Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

Despite fossil fool lies,
Global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

The month of July in the year 2007,
is linearly projected to be 14.397,
yet it was 14.57. - Above projected.

Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. These reports have not found
this, not for even two months in a row.

Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected
temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating.
This is simple geometry. Each above the line measured global
temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that
new point joins the data. This pattern is now 5 decades old.
Please see:

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg

Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean
surface temperatures continue to rise.

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.


The Mean April temperature over the last 129 years is 14.011 C.
The Variance is 0.10511.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3242.

Rxy 0.72589 Rxy^2 0.5269
TEMP = 13.60061 + (0.00632 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 141.453319
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.416,
yet it was 14.51. - above the projection
The sum of the residuals is 22.84901

Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.604326 * e^(.0004495 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 22.79326

Rank of the months of April
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2007 14.78 0.769 2.37
2005 14.78 0.769 2.37
2002 14.77 0.759 2.34
1998 14.71 0.699 2.15
2004 14.67 0.659 2.03
2000 14.63 0.619 1.91
1991 14.63 0.619 1.91
2006 14.60 0.589 1.82
2003 14.59 0.579 1.78
1990 14.58 0.569 1.75
2008 14.51 0.499 1.54 --
1995 14.46 0.449 1.38
1981 14.46 0.449 1.38
MEAN 14.011 0.000 0.00
1964 13.62 -0.391 -1.21
1907 13.61 -0.401 -1.24
1887 13.60 -0.411 -1.27
1918 13.59 -0.421 -1.30
1896 13.57 -0.441 -1.36
1917 13.54 -0.471 -1.45
1894 13.53 -0.481 -1.48
1903 13.52 -0.491 -1.52
1885 13.51 -0.501 -1.55
1895 13.50 -0.511 -1.58
1909 13.44 -0.571 -1.76
1891 13.36 -0.651 -2.01
1892 13.27 -0.741 -2.29
1884 13.25 -0.761 -2.35

The most recent 185 continuous months, or 15 years and 5 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1540 months of data on this data set:
-- 753 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 787 of them are below the norm.
This run of 185 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

On May 21, 1:51*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

Despite fossil fool lies,
Global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. *"Global warming ended in 1998," they say. *The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

* *The month of July in the year 2007,
* *is linearly projected to be 14.397,
* * * * * * * * * * yet it was 14.57. - Above projected.

Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. *These reports have not found
this, not for even two months in a row.

Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected
temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating.
This is simple geometry. *Each above the line measured global
temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that
new point joins the data. *This pattern is now 5 decades old.
Please see:

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg

Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean
surface temperatures continue to rise.

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 129 years. *Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean April temperature over the last 129 years is 14.011 C.
The Variance is 0.10511.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3242.

Rxy 0.72589 * Rxy^2 0.5269
TEMP = 13.60061 + (0.00632 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 141.453319
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.416,
* * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.51. - above the projection
The sum of the residuals is 22.84901

Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.604326 * e^(.0004495 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 22.79326

* Rank of the months of April
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
2007 * 14.78 * * 0.769 * * 2.37
2005 * 14.78 * * 0.769 * * 2.37
2002 * 14.77 * * 0.759 * * 2.34
1998 * 14.71 * * 0.699 * * 2.15
2004 * 14.67 * * 0.659 * * 2.03
2000 * 14.63 * * 0.619 * * 1.91
1991 * 14.63 * * 0.619 * * 1.91
2006 * 14.60 * * 0.589 * * 1.82
2003 * 14.59 * * 0.579 * * 1.78
1990 * 14.58 * * 0.569 * * 1.75
2008 * 14.51 * * 0.499 * * 1.54 --
1995 * 14.46 * * 0.449 * * 1.38
1981 * 14.46 * * 0.449 * * 1.38
MEAN * 14.011 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1964 * 13.62 * *-0.391 * *-1.21
1907 * 13.61 * *-0.401 * *-1.24
1887 * 13.60 * *-0.411 * *-1.27
1918 * 13.59 * *-0.421 * *-1.30
1896 * 13.57 * *-0.441 * *-1.36
1917 * 13.54 * *-0.471 * *-1.45
1894 * 13.53 * *-0.481 * *-1.48
1903 * 13.52 * *-0.491 * *-1.52
1885 * 13.51 * *-0.501 * *-1.55
1895 * 13.50 * *-0.511 * *-1.58
1909 * 13.44 * *-0.571 * *-1.76
1891 * 13.36 * *-0.651 * *-2.01
1892 * 13.27 * *-0.741 * *-2.29
1884 * 13.25 * *-0.761 * *-2.35

