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Old May 14th 08, 08:08 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 1,360
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

Even though April of this year is 11th warmest, it still is
above the 129-year trend line. In the long term therefore,
global mean surface temperatures continue an accelerated rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.343,
yet it was 14.41. - above trend line

Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. So far this has not happened,
not for even two months in a row.

Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected
temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating.
This is simple geometry. Each above the line measured global
temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that
new point joins the data. This pattern is now 5 decades old.
Please see:

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg

Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean
surface temperatures continue to rise.

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.

The Mean April temperature over the last 129 years is 13.970 C.
The Variance is 0.07121.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2669.

Rxy 0.81344 Rxy^2 0.66168
TEMP = 13.591411 + (0.005829 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 248.381941
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.343,
yet it was 14.41. -- above the trend line
The sum of the residuals is 16.318899

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.59559 * e^(.0004174 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 16.261573

Rank of the months of April
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2007 14.64 0.670 2.51
2005 14.64 0.670 2.51
2002 14.58 0.610 2.28
1998 14.56 0.590 2.21
2004 14.52 0.550 2.06
2000 14.52 0.550 2.06
2003 14.49 0.520 1.95
1990 14.48 0.510 1.91
2006 14.46 0.490 1.84
1991 14.44 0.470 1.76
2008 14.41 0.440 1.65 --
2001 14.39 0.420 1.57
1995 14.39 0.420 1.57
MEAN 13.970 0.000 0.00
1885 13.65 -0.320 -1.20
1903 13.62 -0.350 -1.31
1896 13.62 -0.350 -1.31
1884 13.62 -0.350 -1.31
1894 13.61 -0.360 -1.35
1887 13.61 -0.360 -1.35
1917 13.60 -0.370 -1.39
1907 13.59 -0.380 -1.43
1904 13.59 -0.380 -1.43
1908 13.58 -0.390 -1.46
1918 13.57 -0.400 -1.50
1892 13.56 -0.410 -1.54
1909 13.55 -0.420 -1.58
1911 13.52 -0.450 -1.69

The most recent 170 continuous months, or 14 years and 2 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1540 months of data on this data set:
-- 661 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 879 of them are below the norm.
This run of 170 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


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Old May 14th 08, 11:01 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 112
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

On May 14, 8:08 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

Even though April of this year is 11th warmest, it still is
above the 129-year trend line. In the long term therefore,
global mean surface temperatures continue an accelerated rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.343,
yet it was 14.41. - above trend line

Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. So far this has not happened,
not for even two months in a row.

Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected
temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating.
This is simple geometry. Each above the line measured global
temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that
new point joins the data. This pattern is now 5 decades old.
Please see:

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg

Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean
surface temperatures continue to rise.

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.

The Mean April temperature over the last 129 years is 13.970 C.
The Variance is 0.07121.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2669.

Rxy 0.81344 Rxy^2 0.66168
TEMP = 13.591411 + (0.005829 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 248.381941
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.343,
yet it was 14.41. -- above the trend line
The sum of the residuals is 16.318899

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.59559 * e^(.0004174 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 16.261573

Rank of the months of April
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2007 14.64 0.670 2.51
2005 14.64 0.670 2.51
2002 14.58 0.610 2.28
1998 14.56 0.590 2.21
2004 14.52 0.550 2.06
2000 14.52 0.550 2.06
2003 14.49 0.520 1.95
1990 14.48 0.510 1.91
2006 14.46 0.490 1.84
1991 14.44 0.470 1.76
2008 14.41 0.440 1.65 --
2001 14.39 0.420 1.57
1995 14.39 0.420 1.57
MEAN 13.970 0.000 0.00
1885 13.65 -0.320 -1.20
1903 13.62 -0.350 -1.31
1896 13.62 -0.350 -1.31
1884 13.62 -0.350 -1.31
1894 13.61 -0.360 -1.35
1887 13.61 -0.360 -1.35
1917 13.60 -0.370 -1.39
1907 13.59 -0.380 -1.43
1904 13.59 -0.380 -1.43
1908 13.58 -0.390 -1.46
1918 13.57 -0.400 -1.50
1892 13.56 -0.410 -1.54
1909 13.55 -0.420 -1.58
1911 13.52 -0.450 -1.69

The most recent 170 continuous months, or 14 years and 2 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1540 months of data on this data set:
-- 661 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 879 of them are below the norm.
This run of 170 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


But I bet 2008 will be cooler than 2007 whilst fossil fuel use is
going through the roof .
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Old May 14th 08, 11:37 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 487
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.


