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Old September 19th 08, 02:59 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.geo.meteorology
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Posts: 1,360
Default August tied for 10th warmest on the 129-year NASA Northern Hemisphererecord.

August tied for 10th warmest on the 129-year NASA Northern Hemisphere
record.

Despite fossil fool lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA,
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern
Hemisphere over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean August temperature over the last 129 years is 14.051 C.
The Variance is 0.09497.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3082.

Rxy 0.7268 Rxy^2 0.5283
TEMP = 13.659964 + (0.006015 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 142.210486
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of August in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.436,
yet it was 14.54.
The sum of the residuals is 21.487828

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.664224 * e^(.0004291 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 21.420209

Rank of the months of August
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2003 14.91 0.859 2.79
2007 14.90 0.849 2.76
2005 14.82 0.769 2.50
1998 14.82 0.769 2.50
2001 14.80 0.749 2.43
2006 14.72 0.669 2.17
1995 14.70 0.649 2.11
2004 14.66 0.609 1.98
2002 14.58 0.529 1.72
2008 14.54 0.489 1.59 --
2000 14.54 0.489 1.59
1990 14.54 0.489 1.59
1997 14.53 0.479 1.55
MEAN 14.051 0.000 0.00
1891 13.72 -0.331 -1.07
1964 13.71 -0.341 -1.11
1904 13.66 -0.391 -1.27
1913 13.65 -0.401 -1.30
1956 13.64 -0.411 -1.33
1888 13.63 -0.421 -1.37
1903 13.62 -0.431 -1.40
1908 13.61 -0.441 -1.43
1907 13.60 -0.451 -1.46
1885 13.58 -0.471 -1.53
1892 13.52 -0.531 -1.72
1887 13.48 -0.571 -1.85
1884 13.45 -0.601 -1.95
1912 13.18 -0.871 -2.83

The most recent 177 continuous months, or 14 years and 9 months,
on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1544 months of data on this data set:
-- 790 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 754 of them are below the norm.
This run of 177 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

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Old September 19th 08, 03:27 AM posted to sci.geo.meteorology,alt.energy.renewable,alt.politics.bush,alt.conspiracy
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2005
Posts: 1,360
Default August tied for 10th warmest on the 129-year NASA NorthernHemisphere record.

August tied for 10th warmest on the 129-year NASA Northern Hemisphere
record.

Despite fossil fool lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA,
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern
Hemisphere over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean August temperature over the last 129 years is 14.051 C.
The Variance is 0.09497.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3082.

Rxy 0.7268 Rxy^2 0.5283
TEMP = 13.659964 + (0.006015 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 142.210486
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of August in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.436,
yet it was 14.54.
The sum of the residuals is 21.487828

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.664224 * e^(.0004291 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 21.420209

Rank of the months of August
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2003 14.91 0.859 2.79
2007 14.90 0.849 2.76
2005 14.82 0.769 2.50
1998 14.82 0.769 2.50
2001 14.80 0.749 2.43
2006 14.72 0.669 2.17
1995 14.70 0.649 2.11
2004 14.66 0.609 1.98
2002 14.58 0.529 1.72
2008 14.54 0.489 1.59 --
2000 14.54 0.489 1.59
1990 14.54 0.489 1.59
1997 14.53 0.479 1.55
MEAN 14.051 0.000 0.00
1891 13.72 -0.331 -1.07
1964 13.71 -0.341 -1.11
1904 13.66 -0.391 -1.27
1913 13.65 -0.401 -1.30
1956 13.64 -0.411 -1.33
1888 13.63 -0.421 -1.37
1903 13.62 -0.431 -1.40
1908 13.61 -0.441 -1.43
1907 13.60 -0.451 -1.46
1885 13.58 -0.471 -1.53
1892 13.52 -0.531 -1.72
1887 13.48 -0.571 -1.85
1884 13.45 -0.601 -1.95
1912 13.18 -0.871 -2.83

The most recent 177 continuous months, or 14 years and 9 months,
on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1544 months of data on this data set:
-- 790 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 754 of them are below the norm.
This run of 177 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.
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Old September 19th 08, 03:41 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.geo.meteorology
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jun 2005
Posts: 114
Default August tied for 10th warmest on the 129-year NASA NorthernHemisphere record.

On Sep 18, 9:59*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
August tied for 10th warmest on the 129-year NASA Northern Hemisphere
record.

Despite fossil fool lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA,http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern
Hemisphere over the last 129 years. *Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean August temperature over the last 129 years is 14.051 C.
The Variance is 0.09497.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3082.

Rxy 0.7268 * Rxy^2 0.5283
TEMP = 13.659964 + (0.006015 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 142.210486
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of August in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.436,
* * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.54.
The sum of the residuals is 21.487828

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.664224 * e^(.0004291 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 21.420209

*Rank of the months of August
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
2003 * 14.91 * * 0.859 * * 2.79
2007 * 14.90 * * 0.849 * * 2.76
2005 * 14.82 * * 0.769 * * 2.50
1998 * 14.82 * * 0.769 * * 2.50
2001 * 14.80 * * 0.749 * * 2.43
2006 * 14.72 * * 0.669 * * 2.17
1995 * 14.70 * * 0.649 * * 2.11
2004 * 14.66 * * 0.609 * * 1.98
2002 * 14.58 * * 0.529 * * 1.72
2008 * 14.54 * * 0.489 * * 1.59 --
2000 * 14.54 * * 0.489 * * 1.59
1990 * 14.54 * * 0.489 * * 1.59
1997 * 14.53 * * 0.479 * * 1.55
MEAN * 14.051 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1891 * 13.72 * *-0.331 * *-1.07
1964 * 13.71 * *-0.341 * *-1.11
1904 * 13.66 * *-0.391 * *-1.27
1913 * 13.65 * *-0.401 * *-1.30
1956 * 13.64 * *-0.411 * *-1.33
1888 * 13.63 * *-0.421 * *-1.37
1903 * 13.62 * *-0.431 * *-1.40
1908 * 13.61 * *-0.441 * *-1.43
1907 * 13.60 * *-0.451 * *-1.46
1885 * 13.58 * *-0.471 * *-1.53
1892 * 13.52 * *-0.531 * *-1.72
1887 * 13.48 * *-0.571 * *-1.85
1884 * 13.45 * *-0.601 * *-1.95
1912 * 13.18 * *-0.871 * *-2.83

