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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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#1
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The satellite record, in all its current interpretations,
shows that the air near the surface is warming. For background on the satellite temperature proxy please see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satelli...e_measurements The URL below is one of the more conservative records from the University of Alabama at Huntsville. http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2 The global data given above are graphed he http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg The regression statistics for the line in the graph above are below. Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -25.4841 2.2049 -11.6 2e-16 YEARMON 0.01281 0.00111 11.6 1.47e-26 Residual standard error: 0.18 on 356 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.274 F-statistic: 134 on 1 and 356 DF, p-value: 1.47e-26 |
#2
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![]() "Roger Coppock" wrote in message ... The satellite record, in all its current interpretations, shows that the air near the surface is warming. For background on the satellite temperature proxy please see: Boy I hope so!! I don't know if some people around here are going to be able to afford to heat their homes this winter! http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satelli...e_measurements The URL below is one of the more conservative records from the University of Alabama at Huntsville. http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2 The global data given above are graphed he http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg The regression statistics for the line in the graph above are below. Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -25.4841 2.2049 -11.6 2e-16 YEARMON 0.01281 0.00111 11.6 1.47e-26 Residual standard error: 0.18 on 356 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.274 F-statistic: 134 on 1 and 356 DF, p-value: 1.47e-26 |
#3
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The supply of morons who do not know the
difference between local weather and global climate endless. P.T. Barnum claimed that one is born every minute. On Oct 6, 10:40*am, "tvor" wrote: "Roger Coppock" wrote in message ... The satellite record, in all its current interpretations, shows that the air near the surface is warming. For background on the satellite temperature proxy please see: Boy I hope so!! *I don't know if some people around here are going to be able to afford to heat their homes this winter! One winter season "around here" is not a large enough sample for a climate trend. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satelli...e_measurements The URL below is one of the more conservative records from the University of Alabama at Huntsville. http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2 The global data given above are graphed he http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg The regression statistics for the line in the graph above are below. Coefficients: * * * * * * Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|) (Intercept) -25.4841 * *2.2049 * -11.6 * 2e-16 YEARMON * * * 0.01281 * *0.00111 * *11.6 * 1.47e-26 Residual standard error: 0.18 on 356 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.274 F-statistic: *134 on 1 and 356 DF, *p-value: 1.47e-26 |
#4
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Roger Coppock wrote:
The satellite record, in all its current interpretations, shows that the air near the surface is warming. For background on the satellite temperature proxy please see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satelli...e_measurements The URL below is one of the more conservative records from the University of Alabama at Huntsville. http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2 The global data given above are graphed he http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg ... Actually, you are wrong. I really have no idea what you consider the "Latest Satellite Data", and you obviously and apparently fail to qualify such vague statements. My CS degree taught me precision in definition, and appropriately, I will qualify my statements. I consider the the "Latest Satellite Data" to mean 1 year. So, consider the data for temperature anomalies for 2008, using the source you provided: ANNUAL CYCLE BASED ON 79001-98365 YEAR MON GLOBAL 2008 1 -0.046 2008 2 0.020 2008 3 0.089 2008 4 0.015 2008 5 -0.183 2008 6 -0.114 2008 7 0.047 2008 8 -0.007 2008 9 0.161 The average of which is -0.002. That means we are currently BELOW 0 for the temperature anomaly when considering the average. But let's not just limit our discussion to that fact. Considering the 12-month running average, again using your source, and again for 2008: 12-MON RUNNING MEAN YEAR MON GLOBAL 2008 1 0.227 2008 2 0.194 2008 3 0.166 2008 4 0.148 2008 5 0.116 2008 6 0.089 2008 7 0.072 2008 8 0.047 2008 9 0.044 You don't even need a graph to see that the trend is CLEARLY TOWARD ZERO (read: COOLING). So, Roger my friend, your assertion that "Latest Satellite Data Show A Warming Global Climate" has been proved FALSE; twice I might add, and using your data. Have a nice, COOLING, day. |
#5
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Peter Franks wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote: The satellite record, in all its current interpretations, shows that the air near the surface is warming. For background on the satellite temperature proxy please see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satelli...e_measurements The URL below is one of the more conservative records from the University of Alabama at Huntsville. http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2 The global data given above are graphed he http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg ... Actually, you are wrong. I really have no idea what you consider the "Latest Satellite Data", and you obviously and apparently fail to qualify such vague statements. My CS degree taught me precision in definition, and appropriately, I will qualify my statements. I consider the the "Latest Satellite Data" to mean 1 year. News flash - nobody gives a ****. |
#6
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ROTFLMSAO!