"chemist" wrote
But I bet 2008 will be cooler than 2007 whilst fossil fuel use is
going through the roof .


That appears likely given the ongoing LaNina and the fact that last year
tied with the second warmest year on record.

Here are the global average temperatures since 1958. "o" = trend line.

Look at all those "o"'s lined up there. The trend is up, Up, UP.

And most recently the rate of increase is about 2'C per century.

View with mono spaced font.

1958 14.08 *******************o***************
1959 14.06 ********************o************
1960 13.99 *********************o******
1961 14.08 **********************o************
1962 14.04 ***********************o********
1963 14.08 ************************o**********
1964 13.79 **************===========o
1965 13.89 *********************====o
1966 13.97 **************************o
1967 14.00 ***************************o*
1968 13.96 **************************==o
1969 14.08 *****************************o*****
1970 14.03 ******************************o
1971 13.90 **********************=========o
1972 14.00 *****************************===o
1973 14.14 ********************************o******
1974 13.92 ***********************==========o
1975 13.95 *************************=========o
1976 13.84 ******************=================o
1977 14.13 ************************************o*
1978 14.02 ******************************=======o
1979 14.09 ***********************************===o
1980 14.18 ***************************************o**
1981 14.27 ****************************************o*******
1982 14.05 ********************************========o
1983 14.26 *****************************************o*****
1984 14.09 ***********************************=======o
1985 14.06 *********************************==========o
1986 14.13 **************************************======o
1987 14.27 *********************************************o**
1988 14.31 **********************************************o*** *
1989 14.19 ******************************************=====o
1990 14.38 ************************************************o* ******
1991 14.35 ************************************************o* ***
1992 14.12 *************************************============o
1993 14.14 ***************************************=========== o
1994 14.24 **********************************************==== =o
1995 14.38 ************************************************** **o***
1996 14.30 ************************************************** ===o
1997 14.40 ************************************************** ****o**
1998 14.57
************************************************** *****o*************
1999 14.33 ************************************************** **===o
2000 14.33 ************************************************** **====o
2001 14.48 ************************************************** *******o*****
2002 14.56
************************************************** ********o*********
2003 14.55
************************************************** *********o*******
2004 14.49 ************************************************** **********o**
2005 14.62
************************************************** ***********o**********
2006 14.54
************************************************** ************o****
2007 14.57
************************************************** *************o*****

Correlation Coefficient .8529209

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5VMu14mBXAs


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Old May 14th 08, 11:48 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 2
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.



Roger Coppock wrote:

April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

Even though April of this year is 11th warmest, it still is
above the 129-year trend line. In the long term therefore,
global mean surface temperatures continue an accelerated rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.343,
yet it was 14.41.


The Mean April temperature over the last 129 years is 13.970 C.
The Variance is 0.07121.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2669.


So, according to your data the current temperature is not
significantly different from the mean....

Cheers
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Old May 14th 08, 11:56 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2008
Posts: 2
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

On May 15, 10:37*am, "V-for-Vendicar"
wrote:

*1990 *14.38 ************************************************o* ******
*1991 *14.35 ************************************************o* ***
*1992 *14.12 *************************************============o
*1993 *14.14 ***************************************=========== o
*1994 *14.24 **********************************************==== =o
*1995 *14.38 ************************************************** **o***
*1996 *14.30 ************************************************** ===o
*1997 *14.40 ************************************************** ****o**
*1998 *14.57
************************************************** *****o*************
*1999 *14.33 ************************************************** **===o
*2000 *14.33 ************************************************** **====o
*2001 *14.48 ************************************************** *******o*****
*2002 *14.56
************************************************** ********o*********
*2003 *14.55
************************************************** *********o*******
*2004 *14.49 ************************************************** **********o**
*2005 *14.62
************************************************** ***********o**********
*2006 *14.54
************************************************** ************o****
*2007 *14.57
************************************************** *************o*****


So, you graph of massaged data shows no significant change in
temperature since 1990?
Where's the accelerating hockystick?

