NOAA: Above Normal Hurricane Season Ready To Set In

By Dee Chisamera
12:40, May 23rd 2008

The upcoming hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin will be above
normal this year, and residents in areas usually affected by them
should be prepared.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center estimated that there is a 60 to 70
percent chance to have 12 to 16 named storms, including 6 to 9
hurricanes and 2 to 5 major hurricanes, category 3,4 or 5 on the
Saffir-Simpson Scale.

With the hurricane season ready to set in on June 1, Conrad C.
Lautenbacher, Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere and
NOAA Administrator said there needs to be an emergency plan for every
coastal state, before the storm threatens.

A normal season has 11 named storms, 6 of which are hurricanes, 2 of
them with major status. The Climate Prediction Center said there is a
65 percent probability of an above normal season this year, and a 25
percent probability for a near normal season.

[ . . . ]

According to a study published by meteorologist Tom Knutson, global
warming could diminish the number of hurricanes by the end of the
century, however, they will be approximately 2 percent more intense.

[ . . . ]

http://www.efluxmedia.com/news_NOAA_..._In_17957.html

On 25/05/08 12:21, in article
, "Roger
Coppock" wrote:

NOAA: Above Normal Hurricane Season Ready To Set In

`
Maybe but last year's prediction were a bit off. Without
doubt, however, the US has had an exceptional number of
killer tornados and exceptional (record breaking) heat in the south west,
particularly Arizona and California.

How hot can it get, theoretically, in areas which are usually very hot?

On 25/05/08 12:33, in article , "Earl
Evleth" wrote:

here is an update


Tornadoes rake Oklahoma as Midwest tallies damage

by Bill Ross, AP

OKLAHOMA CITY ‹ A slow-moving storm packing tornadoes and hail battered
rural Oklahoma on Saturday, destroying several buildings, tearing up trees
and tossing a mobile home onto a highway. The bodies of two storm victims
were found in Kansas.

A twister destroyed three barns at a hog farm near Lacey in Kingfisher
County, about 75 miles northwest of Oklahoma City, said Michelann Ooten, a
spokeswoman for the Oklahoma Emergency Management Department.

No injuries were reported at the farm or elsewhere in the state.

"It's all been out mostly in the countryside," Kingfisher County Sheriff's
dispatcher Lonnie McDade said. "But that farm happened to be in the path and
took a direct hit."

John Hardaway, a production manager at the farm, said the 3,900 pigs housed
at the farm were kept in crates and most were not hurt.

In Garfield County, a trailer was blown onto State Highway 74 near Covington
and power lines were downed, said the county's emergency manager, Mike
Honigsberg.

The pace of the storm was slow for a system producing so many tornadoes,
Daryl Williams, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service office in
Norman.

"It gives us time to get the warnings out, but where the tornadoes are on
the ground, it creates a lot more damage," Williams said. "We've been lucky
because this has been mostly rural areas, but it's not lucky if it's your
farm."

Saturday's storm followed two days of violent weather in the Midwest. In
Kansas, cleanup was under way a day after a storm system raked the state
with at least 17 tornadoes.

That storm killed at least two people, injured at least six others and
heavily damaged at least 19 homes, authorities said.

The two people killed in the storm were found Saturday in a car near Pratt,
the Pratt County Sheriff's Office said. The vehicle had been blown 150 yards
off a highway. Gary S. Whitlow, 33, and Kimberly S. Whitlow, 29, died.

Authorities are looking into whether lightning killed a camper in Osage
County.

A Kansas Highway Patrol aircraft flew along the path of the tornado to
search for other possible victims.

In northern Colorado, where a tornado struck Thursday, killing one person
and damaging hundreds of homes, residents of the hard-hit farming town of
Windsor were allowed into their neighborhoods Saturday to assess the damage
and in some cases, salvage what they could.

"Our house is not too bad," said Courtney Schinner. "Our roof is gone, a lot
of windows are blown out, but the interior is OK.

"We got really lucky compared to a lot of people," she said as she gathered
her valuables and prepared to move into a hotel while her apartment is
repaired.

Officials advised residents of the dangers in the area: exposed electrical
wires, severed gas lines, nails, broken boards and other debris.

Of the 596 homes officials said were damaged by the Colorado storm, 102 were
deemed unsafe to occupy.

About 100 people have died in U.S. twisters so far this year, the worst toll
in a decade, according to the weather service, and the danger has not passed
yet. Tornado season typically peaks in the spring and early summer, then
again in the late fall.

___

Earl Evleth wrote:
On 25/05/08 12:33, in article , "Earl
Evleth" wrote:

here is an update


Tornadoes rake Oklahoma as Midwest tallies damage

by Bill Ross, AP

OKLAHOMA CITY ‹ A slow-moving storm packing tornadoes and hail battered
rural Oklahoma on Saturday, destroying several buildings, tearing up trees
and tossing a mobile home onto a highway. The bodies of two storm victims
were found in Kansas.