Peter, I am REALLY Rolling On the Floor Laughing My Sweet Ass Off! No kidding, when I saw your reply, I laughed so hard I fell off my chair. You're either very very dumb and totally ignorant of statistics, OR you're spin doctoring. Which is it? Fossil fools wonder why no one takes them seriously. Here is one of many reasons why. On Oct 6, 10:59*am, Peter Franks wrote: Roger Coppock wrote: The satellite record, in all its current interpretations, shows that the air near the surface is warming. For background on the satellite temperature proxy please see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satelli...e_measurements The URL below is one of the more conservative records from the University of Alabama at Huntsville. http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2 The global data given above are graphed he http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg ... Actually, you are wrong. *I really have no idea what you consider the "Latest Satellite Data", and you obviously and apparently fail to qualify such vague statements. *My CS degree taught me precision in definition, and appropriately, I will qualify my statements. I consider the the "Latest Satellite Data" to mean 1 year. *So, consider the data for temperature anomalies for 2008, using the source you provided: * ANNUAL CYCLE BASED ON 79001-98365 * * YEAR *MON *GLOBAL * * 2008 * *1 *-0.046 * * 2008 * *2 * 0.020 * * 2008 * *3 * 0.089 * * 2008 * *4 * 0.015 * * 2008 * *5 *-0.183 * * 2008 * *6 *-0.114 * * 2008 * *7 * 0.047 * * 2008 * *8 *-0.007 * * 2008 * *9 * 0.161 The average of which is -0.002. *That means we are currently BELOW 0 for the temperature anomaly when considering the average. But let's not just limit our discussion to that fact. Considering the 12-month running average, again using your source, and again for 2008: 12-MON RUNNING MEAN * * YEAR *MON *GLOBAL * * 2008 * *1 *0.227 * * 2008 * *2 *0.194 * * 2008 * *3 *0.166 * * 2008 * *4 *0.148 * * 2008 * *5 *0.116 * * 2008 * *6 *0.089 * * 2008 * *7 *0.072 * * 2008 * *8 *0.047 * * 2008 * *9 *0.044 You don't even need a graph to see that the trend is CLEARLY TOWARD ZERO (read: COOLING). So, Roger my friend, your assertion that "Latest Satellite Data Show A Warming Global Climate" has been proved FALSE; twice I might add, and using your data. Have a nice, COOLING, day. |
#7
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Roger Coppock wrote:
The supply of morons who do not know the difference between local weather and global climate endless. P.T. Barnum claimed that one is born every minute. By definition 'climate' is a regional phenomenon, not a global one. Also, please note that climate is DEFINED as prevailing *regional* *weather* conditions. climate (klmit), n. 1. the composite or generally prevailing weather conditions of a *region*, as temperature, air pressure, humidity, precipitation, sunshine, cloudiness, and winds, throughout the year, averaged over a series of years. Why don't you be accurate and talk about 'averages of min and max temperatures' and not climate. Global climate is an oxymoron. |
#8
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Roger Coppock wrote:
The supply of morons who do not know the difference between local weather and global climate endless. P.T. Barnum claimed that one is born every minute. He was talking about people who buy carbon credits, do carbon swaps, mortgage swaps, and any other worthless paper. |
#9
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"Cat_in_awe" wrote:
Roger Coppock wrote: The supply of morons who do not know the difference between local weather and global climate endless. P.T. Barnum claimed that one is born every minute. By definition 'climate' is a regional phenomenon, not a global one. Also, please note that climate is DEFINED as prevailing *regional* *weather* conditions. cli·mate (klÆmit), n. 1. the composite or generally prevailing weather conditions of a *region*, as temperature, air pressure, humidity, precipitation, sunshine, cloudiness, and winds, throughout the year, averaged over a series of years. Why don't you be accurate and talk about 'averages of min and max temperatures' and not climate. Global climate is an oxymoron. Why talk about minimum temperatures at all, the time when the minimum for the day is higher than the normal for the day is almost nil, so the only thing that should be called "warming" is the high for the day. Normal or "typical" temperatures any place on Earth have such a wide variation for each day of the year, any "warming" or cooling would have to mean warmer than normal for most days, not just enough days to affect the average for a day or a month. AGW nuts can convince themselves of anything if they play with the computer enough (and have a CS degree). |
#10
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On Mon, 06 Oct 2008 10:20:08 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote:
The satellite record, in all its current interpretations, shows that the air near the surface is warming. If it weren't for the wise guy, one might think it was cooling. http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2 ----- 2006 2007 diff Sep 0.274 0.201 -0.073 Oct 0.341 0.231 -0.110 Nov 0.288 0.209 -0.079 Dec 0.308 0.114 -0.196 ----- 2007 2008 Jan 0.594 -0.046 -0.640 Feb 0.450 0.020 -0.430 Mar 0.403 0.089 -0.314 Apr 0.244 0.015 -0.229 May 0.199 -0.183 -0.382 Jun 0.203 -0.114 -0.317 Jul 0.255 0.047 -0.208 Aug 0.286 -0.007 -0.293 Sep 0.201 0.161 -0.040 === we are here Joern |
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