Cheers



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Old May 15th 08, 01:51 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 487
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.


"More_Flaps" wrote
So, you graph of massaged data shows no significant change in
temperature since 1990?


Well restricting the data to 1990 up the warming is even more rapid. The
slope (rate of warming) is twice what it is over the entire 50 years.

Since 1990 the Global Average temp has changed by .37'C or .67'F.

At that rate, global average temperatures will 2.1'C higher than they are
today, in 100 years. More actually since the rate of warming is increasing.

View with mono spaced font.

0000 14.38 ****************o***********
0001 14.35 *****************o********
0002 14.12 *********==========o
0003 14.14 ***********=========o
0004 14.24 ******************====o
0005 14.38 ***********************o****
0006 14.30 **********************===o
0007 14.40 **************************o**
0008 14.57 ****************************o************
0009 14.33 ************************=====o
0010 14.33 ************************=======o
0011 14.48 ********************************o**
0012 14.56 **********************************o*****
0013 14.55 ***********************************o****
0014 14.49 ***********************************==o
0015 14.62 **************************************o*****
0016 14.54 ***************************************=o
0017 14.57 *****************************************o

Y = Mx+B
M = .02159948 B = 14.22474
Correlation Coefficient .7693629

Residuals
Positive total .7121944 Negative total .7122011


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Old May 15th 08, 05:47 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 204
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.


"Roger Coppock" wrote in message
...
April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

Even though April of this year is 11th warmest, it still is
above the 129-year trend line. In the long term therefore,
global mean surface temperatures continue an accelerated rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say.


And that pretty much confirms what we've been saying about your monthly
reports. i.e. It is not reliable. (that's a nice way of saying you are
making **** up)

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Old May 15th 08, 05:51 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 204
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.


"V-for-Vendicar" wrote in message
...

"chemist" wrote
But I bet 2008 will be cooler than 2007 whilst fossil fuel use is
going through the roof .


That appears likely given the ongoing LaNina and the fact that last
year tied with the second warmest year on record.

Here are the global average temperatures since 1958. "o" = trend line.

Look at all those "o"'s lined up there. The trend is up, Up, UP.

And most recently the rate of increase is about 2'C per century.

View with mono spaced font.

1958 14.08 *******************o***************
1959 14.06 ********************o************
1960 13.99 *********************o******
1961 14.08 **********************o************
1962 14.04 ***********************o********
1963 14.08 ************************o**********
1964 13.79 **************===========o
1965 13.89 *********************====o
1966 13.97 **************************o
1967 14.00 ***************************o*
1968 13.96 **************************==o
1969 14.08 *****************************o*****
1970 14.03 ******************************o
1971 13.90 **********************=========o
1972 14.00 *****************************===o
1973 14.14 ********************************o******
1974 13.92 ***********************==========o
1975 13.95 *************************=========o
1976 13.84 ******************=================o
1977 14.13 ************************************o*
1978 14.02 ******************************=======o
1979 14.09 ***********************************===o
1980 14.18 ***************************************o**
1981 14.27 ****************************************o*******
1982 14.05 ********************************========o
1983 14.26 *****************************************o*****
1984 14.09 ***********************************=======o
1985 14.06 *********************************==========o
1986 14.13 **************************************======o
1987 14.27 *********************************************o**
1988 14.31 **********************************************o*** *
1989 14.19 ******************************************=====o
1990 14.38 ************************************************o* ******
1991 14.35 ************************************************o* ***
1992 14.12 *************************************============o
1993 14.14 ***************************************=========== o
1994 14.24 **********************************************==== =o
1995 14.38 ************************************************** **o***
1996 14.30 ************************************************** ===o
1997 14.40 ************************************************** ****o**
1998 14.57
************************************************** *****o*************
1999 14.33 ************************************************** **===o
2000 14.33 ************************************************** **====o
2001 14.48
************************************************** *******o*****
2002 14.56
************************************************** ********o*********
2003 14.55
************************************************** *********o*******
2004 14.49
************************************************** **********o**
2005 14.62
************************************************** ***********o**********
2006 14.54
************************************************** ************o****
2007 14.57
************************************************** *************o*****

Correlation Coefficient .8529209


You have just confirmed you are full of ****.


