1365.9702 1989 14.19 1366.47347 1990 14.38 1366.41775 1991 14.35 1366.34228 1992 14.12 1366.1605 1993 14.14 1365.85021 1994 14.24 1365.68438 1995 14.38 1365.59545 1996 14.30 1365.50405 1997 14.40 1365.65482 1998 14.57 1365.97464 1999 14.33 1366.18393 2000 14.33 1366.39363 2001 14.48 1366.31108 2002 14.56 1366.33738 2003 14.55 1365.87438 2004 14.49 1365.65556 2005 14.62 1365.46471 2006 14.54 1365.3699 2007 14.57 1365.23807 The global mean surface "Temp"erature data are the GISS adjusted J-D yearly land and sea average, available from NASA at: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt The dual cavity radiometer Solar irradiance data come from PMODWRC. They cover the period from 1/12/1976 to 03/05/2008. http://www.pmodwrc.ch/pmod.php?topic.../SolarConstant ftp://ftp.pmodwrc.ch/pub/data/irradi...41_61_0803.dat A preprocessing program removed data marked by PMODWRC as invalid and computed yearly means. |
#2
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On Apr 30, 10:59*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
Pseudo-scientists like the word "correlation," but they don't do the math. *Never, ever, trust a fossil fool when they use the word "correlation." Do the math for yourself. *For example, look at this post from "BONZO," the troll, below. On Apr 29, 11:38*pm, "0BZN0" wrote in a post titled, "Sunspot Facts From A Geologist": Dr. Don J. Easterbrook, Professor Emeritus Geology, Western Washington University, author of 8 books, 150 journal publications with focus on geomorphology; glacial geology; Pleistocene geochronology; environmental and engineering geology. CBS-TV, 60 Minutes, Burlington, Washington March 30, 2008 http://icecap.us/images/uploads/DonE...Transcript.pdf KLC: What about the claim by Hansen and others that TSI [Total Solar Irradiance] has been unchanged for 80 years, thus it cannot explain recent global warming? DJE: Not true. If you look at the data coming out, you see a strong correlation between global temperature and irradiance. If you plot [ . . . ] OK, NOW LET'S ACTUALLY DO THE MATH! GISS Temperature Vs Solar Irradiance lm(formula = Temp ~ Solrad, data = aframe) Residuals: * * * * *Min * * * * * 1Q * * * Median * * * * * 3Q * * * * *Max -0.470475901 -0.161016633 -0.000348838 *0.134107414 *0.306698240 Coefficients: * * * * * * * *Estimate *Std. Error *t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) *85.7822901 126.9714693 *0.67560 *0.50447 Solrad * * * -0.0523404 * 0.0929558 -0.56307 *0.57757 Residual standard error: 0.196881 on 30 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.0104577, *Adjusted R-squared: -0.0225271 F-statistic: 0.317045 on 1 and 30 DF, *p-value: 0.577573 THERE IS HARDLY ANY CORRELATION HERE AT ALL! Year Temp *Solrad 1976 13.84 1365.5187 1977 14.13 1365.64911 1978 14.02 1366.02502 1979 14.09 1366.41783 1980 14.18 1366.50338 1981 14.27 1366.49349 1982 14.05 1366.14151 1983 14.26 1366.15496 1984 14.09 1365.7221 1985 14.06 1365.56542 1986 14.13 1365.57517 1987 14.27 1365.65815 1988 14.31 1365.9702 1989 14.19 1366.47347 1990 14.38 1366.41775 1991 14.35 1366.34228 1992 14.12 1366.1605 1993 14.14 1365.85021 1994 14.24 1365.68438 1995 14.38 1365.59545 1996 14.30 1365.50405 1997 14.40 1365.65482 1998 14.57 1365.97464 1999 14.33 1366.18393 2000 14.33 1366.39363 2001 14.48 1366.31108 2002 14.56 1366.33738 2003 14.55 1365.87438 2004 14.49 1365.65556 2005 14.62 1365.46471 2006 14.54 1365.3699 2007 14.57 1365.23807 The global mean surface "Temp"erature data are the GISS adjusted J-D yearly land and sea average, available from NASA at: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt The dual cavity radiometer Solar irradiance data come from PMODWRC. *They cover the period from 1/12/1976 to 03/05/2008. http://www.pmodwrc.ch/pmod.php?topic.../SolarConstant ftp://ftp.pmodwrc.ch/pub/data/irradi...Plots/ext_comp... A preprocessing program removed data marked by PMODWRC as invalid and computed yearly means.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Pseudo-scientists like the word "correlation", Roger Coppock likes the word "correlation", Is Roger Coppock a Pseudo-scientist? |
#3
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#4
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Roger Coppock wrote:
Pseudo-scientists like the word "correlation," but they don't do the math. Wouldn't that be Psudo-math |
#5
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On 30/04/08 18:06, in article ,
"Poetic Justice" wrote: Wouldn't that be Psudo-math Pseudo! I don't know if the concept exists. I have never heard of pseudo-math. How about pseudo-arithmetic. Have you ever tried to do long division using Roman numerals? |
#6
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Earl Evleth wrote:
On 30/04/08 18:06, in article , "Poetic Justice" wrote: Wouldn't that be Pseudo-math Pseudo! I don't know if the concept exists. I have never heard of pseudo-math. How about pseudo-arithmetic. Have you ever tried to do long division using Roman numerals? Fixed it(Pseudo), how about base 5 long division? |
#7
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![]() "Mr Right" wrote Pseudo-scientists like the word "correlation", Roger Coppock likes the word "correlation", Is Roger Coppock a Pseudo-scientist? KKKonservative logic at it's best. MMMMMMMMMMOOOOOOOOOORRRRRRRRRROOOOOOOOOONNNNNNNNN |
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