A twister destroyed three barns at a hog farm near Lacey in Kingfisher
County, about 75 miles northwest of Oklahoma City, said Michelann Ooten, a
spokeswoman for the Oklahoma Emergency Management Department.

No injuries were reported at the farm or elsewhere in the state.

"It's all been out mostly in the countryside," Kingfisher County Sheriff's
dispatcher Lonnie McDade said. "But that farm happened to be in the path and
took a direct hit."

John Hardaway, a production manager at the farm, said the 3,900 pigs housed
at the farm were kept in crates and most were not hurt.

In Garfield County, a trailer was blown onto State Highway 74 near Covington
and power lines were downed, said the county's emergency manager, Mike
Honigsberg.

The pace of the storm was slow for a system producing so many tornadoes,
Daryl Williams, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service office in
Norman.

"It gives us time to get the warnings out, but where the tornadoes are on
the ground, it creates a lot more damage," Williams said. "We've been lucky
because this has been mostly rural areas, but it's not lucky if it's your
farm."

Saturday's storm followed two days of violent weather in the Midwest. In
Kansas, cleanup was under way a day after a storm system raked the state
with at least 17 tornadoes.

That storm killed at least two people, injured at least six others and
heavily damaged at least 19 homes, authorities said.

The two people killed in the storm were found Saturday in a car near Pratt,
the Pratt County Sheriff's Office said. The vehicle had been blown 150 yards
off a highway. Gary S. Whitlow, 33, and Kimberly S. Whitlow, 29, died.

Authorities are looking into whether lightning killed a camper in Osage
County.

A Kansas Highway Patrol aircraft flew along the path of the tornado to
search for other possible victims.

In northern Colorado, where a tornado struck Thursday, killing one person
and damaging hundreds of homes, residents of the hard-hit farming town of
Windsor were allowed into their neighborhoods Saturday to assess the damage
and in some cases, salvage what they could.

"Our house is not too bad," said Courtney Schinner. "Our roof is gone, a lot
of windows are blown out, but the interior is OK.

"We got really lucky compared to a lot of people," she said as she gathered
her valuables and prepared to move into a hotel while her apartment is
repaired.

Officials advised residents of the dangers in the area: exposed electrical
wires, severed gas lines, nails, broken boards and other debris.

Of the 596 homes officials said were damaged by the Colorado storm, 102 were
deemed unsafe to occupy.

About 100 people have died in U.S. twisters so far this year, the worst toll
in a decade, according to the weather service, and the danger has not passed
yet. Tornado season typically peaks in the spring and early summer, then
again in the late fall.

___

Worse weather or higher population density?
--

http://Talk-n-Dog.org
********* Koom-Bay-Ya *********
Winston Churchill said, "truth is incontrovertible, ignorance can deride
it, panic may resent it, malice may destroy it, but there it is."

Earl Evleth wrote:
On 25/05/08 12:21, in article
, "Roger
Coppock" wrote:

NOAA: Above Normal Hurricane Season Ready To Set In

`

After two or three years now of less than normal..... it would figure
that the number might go up at some point.


Maybe but last year's prediction were a bit off. Without
doubt, however, the US has had an exceptional number of
killer tornados and exceptional (record breaking) heat in the south west,
particularly Arizona and California.

How hot can it get, theoretically, in areas which are usually very hot?

On 25/05/08 14:44, in article ,
"Poetic Justice" wrote:

Worse weather


According to what I have read. The density does not rise that quickly.

Earl Evleth wrote:
On 25/05/08 14:44, in article ,
"Poetic Justice" wrote:

Worse weather


According to what I have read. The density does not rise that quickly.


I was under the impression that you CLIMATE watchers use a 30 year data
set and 30 years is plenty of time for Population to shift significantly.

"Poetic Justice" wrote:


NOAA: Above Normal Hurricane Season Ready To Set In



After two or three years now of less than normal..... it would figure that
the number might go up at some point.

Whaddya know...the blind squirrel finds an acorn.

"Roger Coppock" wrote in message
...
NOAA: Above Normal Hurricane Season Ready To Set In

By Dee Chisamera
12:40, May 23rd 2008

The upcoming hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin will be above
normal this year, and residents in areas usually affected by them
should be prepared.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Uh----ain't this the same thing they said last year? Stay with it.
Eventually you will be correct!


http://www.efluxmedia.com/news_NOAA_..._In_17957.html

Roger Coppock wrote:

NOAA: Above Normal Hurricane Season Ready To Set In

By Dee Chisamera
12:40, May 23rd 2008

According to a study published by meteorologist Tom Knutson, global
warming could diminish the number of hurricanes by the end of the
century, however, they will be approximately 2 percent more intense.

[ . . . ]

http://www.efluxmedia.com/news_NOAA_..._In_17957.html

2 Percent? 2 PERCENT? __2__ ___PERCENT___?


Where did he get the high precision crystal ball?