The most recent 185 continuous months, or 15 years and 5 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1540 months of data on this data set:
* -- 753 of them are at or above the norm.
* -- 787 of them are below the norm.
This run of 185 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

One month is not three decades.

Roger Coppock wrote:
Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

Great -- it's warm -- so what?

On May 21, 7:51 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

Despite fossil fool lies,
Global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

The month of July in the year 2007,
is linearly projected to be 14.397,
yet it was 14.57. - Above projected.

Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. These reports have not found
this, not for even two months in a row.

Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected
temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating.
This is simple geometry. Each above the line measured global
temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that
new point joins the data. This pattern is now 5 decades old.
Please see:

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg

Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean
surface temperatures continue to rise.

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean April temperature over the last 129 years is 14.011 C.
The Variance is 0.10511.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3242.

Rxy 0.72589 Rxy^2 0.5269
TEMP = 13.60061 + (0.00632 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 141.453319
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.416,
yet it was 14.51. - above the projection
The sum of the residuals is 22.84901

Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.604326 * e^(.0004495 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 22.79326

Rank of the months of April
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2007 14.78 0.769 2.37
2005 14.78 0.769 2.37
2002 14.77 0.759 2.34
1998 14.71 0.699 2.15
2004 14.67 0.659 2.03
2000 14.63 0.619 1.91
1991 14.63 0.619 1.91
2006 14.60 0.589 1.82
2003 14.59 0.579 1.78
1990 14.58 0.569 1.75
2008 14.51 0.499 1.54 --
1995 14.46 0.449 1.38
1981 14.46 0.449 1.38
MEAN 14.011 0.000 0.00
1964 13.62 -0.391 -1.21
1907 13.61 -0.401 -1.24
1887 13.60 -0.411 -1.27
1918 13.59 -0.421 -1.30
1896 13.57 -0.441 -1.36
1917 13.54 -0.471 -1.45
1894 13.53 -0.481 -1.48
1903 13.52 -0.491 -1.52
1885 13.51 -0.501 -1.55
1895 13.50 -0.511 -1.58
1909 13.44 -0.571 -1.76
1891 13.36 -0.651 -2.01
1892 13.27 -0.741 -2.29
1884 13.25 -0.761 -2.35

The most recent 185 continuous months, or 15 years and 5 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1540 months of data on this data set:
-- 753 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 787 of them are below the norm.
This run of 185 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

Land records are not the the globe there are but a 1/3 of it
and the are contaminated with UHI.Meanwhile 2/3 of the globe is
cooling.

On May 21, 7:51 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

But Roger the Earth is forecast to cool for a least 7 years

Roger Coppock wrote:
Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

Despite fossil fool lies,
Global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. "Global warming ended in 1998," they say. The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

The month of July in the year 2007,
is linearly projected to be 14.397,
yet it was 14.57. - Above projected.

Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. These reports have not found
this, not for even two months in a row.

Using linear projection is inappropriate for this type of data.

chemist wrote:
On May 21, 7:51 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

But Roger the Earth is forecast to cool for a least 7 years


How does warming *stay a trend* when we had 8-10 years of flat to
cooling weather and the "Scientist" are reaching a consensus that we
will continue to *cool* for about 10 years.

On May 21, 2:13*pm, Tunderbar wrote:
On May 21, 1:51*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:

Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

Despite fossil fool lies,
Global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. *"Global warming ended in 1998," they say. *The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

* *The month of July in the year 2007,
* *is linearly projected to be 14.397,
* * * * * * * * * * yet it was 14.57. - Above projected.

Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. *These reports have not found
this, not for even two months in a row.

Measured temperatures which are nearly always above projected
temperatures mean that the temperature rise is accelerating.
This is simple geometry. *Each above the line measured global
temperature raises the slope of the regression line when that
new point joins the data. *This pattern is now 5 decades old.
Please see:

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg

Clearly therefore, the fossil fools lie, and global mean
surface temperatures continue to rise.

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss..nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 129 years. *Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean April temperature over the last 129 years is 14.011 C.
The Variance is 0.10511.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3242.

Rxy 0.72589 * Rxy^2 0.5269
TEMP = 13.60061 + (0.00632 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 141.453319
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of April in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.416,
* * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.51. - above the projection
The sum of the residuals is 22.84901

Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.604326 * e^(.0004495 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 22.79326

* Rank of the months of April
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
2007 * 14.78 * * 0.769 * * 2.37
2005 * 14.78 * * 0.769 * * 2.37
2002 * 14.77 * * 0.759 * * 2.34
1998 * 14.71 * * 0.699 * * 2.15
2004 * 14.67 * * 0.659 * * 2.03
2000 * 14.63 * * 0.619 * * 1.91
1991 * 14.63 * * 0.619 * * 1.91
2006 * 14.60 * * 0.589 * * 1.82
2003 * 14.59 * * 0.579 * * 1.78
1990 * 14.58 * * 0.569 * * 1.75
2008 * 14.51 * * 0.499 * * 1.54 --
1995 * 14.46 * * 0.449 * * 1.38
1981 * 14.46 * * 0.449 * * 1.38
MEAN * 14.011 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1964 * 13.62 * *-0.391 * *-1.21
1907 * 13.61 * *-0.401 * *-1.24
1887 * 13.60 * *-0.411 * *-1.27
1918 * 13.59 * *-0.421 * *-1.30
1896 * 13.57 * *-0.441 * *-1.36
1917 * 13.54 * *-0.471 * *-1.45
1894 * 13.53 * *-0.481 * *-1.48
1903 * 13.52 * *-0.491 * *-1.52
1885 * 13.51 * *-0.501 * *-1.55
1895 * 13.50 * *-0.511 * *-1.58
1909 * 13.44 * *-0.571 * *-1.76
1891 * 13.36 * *-0.651 * *-2.01
1892 * 13.27 * *-0.741 * *-2.29
1884 * 13.25 * *-0.761 * *-2.35

The most recent 185 continuous months, or 15 years and 5 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1540 months of data on this data set:
* -- 753 of them are at or above the norm.
* -- 787 of them are below the norm.
This run of 185 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

One month is not three decades.

True! You're learning. However, the 129 years,
each sampled in the month of April, is more than
three decades.

On May 21, 4:31*pm, Peter Franks wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote:
Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

Despite fossil fool lies,
Global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

Lately, fossil fools fondly repeat a lie about global warming
slowing down. *"Global warming ended in 1998," they say. *The
truth is published here every month in this section of these
reports:

* *The month of July in the year 2007,
* *is linearly projected to be 14.397,
* * * * * * * * * * yet it was 14.57. - Above projected.

Using the line of regression, the temperature is projected.
If global warming reversed, the actual measured temperatures
would have to fall below the line of regression temperature,
and do so for a year or more. *These reports have not found
this, not for even two months in a row.

Using linear projection is inappropriate for this type of data.

It is? I very much doubt that. However, why
don't you show us what kind of trend analysis
and projection you would use?

On May 21, 6:31*pm, Poetic Justice -n-
Dog.com wrote:
chemist wrote:
On May 21, 7:51 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
Last month was the 11th warmest April on NASAs 129-year Land Data Set.

* A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

But Roger the Earth is forecast to cool for a least 7 years

How does warming *stay a trend* when we had 8-10 years of flat to
cooling weather

We have, have we? No, we haven't. See below.

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg

and the "Scientist" are reaching a consensus that we
will continue to *cool* for about 10 years.