The most recent 177 continuous months, or 14 years and 9 months,
on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1544 months of data on this data set:
* -- 790 of them are at or above the norm.
* -- 754 of them are below the norm.
This run of 177 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


Thanks, Roger. Not to be critical here, but how did August do in
terms of global temperatures?
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Old September 19th 08, 03:48 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.geo.meteorology
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2005
Posts: 1,360
Default August tied for 10th warmest on the 129-year NASA NorthernHemisphere record.

On Sep 18, 7:41*pm, john fernbach wrote:
On Sep 18, 9:59*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:

August tied for 10th warmest on the 129-year NASA Northern Hemisphere
record.


Despite fossil fool lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.


These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA,http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern
Hemisphere over the last 129 years. *Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.


The Mean August temperature over the last 129 years is 14.051 C.
The Variance is 0.09497.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3082.


Rxy 0.7268 * Rxy^2 0.5283
TEMP = 13.659964 + (0.006015 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 142.210486
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!


The month of August in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.436,
* * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.54.
The sum of the residuals is 21.487828


Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.664224 * e^(.0004291 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 21.420209


*Rank of the months of August
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
2003 * 14.91 * * 0.859 * * 2.79
2007 * 14.90 * * 0.849 * * 2.76
2005 * 14.82 * * 0.769 * * 2.50
1998 * 14.82 * * 0.769 * * 2.50
2001 * 14.80 * * 0.749 * * 2.43
2006 * 14.72 * * 0.669 * * 2.17
1995 * 14.70 * * 0.649 * * 2.11
2004 * 14.66 * * 0.609 * * 1.98
2002 * 14.58 * * 0.529 * * 1.72
2008 * 14.54 * * 0.489 * * 1.59 --
2000 * 14.54 * * 0.489 * * 1.59
1990 * 14.54 * * 0.489 * * 1.59
1997 * 14.53 * * 0.479 * * 1.55
MEAN * 14.051 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1891 * 13.72 * *-0.331 * *-1.07
1964 * 13.71 * *-0.341 * *-1.11
1904 * 13.66 * *-0.391 * *-1.27
1913 * 13.65 * *-0.401 * *-1.30
1956 * 13.64 * *-0.411 * *-1.33
1888 * 13.63 * *-0.421 * *-1.37
1903 * 13.62 * *-0.431 * *-1.40
1908 * 13.61 * *-0.441 * *-1.43
1907 * 13.60 * *-0.451 * *-1.46
1885 * 13.58 * *-0.471 * *-1.53
1892 * 13.52 * *-0.531 * *-1.72
1887 * 13.48 * *-0.571 * *-1.85
1884 * 13.45 * *-0.601 * *-1.95
1912 * 13.18 * *-0.871 * *-2.83


The most recent 177 continuous months, or 14 years and 9 months,
on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1544 months of data on this data set:
* -- 790 of them are at or above the norm.
* -- 754 of them are below the norm.
This run of 177 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


Thanks, Roger. *Not to be critical here, but how did August do in
terms of global temperatures?


I've already posted those data on these forums.
I'll repost it below, too.
----------
August Was 10th Warmest on NASA's 129-year global land and sea record.

In the real world, outside the fossil fool spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 129 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.

The last 128 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg

The Mean August temperature over the last 129 years is 13.982 C.
The Variance is 0.05779.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2404.

Rxy 0.8025 Rxy^2 0.6440
TEMP = 13.645113 + (0.005181 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 229.762159
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.99999999999999999999999999999 (29 nines), which is darn close to
100%!

The month of August in the year 2008,
is linearly projected to be 14.313,
yet it was 14.39.
That's above the trend line.
The sum of the residuals is 14.872735

Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.64892 * e^(.0003685 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 14.806517

Rank of the months of August
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2003 14.63 0.648 2.70
1998 14.63 0.648 2.70
2006 14.59 0.608 2.53
2007 14.56 0.578 2.40
2005 14.56 0.578 2.40
2002 14.45 0.468 1.95
2001 14.45 0.468 1.95
1996 14.44 0.458 1.91
2004 14.43 0.448 1.86
2008 14.39 0.408 1.70 --
2000 14.38 0.398 1.66
1991 14.38 0.398 1.66
1997 14.37 0.388 1.61
MEAN 13.982 0.000 0.00
1885 13.73 -0.252 -1.05
1902 13.72 -0.262 -1.09
1923 13.71 -0.272 -1.13
1911 13.71 -0.272 -1.13
1892 13.71 -0.272 -1.13
1887 13.71 -0.272 -1.13
1913 13.70 -0.282 -1.17
1904 13.68 -0.302 -1.26
1890 13.67 -0.312 -1.30
1908 13.66 -0.322 -1.34
1918 13.63 -0.352 -1.46
1907 13.63 -0.352 -1.46
1903 13.61 -0.372 -1.55
1912 13.47 -0.512 -2.13

The most recent 174 continuous months, or 14 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1544 months of data on this data set:
-- 666 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 878 of them are below the norm.
This run of 174 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


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