Bonzo repeats the big lie.

On Jul 21, 6:02*pm, "ZB0N0" wrote:
David Archibald

International Conference on Climate Change

March, 2008

QUOTE: Globally, we have had 10 years of temperature decline since that
peak in 1998, with a rate of decline of 0.06 degrees per annum. I am

It's a big lie, as often repeated as, "The German army was
never defeated in the field." Every fossil fool repeats it.
It's become their hallmark. If you are stupid enough to
believe this lie, then you're a fossil fool. Being totally
ignorant of introductory statistics is a sure fire ticket to
join this club of know nothings.

I am 88% sure that the global mean land and sea surface
temperature increased at 0.017K per year over the years
1998 to 2007. (88% confidence from only 10 points is the
indication of just how strong the warming trend has become!)

TEMP = -19.7225 + (0.01709 * YEAR)
Degrees of Freedom = 8 F = 2.9631
Confidence of nonzero correlation = 0.88
(To locate an explanation of this calculation see
the bottom of this article.)

This result, a current warming rate of 1.7K per century,
is entirely consistent with longer term trends which
show a steady increase in this rate of temperature rise
for more than the last 50 years. Please see:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1880-2007.jpg
--
The data are available in the column labeled "AnnMean" and "J-D" at
this URL:

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt

Year AnnMean
1998 14.57
1999 14.33
2000 14.33
2001 14.48
2002 14.56
2003 14.55
2004 14.48
2005 14.62
2006 14.54
2007 14.56
---
Those who are new to statistical regression will find a tutorial
on the subject in almost any introductory statistics text. The
information is also available on the net in many places, here for
example:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_analysis

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F-test

Encyclopedia Britannica also has this information.

Those who lack either the math or the reference skills,
may simply graph the 10 points given above.