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Old May 15th 08, 07:16 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 65
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

"V-for-Vendicar" wrote in message
...
about the impressions that His world makes on VD Scotty himself.

"James" wrote in message
...
VD- You have just confirmed you are full of ****.

hanson wrote:
Gauche & loud communist, US-expatriate & pauper Scott Nudds
aka "VD-for-Vendicar"
aka VD-Scotty, the GLOBAL COOLING DENIALIST, with his red
pants frozen in snow and ice...ahaha... who had bragged that he
**never** drove & much less ever owned an automobile, Scuttled
his Nutts, which is why the facts according to edicts of his Green
Bible are posted here for his benefit:

Here is the COOLING. Here are the global average temperatures
since 1958. --- "o" = trend line. --- Look at all those "o"'s lined up
there. The global temperature trend is *down*, **down**, DOWN!
And most recently the rate of DE-crease is about 2'C per century.

2007 14.08 *************o***************
2006 14.06 **************o************
2005 13.99 ***************o******
2004 14.08 ****************o************
2003 14.04 *****************o********
2002 14.08 ******************o**********
2001 13.79 ********========o
2000 13.89 ****************====o
1999 13.97 ***********************o
1998 14.00 ************************o*
1997 13.96 ********************===o
1996 14.08 **************************o*****
1995 14.03 ***************************o
1994 13.90 **************=========o
1993 14.00 ************************===o
1992 14.14 ******************************o******
1991 13.92 *****************==========o
1990 13.95 *******************=========o
1989 13.84 ************==============o
1988 14.13 *********************************o*
1987 14.02 ************************======o
1986 14.09 *****************************===o
1985 14.18 *********************************o**
1984 14.27 **********************************o****
1983 14.05 ************************========o
1982 14.26 **************************************o**
1981 14.09 *****************************======o
1980 14.06 ***************************========o
1979 14.13 *******************************======o
1978 14.27 ***************************************o**
1977 14.31 ****************************************o**
1976 14.19 **********************************=====o
1975 14.38 ******************************************o***
1974 14.35 ********************************************o**
1973 14.12 ***************************============o
1972 14.14 *****************************===========o
1971 14.24 ***************************************=====o
1970 14.38 ***********************************************o** *
1969 14.30 *******************************************===o
1968 14.40 ************************************************o* *
1967 14.57 *************************************************o ...
1966 14.33 *********************************************===o
1965 14.33 ********************************************====o
1964 14.48 ************************************************** *o...
1963 14.56 ************************************************** **o...
1962 14.55 ************************************************** ***o...
1961 14.49 ************************************************** ****o...
1960 14.62 ************************************************** *****o...
1959 14.54 ************************************************** ******o...
1958 14.57 ************************************************** *******o...
Correlation Coefficient -.8529209 --
Above is VD-Scotty's table which has been corrected for his
benefit because his green Bible says:

Green Genesis:
1 "It doesn't matter what is true ... it only matters what people
= believe is true. -- Paul Watson, Sea Shepard/ex-Greenpeace, &...
2 "A lot of environmental [sci/soc/pol] messages are simply not
= accurate. We use hype." -- Jerry Franklin, Ecologist, UoW, and...
3 "If you don't know an answer, a fact, a statistic, then .... make it
= up on the spot... for the mass-media today... the truth is irrelevant."
= -- Paul Watson in Earthforce: An Earth Warrior's Guide to Strategy.
Revelations:
4 "We make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little
= mention of any doubts we may have [about] being honest."
= -- Stephen Schneider (Stanford prof. who first sought fame as
= a global cooler, but has now hit the big time as a global warmer)
5 "to attract great funding you have to scare the public by making
= things bigger and more dangerous than they really are."
= --Petr Chylek, Prof. Atmospheric Sci., Dalhousie Uni, Halifax
6 "Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the
= right thing" -- Sen.Tim Wirth, Admin of Ted Turner's $1Billion UN-gift.
7 "No matter if the science is all phony, Climate change [provides]
= equality in the world." -- Christine Stewart, Can. Enviro Minister
8 "It is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual presen-
= tations" -- Al Gore, Chairman, Gen. Investment Management Bank

The most intriguing fact, AFAIAC, is that EVERYBODY has become
a convert to the MO of the Green Bible by now... for their own agenda,
from the far Left to the far Right, from Lenders to Creditors,
from Union bosses to Wallstreet CEO, from Jews to Muslims,
from secular Heads of State to the Pope, and most ominous of all this:
from Elementary School pupils to their Teachers... WORLDWIDE!...

