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On Sep 15, 11:44*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
August Was 19th Warmest on NASA's 129-year Global Land Record. Despite fossil fool lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. *Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean August temperature over the last 129 years is 14.023 C. The Variance is 0.08501. The Standard Deviation is 0.2916. Rxy 0.7241 * Rxy^2 0.5244 TEMP = 13.654019 + (0.00567 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 140.018577 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.385, * * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.38. The sum of the residuals is 21.24414 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.65836 * e^(.0004047 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the residuals is 21.196529 *Rank of the months of August Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 2007 * 14.77 * * 0.747 * * 2.56 2003 * 14.76 * * 0.737 * * 2.53 1998 * 14.76 * * 0.737 * * 2.53 2006 * 14.71 * * 0.687 * * 2.36 2005 * 14.65 * * 0.627 * * 2.15 1996 * 14.64 * * 0.617 * * 2.12 2001 * 14.58 * * 0.557 * * 1.91 2002 * 14.57 * * 0.547 * * 1.88 2004 * 14.55 * * 0.527 * * 1.81 1981 * 14.54 * * 0.517 * * 1.77 1995 * 14.50 * * 0.477 * * 1.64 2000 * 14.49 * * 0.467 * * 1.60 1991 * 14.49 * * 0.467 * * 1.60 1983 * 14.47 * * 0.447 * * 1.53 1999 * 14.44 * * 0.417 * * 1.43 1989 * 14.41 * * 0.387 * * 1.33 1988 * 14.40 * * 0.377 * * 1.29 1990 * 14.39 * * 0.367 * * 1.26 2008 * 14.38 * * 0.357 * * 1.23 -- MEAN * 14.023 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1897 * 13.73 * *-0.293 * *-1.00 1950 * 13.72 * *-0.303 * *-1.04 1923 * 13.72 * *-0.303 * *-1.04 1908 * 13.72 * *-0.303 * *-1.04 1964 * 13.71 * *-0.313 * *-1.07 1889 * 13.71 * *-0.313 * *-1.07 1956 * 13.70 * *-0.323 * *-1.11 1921 * 13.69 * *-0.333 * *-1.14 1894 * 13.69 * *-0.333 * *-1.14 1888 * 13.68 * *-0.343 * *-1.17 1917 * 13.67 * *-0.353 * *-1.21 1904 * 13.66 * *-0.363 * *-1.24 1903 * 13.63 * *-0.393 * *-1.35 1887 * 13.63 * *-0.393 * *-1.35 1918 * 13.59 * *-0.433 * *-1.48 1907 * 13.57 * *-0.453 * *-1.55 1902 * 13.54 * *-0.483 * *-1.66 1896 * 13.52 * *-0.503 * *-1.72 1912 * 13.43 * *-0.593 * *-2.03 1891 * 13.35 * *-0.673 * *-2.31 The most recent 189 continuous months, or 15 years and 9 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1544 months of data on this data set: * -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. * -- 789 of them are below the norm. This run of 189 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Whats wrong, couldnt Hansen fiddle it up to 9th warmest? 19th isnt really very alarmist is it. |
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