Moral of the Story:.. EVERYBODY is correct!... in their own mind!
Thanks for the laughs!.... ahahahaha.... ahahahahanson


PS:
More fun in VD-Scotty's world, where he Scuttles his Nutts:
http://groups.google.com/group/sci.environment/msg/0d934ebcc7b3fd1f
wherein she says: --- Dear Vendicar ----,
.... you creamed in your pants when I took my bra off and then the
other guys laughed at you and called you "Scuttle Nutts". So, See,
Short-dick/Quick-cumers like you are not best sellers in the adult
movie biz. I hope you'll understand that. Biz is biz. I'm sorry, dear.
With love, --- Naomi Goldstein-Goldman










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Old May 15th 08, 08:56 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2005
Posts: 1,360
Default April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.

On May 14, 3:01*pm, chemist wrote:
On May 14, 8:08 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:

April was 11th Warmest on NASA's 129-Year Land and Sea Record.


Even though April of this year is 11th warmest, it still is
above the 129-year trend line. * In the long term therefore,
global mean surface temperatures continue an accelerated rise.


Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. *"Global warming ended in 1998," they say. *The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:


* *The month of April in the year 2008,
* *is linearly projected to be 14.343,
* * * * * * * * * * yet it was 14.41. - above trend line


Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. *So far this has not happened,
not for even two months in a row.


Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected
temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating.
This is simple geometry. *Each above the line measured global
temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that
new point joins the data. *This pattern is now 5 decades old.
Please see:


http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg


Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean
surface temperatures continue to rise.


These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss..nasa.gov/gistemp/t...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 129 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.


The Mean April temperature over the last 129 years is 13.970 C.
The Variance is 0.07121.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2669.


Rxy 0.81344 * Rxy^2 0.66168
TEMP = 13.591411 + (0.005829 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 248.381941
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!


The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.343,
* * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.41. -- above the trend line
The sum of the residuals is 16.318899


Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.59559 * e^(.0004174 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 16.261573


* Rank of the months of April
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
2007 * 14.64 * * 0.670 * * 2.51
2005 * 14.64 * * 0.670 * * 2.51
2002 * 14.58 * * 0.610 * * 2.28
1998 * 14.56 * * 0.590 * * 2.21
2004 * 14.52 * * 0.550 * * 2.06
2000 * 14.52 * * 0.550 * * 2.06
2003 * 14.49 * * 0.520 * * 1.95
1990 * 14.48 * * 0.510 * * 1.91
2006 * 14.46 * * 0.490 * * 1.84
1991 * 14.44 * * 0.470 * * 1.76
2008 * 14.41 * * 0.440 * * 1.65 --
2001 * 14.39 * * 0.420 * * 1.57
1995 * 14.39 * * 0.420 * * 1.57
MEAN * 13.970 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1885 * 13.65 * *-0.320 * *-1.20
1903 * 13.62 * *-0.350 * *-1.31
1896 * 13.62 * *-0.350 * *-1.31
1884 * 13.62 * *-0.350 * *-1.31
1894 * 13.61 * *-0.360 * *-1.35
1887 * 13.61 * *-0.360 * *-1.35
1917 * 13.60 * *-0.370 * *-1.39
1907 * 13.59 * *-0.380 * *-1.43
1904 * 13.59 * *-0.380 * *-1.43
1908 * 13.58 * *-0.390 * *-1.46
1918 * 13.57 * *-0.400 * *-1.50
1892 * 13.56 * *-0.410 * *-1.54
1909 * 13.55 * *-0.420 * *-1.58
1911 * 13.52 * *-0.450 * *-1.69


The most recent 170 continuous months, or 14 years and 2 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1540 months of data on this data set:
* -- 661 of them are at or above the norm.
* -- 879 of them are below the norm.
This run of 170 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


But I bet 2008 will be cooler than 2007 whilst fossil fuel use is
going through the roof .


If you had scientific training, you would understand
statistical variation. It takes about three decades
to establish a climate trend, you have only two years.


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